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We present a method to quantify uncertainty in the predictions made by simulations of mathematical models that can be applied to a broad class of stochastic, discrete, and differential equation models. Quantifying uncertainty is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-05 Kyle S. Hickmann , James M. Hyman , Sara Y. Del Valle

Ensembles of deep neural networks have achieved great success recently, but they do not offer a proper Bayesian justification. Moreover, while they allow for averaging of predictions over several hypotheses, they do not provide any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Francesco D'Angelo , Vincent Fortuin , Florian Wenzel

Evolutionary Strategies (ES) are known to be an effective black-box optimization technique for deep neural networks when the true gradients cannot be computed, such as in Reinforcement Learning. We continue a recent line of research that…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-10-14 Florian Meier , Asier Mujika , Marcelo Matheus Gauy , Angelika Steger

In recent years, research on hyperspectral image (HSI) classification has continuous progress on introducing deep network models, and recently the graph convolutional network (GCN) based models have shown impressive performance. However,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Mingyang Zhang , Ziqi Di , Maoguo Gong , Yue Wu , Hao Li , Xiangming Jiang

We present a novel framework combining Deep Operator Networks (DeepONets) with Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) to solve partial differential equations (PDEs) and estimate their unknown parameters. By integrating data-driven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Amogh Raj , Carol Eunice Gudumotou , Sakol Bun , Keerthana Srinivasa , Arash Sarshar

Stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in modern, real-world applications. Yet, estimating the unknown parameters of stochastic, nonlinear dynamical models remains a challenging problem. The majority of existing methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Anubhab Ghosh , Mohamed Abdalmoaty , Saikat Chatterjee , Håkan Hjalmarsson

This paper addresses the problem of learning a sparse structure Bayesian network from high-dimensional discrete data. Compared to continuous Bayesian networks, learning a discrete Bayesian network is a challenging problem due to the large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Nazanin Shajoonnezhad , Amin Nikanjam

We propose a simple algorithm to train stochastic neural networks to draw samples from given target distributions for probabilistic inference. Our method is based on iteratively adjusting the neural network parameters so that the output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-01 Yihao Feng , Dilin Wang , Qiang Liu

Optimal computations under uncertainty require an adequate probabilistic representation about beliefs. Deep generative models, and specifically Variational Autoencoders (VAEs), have the potential to meet this demand by building latent…

Deep neural networks can be roughly divided into deterministic neural networks and stochastic neural networks.The former is usually trained to achieve a mapping from input space to output space via maximum likelihood estimation for the…

Learning controller parameters from closed-loop data has been shown to improve closed-loop performance. Bayesian optimization, a widely used black-box and sample-efficient learning method, constructs a probabilistic surrogate of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Sebastian Hirt , Valentinus Suwanto , Hendrik Alsmeier , Maik Pfefferkorn , Rolf Findeisen

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have shown promising performance for language modeling. However, traditional training of RNNs using back-propagation through time often suffers from overfitting. One reason for this is that stochastic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Zhe Gan , Chunyuan Li , Changyou Chen , Yunchen Pu , Qinliang Su , Lawrence Carin

Assessing the predictive uncertainty of deep neural networks is crucial for safety-related applications of deep learning. Although Bayesian deep learning offers a principled framework for estimating model uncertainty, the common approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Yookoon Park , David M. Blei

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for probabilistic reasoning. If inference is performed in two steps, uncertainty propagation plays a crucial role in accounting for all sources of uncertainty and variability. This becomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Svenja Jedhoff , Hadi Kutabi , Anne Meyer , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are nonlinear dynamical models commonly used in the machine learning and dynamical systems literature to represent complex dynamical or sequential relationships between variables. More recently, as deep…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-08 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

We propose a novel deep learning based surrogate model for solving high-dimensional uncertainty quantification and uncertainty propagation problems. The proposed deep learning architecture is developed by integrating the well-known U-net…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Sai Krishna Mendu , Souvik Chakraborty

The development of efficient surrogates for partial differential equations (PDEs) is a critical step towards scalable modeling of complex, multiscale systems-of-systems. Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have gained popularity as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Adrienne M. Propp , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

In Bayesian inverse problems, surrogate models are often constructed to speed up the computational procedure, as the parameter-to-data map can be very expensive to evaluate. However, due to the curse of dimensionality and the nonlinear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Liang Yan , Tao Zhou