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We introduce a new sufficient dimension reduction framework that targets a statistical functional of interest, and propose an efficient estimator for the semiparametric estimation problems of this type. The statistical functional covers a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-24 Wei Luo , Bing Li , Xiangrong Yin

Causal inference is a critical research area with multi-disciplinary origins and applications, ranging from statistics, computer science, economics, psychology to public health. In many scientific research, randomized experiments provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Jingying Zeng

This study considers various semiparametric difference-in-differences models under different assumptions on the relation between the treatment group identifier, time and covariates for cross-sectional and panel data. The variance lower…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-17 Michael Zimmert

Conformal predictive systems are a recent modification of conformal predictors that output, in regression problems, probability distributions for labels of test observations rather than set predictions. The extra information provided by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Vladimir Vovk , Ivan Petej , Ilia Nouretdinov , Valery Manokhin , Alex Gammerman

Many conventional statistical procedures are extremely sensitive to seemingly minor deviations from modeling assumptions. This problem is exacerbated in modern high-dimensional settings, where the problem dimension can grow with and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-27 Simon S. Du , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Aarti Singh

Empirical regression discontinuity (RD) studies often include covariates in their specifications to increase the precision of their estimates. In this paper, we propose a novel class of estimators that use such covariate information more…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-28 Claudia Noack , Tomasz Olma , Christoph Rothe

Due to concerns about parametric model misspecification, there is interest in using machine learning to adjust for confounding when evaluating the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome. Unfortunately, exposure effect estimators that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Oliver Dukes , Stijn Vansteelandt , David Whitney

We address the issue of semiparametric efficiency in the bivariate regression problem with a highly persistent predictor, where the joint distribution of the innovations is regarded an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. Using a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-18 Bas Werker , Bo Zhou

The functional linear model is an important extension of the classical regression model allowing for scalar responses to be modeled as functions of stochastic processes. Yet, despite the usefulness and popularity of the functional linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stanislav Nagy

We investigate generically applicable and intuitively appealing prediction intervals based on $k$-fold cross validation. We focus on the conditional coverage probability of the proposed intervals, given the observations in the training…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-13 Lukas Steinberger , Hannes Leeb

Structural failure time models are causal models for estimating the effect of time-varying treatments on a survival outcome. G-estimation and artificial censoring have been proposed to estimate the model parameters in the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-19 Shu Yang , Karen Pieper , Frank Cools

In observational studies, covariates with substantial missing data are often omitted, despite their strong predictive capabilities. These excluded covariates are generally believed not to simultaneously affect both treatment and outcome,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-23 Shanshan Luo , Mengchen Shi , Wei Li , Xueli Wang , Zhi Geng

Additive regression models have a long history in multivariate nonparametric regression. They provide a model in which each regression function depends only on a single explanatory variable allowing to obtain estimators at the optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-16 Graciela Boente , Alejandra Martinez

Estimating covariance matrices with high-dimensional complex data presents significant challenges, particularly concerning positive definiteness, sparsity, and numerical stability. Existing robust sparse estimators often fail to guarantee…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Shaoxin Wang , Ziyun Ma

Doubly robust estimators have gained widespread popularity in various fields due to their ability to provide unbiased estimates under model misspecification. However, the asymptotic theory for doubly robust estimators with continuous-time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Andrew Ying

Elicitable functionals and (strictly) consistent scoring functions are of interest due to their utility of determining (uniquely) optimal forecasts, and thus the ability to effectively backtest predictions. However, in practice, assuming…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Kathleen E. Miao , Silvana M. Pesenti

We propose an estimator for the mean of random variables in separable real Banach spaces using the empirical characteristic function. Assuming that the covariance operator of the random variable is bounded in a precise sense, we show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Sohail Bahmani

Nonresponse after probability sampling is a universal challenge in survey sampling, often necessitating adjustments to mitigate sampling and selection bias simultaneously. This study explored the removal of bias and effective utilization of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Kosuke Morikawa , Kenji Beppu , Wataru Aida

We generalize fast Gaussian process leave-one-out formulae to multiple-fold cross-validation, highlighting in turn the covariance structure of cross-validation residuals in both Simple and Universal Kriging frameworks. We illustrate how…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 David Ginsbourger , Cedric Schärer

It is well known that the minimax rates of convergence of nonparametric density and regression function estimation of a random variable measured with error is much slower than the rate in the error free case. Surprisingly, we show that if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-21 Fei Jiang , Yanyuan Ma , Raymond J. Carroll