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Gaussian processes are the gold standard for many real-world modeling problems, especially in cases where a model's success hinges upon its ability to faithfully represent predictive uncertainty. These problems typically exist as parts of…

We propose a simple method that combines neural networks and Gaussian processes. The proposed method can estimate the uncertainty of outputs and flexibly adjust target functions where training data exist, which are advantages of Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-20 Tomoharu Iwata , Zoubin Ghahramani

A major stage of radio interferometric data processing is calibration or the estimation of systematic errors in the data and the correction for such errors. A stochastic error (noise) model is assumed, and in most cases, this underlying…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 S. Kazemi , S. Yatawatta

The asymptotic properties of Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) have been extensively studied, particularly regarding their approximations by Gaussian processes in the infinite-width limit. We extend these results by showing that posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-07 Francesco Caporali , Stefano Favaro , Dario Trevisan

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a Bayesian method for inferring profiles based on input data. The technique is increasing in popularity in the fusion community due to its many advantages over traditional fitting techniques including…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Jarrod Leddy , Sandeep Madireddy , Eric Howell , Scott Kruger

Providing transport users and operators with accurate forecasts on travel times is challenging due to a highly stochastic traffic environment. Public transport users are particularly sensitive to unexpected waiting times, which negatively…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-25 Hector Rodriguez-Deniz , Mattias Villani

We present the elliptical processes -- a family of non-parametric probabilistic models that subsumes the Gaussian process and the Student-t process. This generalization includes a range of new fat-tailed behaviors yet retains computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-03 Maria Bånkestad , Jens Sjölund , Jalil Taghia , Thomas Schön

For the outlier problem in linear regression models, the Student-$t$ linear regression model is one of the common methods for robust modeling and is widely adopted in the literature. However, most of them applies it without careful…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-06 Yoshiko Hayashi

Gaussian processes are probabilistic models that are commonly used as functional priors in machine learning. Due to their probabilistic nature, they can be used to capture the prior information on the statistics of noise, smoothness of the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-02 Ahmad Farooq , Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Simo Särkkä

Gaussian processes are a powerful class of non-linear models, but have limited applicability for larger datasets due to their high computational complexity. In such cases, approximate methods are required, for example, the recently…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Soham Mukherjee , Manfred Claassen , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Bayesian Optimization is methodology used in statistical modelling that utilizes a Gaussian process prior distribution to iteratively update a posterior distribution towards the true distribution of the data. Finding unbiased informative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Ruduan Plug

Bayesian optimization is a powerful paradigm to optimize black-box functions based on scarce and noisy data. Its data efficiency can be further improved by transfer learning from related tasks. While recent transfer models meta-learn a…

Gaussian Processes face two primary challenges: constructing models for large datasets and selecting the optimal model. This master's thesis tackles these challenges in the low-dimensional case. We examine recent convergence results to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-13 Marcel Neugebauer

Computer experiments can emulate the physical systems, help computational investigations, and yield analytic solutions. They have been widely employed with many engineering applications (e.g., aerospace, automotive, energy systems.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Yan Wang , Meng Wang , Areej AlBahar , Xiaowei Yue

Gaussian processes are used in many machine learning applications that rely on uncertainty quantification. Recently, computational tools for working with these models in geometric settings, such as when inputs lie on a Riemannian manifold,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Paul Rosa , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Alexander Terenin , Judith Rousseau

Gaussian processes are one of the dominant approaches in Bayesian learning. Although the approach has been applied to numerous problems with great success, it has a few fundamental limitations. Multiple methods in literature have addressed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Kalvik Jakkala

Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman

We present an adaptive approach to the construction of Gaussian process surrogates for Bayesian inference with expensive-to-evaluate forward models. Our method relies on the fully Bayesian approach to training Gaussian process models and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-01 Timur Takhtaganov , Juliane Müller

Gaussian processes provide probabilistic surrogates for various applications including classification, uncertainty quantification, and optimization. Using a gradient-enhanced covariance matrix can be beneficial since it provides a more…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-13 André L. Marchildon , David W. Zingg

We propose a class of structured diffusion models, in which the prior distribution is chosen as a mixture of Gaussians, rather than a standard Gaussian distribution. The specific mixed Gaussian distribution, as prior, can be chosen to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Nanshan Jia , Tingyu Zhu , Haoyu Liu , Zeyu Zheng