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Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a sample-efficient optimization algorithm widely employed across various applications. In some challenging BO tasks, input uncertainty arises due to the inevitable randomness in the optimization process, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Lin Yang , Junlong Lyu , Wenlong Lyu , Zhitang Chen

In this paper, we consider a stochastic recursive optimal control problem under model uncertainty. In this framework, the cost function is described by solutions of a family of backward stochastic differential equations. With the help of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-16 Mingshang Hu , Falei Wang

We consider global non-convex optimisation problems under uncertainty. In this setting, it is not possible to implement a desired solution exactly. Instead, any other solution within some distance to the intended solution may be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-24 Martin Hughes , Marc Goerigk , Trivikram Dokka

Under data distributions which may be heavy-tailed, many stochastic gradient-based learning algorithms are driven by feedback queried at points with almost no performance guarantees on their own. Here we explore a modified "anytime…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-01 Matthew J. Holland

Predicting microporosity and permeability in clastic reservoirs is a challenge in reservoir quality assessment, especially in formations where direct measurements are difficult or expensive. These reservoir properties are fundamental in…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-03-24 Muhammad Risha , Mohamed Elsaadany , Paul Liu

This paper introduces a node formulation for multistage stochastic programs with endogenous (i.e., decision-dependent) uncertainty. Problems with such structure arise when the choices of the decision maker determine a change in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-05 Giovanni Pantuso

The stability analysis of model predictive control schemes without terminal constraints and/or costs has attracted considerable attention during the last years. We pursue a recently proposed approach which can be used to determine a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-16 Philipp Braun , Jürgen Pannek , Karl Worthmann

In this work, we study a single-machine scheduling problem that aims at minimizing the total cost of a schedule subject to start-time dependent costs. This framework naturally captures scenarios where costs fluctuate throughout the day,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Sofía Rodríguez-Ballesteros , Javier Alcaraz , Laura Anton-Sanchez , Marc Goerigk , Dorothee Henke

This paper studies optimal control problems of unknown linear systems subject to stochastic disturbances of uncertain distribution. Uncertainty about the stochastic disturbances is usually described via ambiguity sets of probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-30 Guanru Pan , Timm Faulwasser

Specifying a proper input distribution is often a challenging task in simulation modeling. In practice, there may be multiple plausible distributions that can fit the input data reasonably well, especially when the data volume is not large.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-15 Weiwei Fan , L. Jeff Hong , Xiaowei Zhang

Uncertainty quantification is a primary challenge for reliable modeling and simulation of complex stochastic dynamics. Such problems are typically plagued with incomplete information that may enter as uncertainty in the model parameters, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-15 Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis , Petr Plechac

This paper investigates the robustness of stochastic optimal control for controlled regime switching diffusions. We consider systems driven by both continuous fluctuations and discrete regime changes, allowing for model misspecification in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Somnath Pradhan , Dinesh Rathia

The last decade has seen a number of advances in computationally efficient algorithms for statistical methods subject to robustness constraints. An estimator may be robust in a number of different ways: to contamination of the dataset, to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-08 Gautam Kamath

This paper addresses the challenge of model uncertainty in quantitative finance, where decisions in portfolio allocation, derivative pricing, and risk management rely on estimating stochastic models from limited data. In practice, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Hans Buehler , Blanka Horvath , Yannick Limmer , Thorsten Schmidt

Many of the successes of machine learning are based on minimizing an averaged loss function. However, it is well-known that this paradigm suffers from robustness issues that hinder its applicability in safety-critical domains. These issues…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Alexander Robey , Luiz F. O. Chamon , George J. Pappas , Hamed Hassani

Machine learning algorithms in high-dimensional settings are highly susceptible to the influence of even a small fraction of structured outliers, making robust optimization techniques essential. In particular, within the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Changyu Gao , Andrew Lowy , Xingyu Zhou , Stephen J. Wright

Classical deterministic optimal control problems assume full information about the controlled process. The theory of control for general partially-observable processes is powerful, but the methods are computationally expensive and typically…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Dongping Qi , Adam Dhillon , Alexander Vladimirsky

Two-stage stochastic optimization is a framework for modeling uncertainty, where we have a probability distribution over possible realizations of the data, called scenarios, and decisions are taken in two stages: we make first-stage…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Andre Linhares , Chaitanya Swamy

Reservoir computing is a machine learning paradigm that uses a high-dimensional dynamical system, or \emph{reservoir}, to approximate and predict time series data. The scale, speed and power usage of reservoir computers could be enhanced by…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Forrest C. Sheldon , Artemy Kolchinsky , Francesco Caravelli

Stochastic dominance serves as a general framework for modeling a broad spectrum of decision preferences under uncertainty, with risk aversion as one notable example, as it naturally captures the intrinsic structure of the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Shicong Cen , Jincheng Mei , Hanjun Dai , Dale Schuurmans , Yuejie Chi , Bo Dai
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