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Solar energetic particles (SEPs) are an essential source of space radiation, which are hazards for humans in space, spacecraft, and technology in general. In this paper we propose a deep learning method, specifically a bidirectional long…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-18 Yasser Abduallah , Vania K. Jordanova , Hao Liu , Qin Li , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang

In this article, we present the application of the weighted horizontal gradient of magnetic field (WGM) flare prediction method to 3-dimensional (3D) extrapolated magnetic configurations of 13 flaring solar active regions (ARs). The main…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-24 M. B. Korsos , M. K. Georgoulis , N. Gyenge , S. K. Bisoi , S. Yu , S. Poedts , C. J. Nelson , J. Liu , Y. Yan , R. Erdelyi

Ways to give medium- and short-term predictions of solar flares are proposed according to the statistical analysis of events during solar cycle 23. On one hand, the time distribution of both C and M class flares shows two main periods of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-17 Z. Q. Qu

This paper contributes to the growing body of research on deep learning methods for solar flare prediction, primarily focusing on highly overlooked near-limb flares and utilizing the attribution methods to provide a post hoc qualitative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-27 Chetraj Pandey , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

We investigate the use of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Decomposition-LSTM (DLSTM) networks, combined with an ensemble algorithm, to predict solar flare occurrences using time-series data from the GOES catalog. The dataset spans from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Zeinab Hassani , Davud Mohammadpur , Hossein Safari

Accurate, reliable solar flare prediction is crucial for mitigating potential disruptions to critical infrastructure, while predicting solar flares remains a significant challenge. Existing methods based on heuristic physical features often…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Shunya Nagashima , Komei Sugiura

Solar flares - bursts of high-energy radiation responsible for severe space-weather effects - are a consequence of the occasional destabilization of magnetic fields rooted in active regions (ARs). The complexity of AR evolution is a barrier…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-27 Dattaraj B. Dhuri , Shravan M. Hanasoge , Mark C. M. Cheung

Solar eruptions, including flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs), have a significant impact on Earth. Some flares are associated with CMEs, and some flares are not. The association between flares and CMEs is not always obvious. In this…

Solar flares are explosions on the Sun. They happen when energy stored in magnetic fields around solar active regions (ARs) is suddenly released. In this paper, we present a transformer-based framework, named SolarFlareNet, for predicting…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-28 Yasser Abduallah , Jason T. L. Wang

High energy solar flares and coronal mass ejections have the potential to destroy Earth's ground and satellite infrastructures, causing trillions of dollars in damage and mass human suffering. Destruction of these critical systems would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-18 Erik Larsen

The accurate forecasting of solar flares is considered a key goal within the solar physics and space weather communities. There is significant potential for flare prediction to be improved by incorporating topological fluxes of magnetogram…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-06 Thomas Williams , Christopher B. Prior , David MacTaggart

Solar flares produce radiation which can have an almost immediate effect on the near-Earth environment, making it crucial to forecast flares in order to mitigate their negative effects. The number of published approaches to flare…

We present a new data product, called Space-Weather MDI Active Region Patches (SMARPs), derived from maps of the solar surface magnetic field taken by the Michelson Doppler Imager (MDI) aboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SoHO).…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-09-21 Monica G. Bobra , Paul J. Wright , Xudong Sun , Michael J. Turmon

Most solar flares originate in sunspot groups, where magnetic field changes lead to energy build-up and release. However, few flare-forecasting methods use information of sunspot-group evolution, instead focusing on static point-in-time…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-03 Aoife E. McCloskey , Peter T. Gallagher , D. Shaun Bloomfield

Accurate and reliable predictions of solar flares are essential due to their potentially significant impact on Earth and space-based infrastructure. Although deep learning models have shown notable predictive capabilities in this domain,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Temitope Adeyeha , Chetraj Pandey , Berkay Aydin

The prediction of solar flares is still a significant challenge in space weather research, with no techniques currently capable of producing reliable forecasts performing significantly above climatology. In this paper, we present a flare…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-12 Christian Thibeault , Antoine Strugarek , Paul Charbonneau , Benoit Tremblay

Traditional solar flare forecasting approaches have mostly relied on physics-based or data-driven models using solar magnetograms, treating flare predictions as a point-in-time classification problem. This approach has limitations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Anli Ji , Chetraj Pandey , Berkay Aydin

Solar magnetic activity produces extreme solar flares and coronal mass ejections, which pose grave threats to electronic infrastructure and can significantly disrupt economic activity. It is therefore important to appreciate the triggers of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-09 Dattaraj B. Dhuri , Shamik Bhattacharjee , Shravan M. Hanasoge , Sashi Kiran Mahapatra

We present a case study of solar flare forecasting by means of metadata feature time series, by treating it as a prominent class-imbalance and temporally coherent problem. Taking full advantage of pre-flare time series in solar active…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-05-26 Azim Ahmadzadeh , Berkay Aydin , Manolis K. Georgoulis , Dustin J. Kempton , Sushant S. Mahajan , Rafal A. Angryk

This paper introduces a high resolution, machine learning-ready heliophysics dataset derived from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO), specifically designed to advance machine learning (ML) applications in solar physics and space…