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We compare different selection criteria to choose the number of latent states of a multivariate latent Markov model for longitudinal data. This model is based on an underlying Markov chain to represent the evolution of a latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-04 Silvia Bacci , Silvia Pandolfi , Fulvia Pennoni

Inferential challenges that arise when data are censored have been extensively studied under the classical frameworks. In this paper, we provide an alternative generalized inferential model approach whose output is a data-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-16 Joyce Cahoon , Ryan Martin

Inference based on the penalized density ratio model is proposed and studied. The model under consideration is specified by assuming that the log--likelihood function of two unknown densities is of some parametric form. The model has been…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-07-17 Konstantinos Fokianos

The paper addresses the problem of estimation of the model parameters of the logistic exponential distribution based on progressive type-I hybrid censored sample. The maximum likelihood estimates are obtained and computed numerically using…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-13 Subhankar Dutta , Suchandan Kayal

Confounding can lead to spurious associations. Typically, one must observe confounders in order to adjust for them, but in high-dimensional settings, recent research has shown that it becomes possible to adjust even for unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Yujing Lu , Patrick Breheny

We propose a stochastic MPC scheme using an optimization over the initial state for the predicted trajectory. Considering linear discrete-time systems under unbounded additive stochastic disturbances subject to chance constraints, we use…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-19 Henning Schlüter , Frank Allgöwer

This paper is concerned with combined inference for point processes on the real line observed in a broken interval. For such processes, the classic history-based approach cannot be used. Instead, we adapt tools from sequential spatial point…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-04 M. N. M. van Lieshout

Valid statistical inference is challenging when the sample is subject to unknown selection bias. Data integration can be used to correct for selection bias when we have a parallel probability sample from the same population with some common…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-24 Zhonglei Wang , Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim

The stochastic nature of time delays and sampling intervals in Networked Control Systems poses significant challenges for controller synthesis and analysis, often leading to conservative designs and degraded performance. This work presents…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Matheus Wagner , Marcelo M. Morato , Antônio Augusto Fröhlich , Julio E. Normey-Rico

We consider the problem of simultaneous variable selection and estimation in additive, partially linear models for longitudinal/clustered data. We propose an estimation procedure via polynomial splines to estimate the nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Shujie Ma , Qiongxia Song , Li Wang

Linear mixed models are a versatile statistical tool to study data by accounting for fixed effects and random effects from multiple sources of variability. In many situations, a large number of candidate fixed effects is available and it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-09 Emanuele Degani , Luca Maestrini , Dorota Toczydłowska , Matt P. Wand

Estimation in generalized linear models (GLM) is complicated by the presence of constraints. One can handle constraints by maximizing a penalized log-likelihood. Penalties such as the lasso are effective in high dimensions, but often lead…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Jason Xu , Eric C. Chi , Kenneth Lange

Multiple systems estimation using a Poisson loglinear model is a standard approach to quantifying hidden populations where data sources are based on lists of known cases. Information criteria are often used for selecting between the large…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-23 Bernard W. Silverman , Lax Chan , Kyle Vincent

This work considers the problem of calculating an interval-valued state estimate for a nonlinear system subject to bounded inputs and measurement errors. Such state estimators are often called interval observers. Interval observers can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Stuart M. Harwood , Paul I. Barton

We show how to estimate a model's test error from unlabeled data, on distributions very different from the training distribution, while assuming only that certain conditional independencies are preserved between train and test. We do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Jacob Steinhardt , Percy Liang

We are sometimes forced to use the Interrupted Time Series (ITS) design as an identification strategy for potential policy change, such as when we only have a single treated unit and no comparable controls. For example, with recent county-…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-17 Luke Miratrix

We propose an $\ell_1$-penalized estimation procedure for high-dimensional linear mixed-effects models. The models are useful whenever there is a grouping structure among high-dimensional observations, i.e. for clustered data. We prove a…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-12 Jürg Schelldorfer , Peter Bühlmann , Sara van de Geer

Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) have been used extensively in statistical models of spike train data. However, the maximum likelihood estimates of the model parameters and their uncertainty, can be challenging to compute in situations…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-07 Sahand Farhoodi , Uri Eden

Despite its potential to improve sample complexity versus model-free approaches, model-based reinforcement learning can fail catastrophically if the model is inaccurate. An algorithm should ideally be able to trust an imperfect model over a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-25 Chenjun Xiao , Yifan Wu , Chen Ma , Dale Schuurmans , Martin Müller

We demonstrate how the uncertainty of parameter point estimates can be assessed in a maximum likelihood framework in order to prevent overfitting and erroneous detection of time-inhomogeneity. The class of models we consider are regular…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-23 Jakob Stöber , Ulf Schepsmeier
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