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We introduce new approaches for forecasting IBNR (Incurred But Not Reported) frequencies by leveraging individual claims data, which includes accident date, reporting delay, and possibly additional features for every reported claim. A key…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-27 Munir Hiabu , Emil Hofman , Gabriele Pittarello

The value of raw data is unlocked by converting it into information and knowledge that drives decision-making. Machine Learning (ML) algorithms are capable of analysing large datasets and making accurate predictions. Market segmentation,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-29 Diego Vallarino

Survival analysis is playing a major role in manufacturing sector by analyzing occurrence of any unwanted event based on the input data. Predictive maintenance, which is a part of survival analysis, helps to find any device failure based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Renith G , Harikrishna Warrier , Yogesh Gupta

The conditional survival function of a time-to-event outcome subject to censoring and truncation is a common target of estimation in survival analysis. This parameter may be of scientific interest and also often appears as a nuisance in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Charles J. Wolock , Peter B. Gilbert , Noah Simon , Marco Carone

While there are many well-developed data science methods for classification and regression, there are relatively few methods for working with right-censored data. Here, we present "survival stacking": a method for casting survival analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-29 Erin Craig , Chenyang Zhong , Robert Tibshirani

Survival analysis on tabular data is a well-studied problem. However, existing deep learning methods are often highly task-specific, which can limit the transfer of new approaches from other domains and introduce constraints that may affect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Stanislav Kirpichenko , Andrei Konstantinov , Lev Utkin

Survival analysis is a widely-used technique for analyzing time-to-event data in the presence of censoring. In recent years, numerous survival analysis methods have emerged which scale to large datasets and relax traditional assumptions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Mert Ketenci , Shreyas Bhave , Noémie Elhadad , Adler Perotte

Survival analysis is a technique to predict the times of specific outcomes, and is widely used in predicting the outcomes for intensive care unit (ICU) trauma patients. Recently, deep learning models have drawn increasing attention in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-22 Yun Zhao , Qinghang Hong , Xinlu Zhang , Yu Deng , Yuqing Wang , Linda Petzold

We consider a parametric modelling approach for survival data where covariates are allowed to enter the model through multiple distributional parameters, i.e., scale and shape. This is in contrast with the standard convention of having a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-17 Fatima-Zahra Jaouimaa , Il Do Ha , Kevin Burke

Kernel survival analysis models estimate individual survival distributions with the help of a kernel function, which measures the similarity between any two data points. Such a kernel function can be learned using deep kernel survival…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 George H. Chen

Survival analysis is an important research topic with applications in healthcare, business, and manufacturing. One essential tool in this area is the Cox proportional hazards (CPH) model, which is widely used for its interpretability,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Jiachang Liu , Rui Zhang , Cynthia Rudin

In this work, we discuss what we refer to as reduction techniques for survival analysis, that is, techniques that "reduce" a survival task to a more common regression or classification task, without ignoring the specifics of survival data.…

Survival analysis, the art of time-to-event modeling, plays an important role in clinical treatment decisions. Recently, continuous time models built from neural ODEs have been proposed for survival analysis. However, the training of neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Xintian Han , Mark Goldstein , Rajesh Ranganath

The size of a website's active user base directly affects its value. Thus, it is important to monitor and influence a user's likelihood to return to a site. Essential to this is predicting when a user will return. Current state of the art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-06 Georg L. Grob , Ângelo Cardoso , C. H. Bryan Liu , Duncan A. Little , Benjamin Paul Chamberlain

Objective: Survival analysis is central to medical prediction, yet large language models (LLMs) are rarely used as end-to-end survival models because censoring prevents straightforward supervised fine-tuning. Here we present LLMSurvival, a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Yishu Wei , Hexin Dong , Yi Lin , Jiahe Qian , Yi Liu , Yifan Peng

We propose a novel method for predicting time-to-event in the presence of cure fractions based on flexible survivals models integrated into a deep neural network framework. Our approach allows for non-linear relationships and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Victor Medina-Olivares , Stefan Lessmann , Nadja Klein

Lung cancer remains one of the leading causes of cancer-related mortality, yet most survival models rely only on baseline factors and overlook posttreatment variables that reflect disease progression. To address this gap, we applied Cox…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-03 Varun Vishwanathan Nair , Victor Miranda Soberanis

We consider a log-linear model for survival data, where both the location and scale parameters depend on covariates and the baseline hazard function is completely unspecified. This model provides the flexibility needed to capture many…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-16 Kevin Burke , Frank Eriksson , C. B. Pipper

Concept-based learning enhances prediction accuracy and interpretability by leveraging high-level, human-understandable concepts. However, existing CBL frameworks do not address survival analysis tasks, which involve predicting event times…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Stanislav R. Kirpichenko , Lev V. Utkin , Andrei V. Konstantinov , Natalya M. Verbova

Kernel survival analysis methods predict subject-specific survival curves and times using information about which training subjects are most similar to a test subject. These most similar training subjects could serve as forecast evidence.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-28 George H. Chen