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The paper introduces a generalization for known probabilistic models such as log-linear and graphical models, called here multiplicative models. These models, that express probabilities via product of parameters are shown to capture…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Ydo Wexler , Christopher Meek

De Finetti's classical result of [18] identifying the law of an exchangeable family of random variables as a mixture of i.i.d. laws was extended to structure theorems for more complex notions of exchangeability by Aldous [1,2,3], Hoover…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-26 Tim Austin

Distributed optimization has many applications, in communication networks, sensor networks, signal processing, machine learning, and artificial intelligence. Methods for distributed convex optimization are widely investigated, while those…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-22 Hsu Kao , Vijay Subramanian

We study which outcomes are implementable by disclosing coarse statistics of a data-generating process rather than its full distribution. Players observe data whose joint distribution is only partially known: they know the expectations of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-11 Francesco Giordano

Directed graphs occur throughout statistical modeling of networks, and exchangeability is a natural assumption when the ordering of vertices does not matter. There is a deep structural theory for exchangeable undirected graphs, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-19 Diana Cai , Nathanael Ackerman , Cameron Freer

Distribution testing deals with what information can be deduced about an unknown distribution over $\{1,\ldots,n\}$, where the algorithm is only allowed to obtain a relatively small number of independent samples from the distribution. In…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-09-23 Eldar Fischer , Oded Lachish , Yadu Vasudev

Within network analysis, the analytical maximum entropy framework has been very successful for different tasks as network reconstruction and filtering. In a recent paper, the same framework was used for link-prediction for monopartite…

We show how Bruno de Finetti's fundamental theorem of prevision has computable applications in statistical problems that involve only partial information. Specifically, we assess accuracy rates for median decision procedures used in the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-19 Andrea Capotorti , Frank Lad , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

This paper describes a class of probabilistic approximation algorithms based on bucket elimination which offer adjustable levels of accuracy and efficiency. We analyze the approximation for several tasks: finding the most probable…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Rina Dechter , Irina Rish

In this paper we develop a framework for multivariate functional approximation by a suitable Gaussian process via an exchangeable pairs coupling that satisfies a suitable approximate linear regression property, thereby building on work by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-25 Christian Döbler , Mikołaj J. Kasprzak

In 1931 de Finetti proved what is known as his Dutch Book Theorem. This result implies that the finite additivity {\it axiom} for the probability of the disjunction of two incompatible events becomes a {\it consequence} of de Finetti's…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Daniele Mundici

Exchangeability -- in which the distribution of an infinite sequence is invariant to reorderings of its elements -- implies the existence of a simple conditional independence structure that may be leveraged in the design of statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-25 Trevor Campbell , Saifuddin Syed , Chiao-Yu Yang , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick

We introduce simple conditions ensuring that invariant distributions of a Feller Markov chain on a compact Riemannian manifold are absolutely continuous with a lower semi-continuous, continuous or smooth density with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-25 Michel Benaïm , Oliver Tough

Multivariate normal mixtures provide a flexible model for high-dimensional data. They are widely used in statistical genetics, statistical finance, and other disciplines. Due to the unboundedness of the likelihood function, classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-27 Jiahua Chen , Xianming Tan

In the present work, a new time-dependent exchange theory is presented wherein the symmetry constraints, on a multi-electron wavefunction, are properly accounted for. In so doing, the equations of motion, incorporating the required…

Computational Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Charles A. Weatherford

In this paper, we develop a general approach for probabilistic estimation and optimization. An explicit formula and a computational approach are established for controlling the reliability of probabilistic estimation based on a mixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-06 Xinjia Chen

We discuss computational and qualitative aspects of the fractional Plateau and the prescribed fractional mean curvature problems on bounded domains subject to exterior data being a subgraph. We recast these problems in terms of energy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Juan Pablo Borthagaray , Wenbo Li , Ricardo H. Nochetto

We introduce a simple model of economy, where the time evolution is described by an equation capturing both exchange between individuals and random speculative trading, in such a way that the fundamental symmetry of the economy under an…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Mezard

Mixtures of product distributions are a powerful device for learning about heterogeneity within data populations. In this class of latent structure models, de Finetti's mixing measure plays the central role for describing the uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-27 Yun Wei , XuanLong Nguyen

We propose a framework for the derivation and evaluation of distributed iterative algorithms for receiver cooperation in interference-limited wireless systems. Our approach views the processing within and collaboration between receivers as…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-18 Mihai-Alin Badiu , Carles Navarro Manchón , Vasile Bota , Bernard Henri Fleury