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Methods to extract information from the tracking of mobile objects/particles have broad interest in biological and physical sciences. Techniques based on simple criteria of proximity in time-consecutive snapshots are useful to identify the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-13 M. Chertkov , L. Kroc , F. Krzakala , M. Vergassola , L. Zdeborová

Stochastic processes on graphs can describe a great variety of phenomena ranging from neural activity to epidemic spreading. While many existing methods can accurately describe typical realizations of such processes, computing properties of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-11-16 Stefano Crotti , Alfredo Braunstein

This paper resolves a common complexity issue in the Bethe approximation of statistical physics and the Belief Propagation (BP) algorithm of artificial intelligence. The Bethe approximation and the BP algorithm are heuristic methods for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-22 Jinwoo Shin

The typical behavior of optimal solutions to portfolio optimization problems with absolute deviation and expected shortfall models using replica analysis was pioneeringly estimated by S. Ciliberti and M. M\'ezard [Eur. Phys. B. 57, 175…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-15 Takashi Shinzato , Muneki Yasuda

Probabilistic dependency graphs (PDGs) are a flexible class of probabilistic graphical models, subsuming Bayesian Networks and Factor Graphs. They can also capture inconsistent beliefs, and provide a way of measuring the degree of this…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Oliver E. Richardson , Joseph Y. Halpern , Christopher De Sa

We study the performance of different message passing algorithms in the two dimensional Edwards Anderson model. We show that the standard Belief Propagation (BP) algorithm converges only at high temperature to a paramagnetic solution. Then,…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2011-12-26 E. Dominguez , A. Lage-Castellanos , R. Mulet , F. Ricci-Tersenghi , T. Rizzo

The analysis of Belief Propagation and other algorithms for the {\em reconstruction problem} plays a key role in the analysis of community detection in inference on graphs, phylogenetic reconstruction in bioinformatics, and the cavity…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-27 Vishesh Jain , Frederic Koehler , Jingbo Liu , Elchanan Mossel

We study the problem of distributed cooperative learning, where a group of agents seeks to agree on a set of hypotheses that best describes a sequence of private observations. In the scenario where the set of hypotheses is large, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Mohammad Taha Toghani , César A. Uribe

In this paper, deep neural network (DNN) is utilized to improve the belief propagation (BP) detection for massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems. A neural network architecture suitable for detection task is firstly introduced…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-04-06 Xiaosi Tan , Weihong Xu , Yair Be'ery , Zaichen Zhang , Xiaohu You , Chuan Zhang

This paper demonstrates a method for using belief-network algorithms to solve influence diagram problems. In particular, both exact and approximation belief-network algorithms may be applied to solve influence-diagram problems. More…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Gregory F. Cooper

Adaptive networks are suitable for decentralized inference tasks, e.g., to monitor complex natural phenomena. Recent research works have intensively studied distributed optimization problems in the case where the nodes have to estimate a…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Jie Chen , Cédric Richard , Ali. H. Sayed

For the minimum cardinality vertex cover and maximum cardinality matching problems, the max-product form of belief propagation (BP) is known to perform poorly on general graphs. In this paper, we present an iterative loopy annealing BP…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2014-07-09 Marc Lelarge

Generalized belief propagation (GBP) has proven to be a promising technique for approximate inference tasks in AI and machine learning. However, the choice of a good set of clusters to be used in GBP has remained more of an art then a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Max Welling

We present a differentiable approach to learn the probabilistic factors used for inference by a nonparametric belief propagation algorithm. Existing nonparametric belief propagation methods rely on domain-specific features encoded in the…

The paper demonstrates that strict adherence to probability theory does not preclude the use of concurrent, self-activated constraint-propagation mechanisms for managing uncertainty. Maintaining local records of sources-of-belief allows…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Judea Pearl

Probabilistic models analyze data by relying on a set of assumptions. Data that exhibit deviations from these assumptions can undermine inference and prediction quality. Robust models offer protection against mismatch between a model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-20 Yixin Wang , Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

Predictive uncertainty estimation remains a challenging problem precluding the use of deep neural networks as subsystems within safety-critical applications. Aleatoric uncertainty is a component of predictive uncertainty that cannot be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Angel Daruna , Yunye Gong , Abhinav Rajvanshi , Han-Pang Chiu , Yi Yao

In order to diminish the damaging effect of loops on belief propagation (BP), the first explicit version of generalized BP for networks, the KCN-method, was recently introduced. Despite its success, the KCN-method spends computational…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-18 Pedro Hack

We consider the problem of distributed learning, where a network of agents collectively aim to agree on a hypothesis that best explains a set of distributed observations of conditionally independent random processes. We propose a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-12 Angelia Nedić , Alex Olshevsky , César A. Uribe

A number of algorithms have been developed to solve probabilistic inference problems on belief networks. These algorithms can be divided into two main groups: exact techniques which exploit the conditional independence revealed when the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Ross D. Shachter , Mark Alan Peot