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Deep learning (DL) methods have outperformed parametric models such as historical average, ARIMA and variants in predicting traffic variables into short and near-short future, that are critical for traffic management. Specifically,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Agnimitra Sengupta , Adway Das , S. Ilgin Guler

We propose a Bayesian hidden Markov model for analyzing time series and sequential data where a special structure of the transition probability matrix is embedded to model explicit-duration semi-Markovian dynamics. Our formulation allows…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Beniamino Hadj-Amar , Jack Jewson , Mark Fiecas

Video prediction is a useful function for autonomous driving, enabling intelligent vehicles to reliably anticipate how driving scenes will evolve and thereby supporting reasoning and safer planning. However, existing models are constrained…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Ke Li , Tianjia Yang , Kaidi Liang , Xianbiao Hu , Ruwen Qin

In this paper, we explore the class of the Hidden Semi-Markov Model (HSMM), a flexible extension of the popular Hidden Markov Model (HMM) that allows the underlying stochastic process to be a semi-Markov chain. HSMMs are typically used less…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-26 Patrick Aschermayr , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

In this paper, we present a method for recognising an agent's behaviour in dynamic, noisy, uncertain domains, and across multiple levels of abstraction. We term this problem on-line plan recognition under uncertainty and view it generally…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-06 H. H. Bui , S. Venkatesh , G. West

Cars can nowadays record several thousands of signals through the CAN bus technology and potentially provide real-time information on the car, the driver and the surrounding environment. This paper proposes a new method for the analysis and…

In social science research, understanding latent structures in populations through survey data with categorical responses is a common and important task. Traditional methods like Factor Analysis and Latent Class Analysis have limitations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Chayut Wongkamthong

Uncertainties in dynamic road environments pose significant challenges for behavior and trajectory planning in autonomous driving. This paper introduces Hi-Drive, a hierarchical planning algorithm addressing uncertainties at both behavior…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Xuanjin Jin , Chendong Zeng , Shengfa Zhu , Chunxiao Liu , Panpan Cai

Characterizing driving styles of human drivers using vehicle sensor data, e.g., GPS, is an interesting research problem and an important real-world requirement from automotive industries. A good representation of driving features can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-11 Weishan Dong , Jian Li , Renjie Yao , Changsheng Li , Ting Yuan , Lanjun Wang

Short-term future of automated driving can be imagined as a hybrid scenario in which both automated and human-driven vehicles co-exist in the same environment. In order to address the needs of such road configuration, many technology…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-24 Behrad Toghi , Divas Grover , Mahdi Razzaghpour , Rajat Jain , Rodolfo Valiente , Mahdi Zaman , Ghayoor Shah , Yaser P. Fallah

The evolution of communities in dynamic (time-varying) network data is a prominent topic of interest. A popular approach to understanding these dynamic networks is to embed the dyadic relations into a latent metric space. While methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-18 Joshua Daniel Loyal , Yuguo Chen

High-dimensional and complex discrete distributions often exhibit multimodal behavior due to inherent discontinuities, posing significant challenges for sampling. Gradient-based discrete samplers, while effective, frequently become trapped…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Pinaki Mohanty , Ruqi Zhang

Merging at highway on-ramps while interacting with other human-driven vehicles is challenging for autonomous vehicles (AVs). An efficient route to this challenge requires exploring and exploiting knowledge of the interaction process from…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-04 Huanjie Wang , Wenshuo Wang , Shihua Yuan , Xueyuan Li , Lijun Sun

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are commonly used to model animal movement data and infer aspects of animal behavior. An HMM assumes that each data point from a time series of observations stems from one of $N$ possible states. The states are…

The objective of this article is to study the asymptotic behavior of a new particle filtering approach in the context of hidden Markov models (HMMs). In particular, we develop an algorithm where the latent-state sequence is segmented into…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Hock Peng Chan , Chiang Wee Heng , Ajay Jasra

Ensuring realistic traffic dynamics is a prerequisite for simulation platforms to evaluate the reliability of self-driving systems before deployment in the real world. Because most road users are human drivers, reproducing their diverse…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Wendi Li , Hao Wu , Han Gao , Bing Mao , Fengyuan Xu , Sheng Zhong

Accurate and interpretable car-following models are essential for traffic simulation and autonomous vehicle development. However, classical models like the Intelligent Driver Model (IDM) are fundamentally limited by their parsimonious and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-18 Chengyuan Zhang , Cathy Wu , Lijun Sun

The hidden Markov model (HMM) is a generative model that treats sequential data under the assumption that each observation is conditioned on the state of a discrete hidden variable that evolves in time as a Markov chain. In this paper, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-09-07 Emanuele Coviello , Antoni B. Chan , Gert R. G. Lanckriet

We consider the task of learning mappings from sequential data to real-valued responses. We present and evaluate an approach to learning a type of hidden Markov model (HMM) for regression. The learning process involves inferring the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Keith Noto , Mark Craven

Predicting traffic flow in data-scarce cities is challenging due to limited historical data. To address this, we leverage transfer learning by identifying periodic patterns common to data-rich cities using a customized variant of Dynamic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-19 Chuhan Yang , Fares B. Mehouachi , Monica Menendez , Saif Eddin Jabari