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We introduce a new framework for characterizing identified sets of structural and counterfactual parameters in econometric models. By reformulating the identification problem as a set membership question, we leverage the separating…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-31 Irene Botosaru , Isaac Loh , Chris Muris

Many mathematical models involve input parameters, which are not precisely known. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the parameters whose uncertainty has the largest impact on the variability of a quantity of interest. One of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-21 Pierre Etoré , Clémentine Prieur , Dang Khoi Pham , Long Li

Community detection is one of the most important and challenging problems in network analysis. However, real-world networks may have very different structural properties and communities of various nature. As a result, it is hard (or even…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Liudmila Prokhorenkova

Causal disentanglement aims to uncover a representation of data using latent variables that are interrelated through a causal model. Such a representation is identifiable if the latent model that explains the data is unique. In this paper,…

Many models in mathematical epidemiology are developed with the aim to provide a framework for parameter estimation and then prediction. It is well-known that parameters are not always uniquely identifiable. In this paper we consider…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-17 István Zoltán Kiss , Péter L. Simon

I present here a simple proof that, under general regularity conditions, the standard parametrization of generalized linear mixed model is identifiable. The proof is based on the assumptions of generalized linear mixed models on the first…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-06 Rodrigo Labouriau

We derive an accounting identity for predictive models that links accuracy with common fairness criteria. The identity shows that for globally calibrated models, the weighted sums of miscalibration within groups and error imbalance across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Hadi Elzayn , Jacob Goldin

A novel framework is introduced to formalize identifiability in well-specified but ill-posed linear regression models. The framework is distribution-free and accommodates highly correlated features that may or may not relate to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Gianluca Finocchio , Tatyana Krivobokova

Global sensitivity metrics are essential tools for assessing parameter importance in complex models, particularly when precise information about parameter values is unavailable. In many cases, such metrics are used to provide parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-19 Huiyan Zou , Allison L. Lewis

Parameter identification and comparison of dynamical systems is a challenging task in many fields. Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian process regression over time-series data have been successfully applied to infer the parameters of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-04 Philippe Wenk , Alkis Gotovos , Stefan Bauer , Nico Gorbach , Andreas Krause , Joachim M. Buhmann

To solve hard problems, AI relies on a variety of disciplines such as logic, probabilistic reasoning, machine learning and mathematical programming. Although it is widely accepted that solving real-world problems requires an integration…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Vaishak Belle , Luc De Raedt

This paper studies system identification of high-dimensional ARMA models with binary-valued observations. The existing paper can only deal with the case where the regression term is only one-dimensional. In this paper, the ARMA model with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Xin Li , Ting Wang , Jin Guo , Yanlong Zhao

Contemporary global optimization algorithms are based on local measures of utility, rather than a probability measure over location and value of the optimum. They thus attempt to collect low function values, not to learn about the optimum.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-12-07 Philipp Hennig , Christian J. Schuler

The accurate prediction of time-changing variances is an important task in the modeling of financial data. Standard econometric models are often limited as they assume rigid functional relationships for the variances. Moreover, function…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-14 Yue Wu , Jose Miguel Hernandez Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

Identifying predictive world models for robots in novel environments from sparse online observations is essential for robot task planning and execution in novel environments. However, existing methods that leverage differentiable…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Yifan Zhu , Tianyi Xiang , Aaron Dollar , Zherong Pan

Biomechanical models often need to describe very complex systems, organs or diseases, and hence also include a large number of parameters. One of the attractive features of physics-based models is that in those models (most) parameters have…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Barbara Wirthl , Sebastian Brandstaeter , Jonas Nitzler , Bernhard A. Schrefler , Wolfgang A. Wall

We believe we have made progress in the age-old problem of divisibility rules for integers. Universal divisibility rule is introduced for any divisor in any base number system. The divisibility criterion is written down explicitly as a…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2016-03-30 Anatoly A. Grinberg , Serge Luryi

When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

Time series data is prevalent in a wide variety of real-world applications and it calls for trustworthy and explainable models for people to understand and fully trust decisions made by AI solutions. We consider the problem of building…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Tsung-Yu Hsieh , Suhang Wang , Yiwei Sun , Vasant Honavar

In this paper, we present a machine learning method for the discovery of analytic solutions to differential equations. The method utilizes an inherently interpretable algorithm, genetic programming based symbolic regression. Unlike…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Hongsup Oh , Roman Amici , Geoffrey Bomarito , Shandian Zhe , Robert Kirby , Jacob Hochhalter