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How might a smooth probability distribution be estimated, with accurately quantified uncertainty, from a limited amount of sampled data? Here we describe a field-theoretic approach that addresses this problem remarkably well in one…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-10-24 Wei-Chia Chen , Ammar Tareen , Justin B. Kinney

The ratio between two probability density functions is an important component of various tasks, including selection bias correction, novelty detection and classification. Recently, several estimators of this ratio have been proposed. Most…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-30 Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee , Chad M. Schafer

We consider a non-parametric Bayesian model for conditional densities. The model is a finite mixture of normal distributions with covariate dependent multinomial logit mixing probabilities. A prior for the number of mixture components is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-21 Andriy Norets , Debdeep Pati

For highly skewed or fat-tailed distributions, mean or median-based methods often fail to capture the central tendencies in the data. Despite being a viable alternative, estimating the conditional mode given certain covariates (or mode…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-10 Eduardo Schirmer Finn , Eduardo Horta

The simultaneous estimation of multiple unknown parameters lies at heart of a broad class of important problems across science and technology. Currently, the state-of-the-art performance in the such problems is achieved by nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Alton Barbehenn , Sihai Dave Zhao

In this paper, we study a class of non-parametric density estimators under Bayesian settings. The estimators are piecewise constant functions on binary partitions. We analyze the concentration rate of the posterior distribution under a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-21 Linxi Liu , Wing Hung Wong

In recent years, diffusion models, and more generally score-based deep generative models, have achieved remarkable success in various applications, including image and audio generation. In this paper, we view diffusion models as an implicit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Hyeok Kyu Kwon , Dongha Kim , Ilsang Ohn , Minwoo Chae

We consider the problem of conditional density estimation, which is a major topic of interest in the fields of statistical and machine learning. Our method, called Marginal Contrastive Discrimination, MCD, reformulates the conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-05 Katia Meziani , Aminata Ndiaye , Benjamin Riu

Variable kernel density estimation allows the approximation of a probability density by the mean of differently stretched and rotated kernels centered at given sampling points $y_n\in\mathbb{R}^d,\ n=1,\dots,N$. Up to now, the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Ilja Klebanov

Regression aims at estimating the conditional mean of output given input. However, regression is not informative enough if the conditional density is multimodal, heteroscedastic, and asymmetric. In such a case, estimating the conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-29 Voot Tangkaratt , Ning Xie , Masashi Sugiyama

As an alternative to variable selection or shrinkage in high dimensional regression, we propose to randomly compress the predictors prior to analysis. This dramatically reduces storage and computational bottlenecks, performing well when the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-03-26 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , David B. Dunson

Nonparametric density estimators are studied for $d$-dimensional, strongly spatial mixing data which is defined on a general $N$-dimensional lattice structure. We consider linear and nonlinear hard thresholded wavelet estimators which are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Johannes T. N. Krebs

Approximate Bayesian inference on the basis of summary statistics is well-suited to complex problems for which the likelihood is either mathematically or computationally intractable. However the methods that use rejection suffer from the…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-04 M. G. B. Blum , O. Francois

We investigate density estimation from a $n$-sample in the Euclidean space $\mathbb R^D$, when the data is supported by an unknown submanifold $M$ of possibly unknown dimension $d < D$ under a reach condition. We study nonparametric kernel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-02 Clément Berenfeld , Marc Hoffmann

In some applications (e.g., in cosmology and economics), the regression E[Z|x] is not adequate to represent the association between a predictor x and a response Z because of multi-modality and asymmetry of f(z|x); using the full density…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-01 Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee

This paper deals with nonparametric estimation of conditional den-sities in mixture models in the case when additional covariates are available. The proposed approach consists of performing a prelim-inary clustering algorithm on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-09 Stéphane Auray , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Laurent Rouvière

We investigate solution methods for large-scale inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) via Bayesian inference. The Bayesian framework provides a statistical setting to infer uncertain parameters from noisy…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-08 Mina Karimi , Mehrdad Massoudi , Kaushik Dayal , Matteo Pozzi

We introduce a nonparametric prior on the conditional distribution of a (univariate or multivariate) response given a set of predictors. The prior is constructed in the form of a two-stage generative procedure, which in the first stage…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Li Ma

In this paper we study the problem of pointwise density estimation from observations with multiplicative measurement errors. We elucidate the main feature of this problem: the influence of the estimation point on the estimation accuracy. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Denis Belomestny , Alexander Goldenshluger

This paper studies the problems of identifiability and estimation in high-dimensional nonparametric latent structure models. We introduce an identifiability theorem that generalizes existing conditions, establishing a unified framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Yichen Lyu , Pengkun Yang