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Most optimal routing problems focus on minimizing travel time or distance traveled. Oftentimes, a more useful objective is to maximize the probability of on-time arrival, which requires statistical distributions of travel times, rather than…

Travel time on a route varies substantially by time of day and from day to day. It is critical to understand to what extent this variation is correlated with various factors, such as weather, incidents, events or travel demand level in the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-17 Shuguan Yang , Sean Qian

Traffic speed forecasting is an important task in intelligent transportation system management. The objective of much of the current computational research is to minimize the difference between predicted and actual speeds, but information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Yuanjie Lu , Amarda Shehu , David Lattanzi

We present a system for estimating the friction of the pavement surface at any curved road section, by arriving at a consensus estimate, based on data from vehicles that have recently passed through that section. This estimate can help…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Jens-Patrick Langstand , Maben Rabi

Accurate prediction of travel time is an essential feature to support Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). The non-linearity of traffic states, however, makes this prediction a challenging task. Here we propose to use dynamic linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Semin Kwak , Nikolas Geroliminis

Recent Autonomous Vehicles (AV) technology includes machine learning and probabilistic techniques that add significant complexity to the traditional verification and validation methods. The research community and industry have widely…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Dhanoop Karunakaran , Julie Stephany Berrio , Stewart Worrall , Eduardo Nebot

Urban traffic anomalies, such as collisions and disruptions, threaten the safety, efficiency, and sustainability of transportation systems. In this paper, we present a simulation-based framework for modeling, detecting, and predicting such…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-17 Tony Kinchen , Ting Bai , Nishanth Venkatesh S. , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

Shared mobility systems (e.g., shared cars and ride-hailing services) generate persistent spatial imbalances as vehicles concentrate at popular destinations, leaving trip origins depleted of supply. Operators incur substantial costs in…

Applied Physics · Physics 2026-04-07 Wenbo Fan , Zhouyun Chen , Weihua Gu

Real-time traffic prediction from high-fidelity spatiotemporal traffic sensor datasets is an important problem for intelligent transportation systems and sustainability. However, it is challenging due to the complex topological dependencies…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-22 Dingxiong Deng , Cyrus Shahabi , Ugur Demiryurek , Linhong Zhu , Rose Yu , Yan Liu

In vehicle-to-all (V2X) communications, roadside units (RSUs) play an essential role in connecting various network devices. In some cases, users may not be well-served by RSUs due to congestion, attenuation, or interference. In these cases,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-27 Chang-Sik Choi , François Baccelli

The survival analysis of driving trajectories allows for holistic evaluations of car-related risks caused by collisions or curvy roads. This analysis has advantages over common Time-To-X indicators, such as its predictive and probabilistic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-16 Tim Puphal , Benedict Flade , Malte Probst , Volker Willert , Jürgen Adamy , Julian Eggert

This paper proposes a model to estimate the probability of a vehicle reaching a near-term goal state using one or multiple lane changes based on parameters corresponding to traffic conditions and driving behavior. The proposed model not…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Goodarz Mehr , Azim Eskandarian

Path planning for autonomous vehicles in arbitrary environments requires a guarantee of safety, but this can be impractical to ensure in real-time when the vehicle is described with a high-fidelity model. To address this problem, this paper…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-02 Shreyas Kousik , Sean Vaskov , Matthew Johnson-Roberson , Ramanarayan Vasudevan

Predicting travel times of vehicles in urban settings is a useful and tangible quantity of interest in the context of intelligent transportation systems. We address the problem of travel time prediction in arterial roads using data sampled…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-17 Avinash Achar , Venkatesh Sarangan , R Rohith , Anand Sivasubramaniam

Vehicle route prediction is one of the significant tasks in vehicles mobility. It is one of the means to reduce the accidents and increase comfort in human life. The task of route prediction becomes simpler with the development of certain…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Ali Nawaz , Attique Ur Rehman

Autonomous vehicles hold great promise in improving the future of transportation. The driving models used in these vehicles are based on neural networks, which can be difficult to validate. However, ensuring the safety of these models is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Maximilian Zipfl , Sven Spickermann , J. Marius Zöllner

The continuous expansion of the urban traffic sensing infrastructure has led to a surge in the volume of widely available road related data. Consequently, increasing effort is being dedicated to the creation of intelligent transportation…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-02-17 Alina Patelli , Victoria Lush , Aniko Ekart , Elisabeth Ilie-Zudor

To improve the routing decisions of individual drivers and the management policies designed by traffic operators, one needs reliable estimates of travel time distributions. Since congestion caused by both recurrent patterns (e.g., rush…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-13 Nikki Levering , Marko Boon , Michel Mandjes

Route-level travel time reliability requires characterizing the distribution of total travel time across correlated segments -- a problem where existing methods either assume independence (fast but miscalibrated) or model dependence via…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-10 Vadim Sokolov , Refik Soyer

Accurate roadway travel-time prediction is foundational to transportation systems analysis, yet widespread reliance on either data-intensive congestion models or overly na\"ive heuristics limits scalability and practical adoption in…

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