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We establish the asymptotic validity of frequency-domain inference for stationary multivariate Hawkes processes under mild conditions, bridging the gap between theory and application. By developing upper-bounds on the reduced cumulant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Yifu Tang , Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang

We propose a novel modeling framework for time-evolving networks allowing for long-term dependence in network features that update in continuous time. Dynamic network growth is functionally parameterized via the conditional intensity of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Duncan A Clark , Conor J. Kresin , Charlotte M. Jones-Todd

This work develops new algorithms with rigorous efficiency guarantees for infinite horizon imitation learning (IL) with linear function approximation without restrictive coherence assumptions. We begin with the minimax formulation of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Luca Viano , Angeliki Kamoutsi , Gergely Neu , Igor Krawczuk , Volkan Cevher

We present Hawkeye, a system for analyzing and reproducing GPU-level arithmetic operations. Using our framework, anyone can re-execute on a CPU the exact matrix multiplication operations underlying a machine learning model training or…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Erez Badash , Dan Boneh , Ilan Komargodski , Megha Srivastava

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) provide an elegant mathematical framework for modeling complex decision and planning problems in stochastic domains in which states of the system are observable only indirectly, via a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-02 M. Hauskrecht

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) have wide-ranging applications in machine learning, where they are used to enforce the notion of diversity in subset selection problems. Many estimators have been proposed, but surprisingly the basic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel , Ankur Moitra , Philippe Rigollet , John Urschel

The Hawkes process is a simple point process that has long memory, clustering effect, self-exciting property and is in general non-Markovian. The future evolution of a self-exciting point process is influenced by the timing of the past…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-25 Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper, we introduce a Gaussian process based moving horizon estimation (MHE) framework. The scheme is based on offline collected data and offline hyperparameter optimization. In particular, compared to standard MHE schemes, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-16 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) provide a rich framework for sequential decision-making under uncertainty in stochastic domains. However, solving a POMDP is often intractable except for small problems due to their…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-16 Stéphane Ross , Joelle Pineau , Sébastien Paquet , Brahim Chaib-draa

We introduce the Hyperedge-triggered Hawkes (HTH) process for inferring higher-order interaction structure in multi-cellular systems from asynchronous event-time data. Beyond standard pairwise excitation, the HTH intensity includes a term…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-27 Zihan Xu

This paper considers the practically important case of nonparametrically estimating heterogeneous average treatment effects that vary with a limited number of discrete and continuous covariates in a selection-on-observables framework where…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-26 Michael Zimmert , Michael Lechner

Off-policy Evaluation (OPE), or offline evaluation in general, evaluates the performance of hypothetical policies leveraging only offline log data. It is particularly useful in applications where the online interaction involves high stakes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-01 Yuta Saito , Takuma Udagawa , Haruka Kiyohara , Kazuki Mogi , Yusuke Narita , Kei Tateno

The off-policy paradigm casts recommendation as a counterfactual decision-making task, allowing practitioners to unbiasedly estimate online metrics using offline data. This leads to effective evaluation metrics, as well as learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Olivier Jeunen , Aleksei Ustimenko

This paper proposes a primal-dual framework to learn a stable estimator for linear constrained estimation problems leveraging the moving horizon approach. To avoid the online computational burden in most existing methods, we learn a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-07 Wenhan Cao , Jingliang Duan , Shengbo Eben Li , Chen Chen , Chang Liu , Yu Wang

Multivariate time series data appear often as realizations of non-stationary processes where the covariance matrix or spectral matrix smoothly evolve over time. Most of the current approaches estimate the time-varying spectral properties…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-04 Anass El Yaagoubi Bourakna , Marco Pinto , Norbert Fortin , Hernando Ombao

In this work, we address optimization problems where the objective function is a nonlinear function of an expected value, i.e., compositional stochastic {strongly convex programs}. We consider the case where the decision variable is not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-30 Amrit Singh Bedi , Alec Koppel , Ketan Rajawat , Panchajanya Sanyal

Markerless Human Pose Estimation (HPE) proved its potential to support decision making and assessment in many fields of application. HPE is often preferred to traditional marker-based Motion Capture systems due to the ease of setup,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Andrea Avogaro , Federico Cunico , Bodo Rosenhahn , Francesco Setti

Online aggregation provides estimates to the final result of a computation during the actual processing. The user can stop the computation as soon as the estimate is accurate enough, typically early in the execution. This allows for the…

Databases · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Chengjie Qin , Florin Rusu

This work studies the parameter identification problem of a generalized non-cooperative game, where each player's cost function is influenced by an observable signal and some unknown parameters. We consider the scenario where equilibrium of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Jianguo Chen , Jinlong Lei , Hongsheng Qi , Yiguang Hong

Statistical models for networks with complex dependencies pose particular challenges for model selection and evaluation. In particular, many well-established statistical tools for selecting between models assume conditional independence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Fan Yin , Nolan Edward Phillips , Carter T. Butts