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We present a non-trivial integration of dimension-independent likelihood-informed (DILI) MCMC (Cui, Law, Marzouk, 2016) and the multilevel MCMC (Dodwell et al., 2015) to explore the hierarchy of posterior distributions. This integration…

Computation · Statistics 2023-12-01 Tiangang Cui , Gianluca Detommaso , Robert Scheichl

This paper presents a randomized algorithm for computing the near-optimal low-rank dynamic mode decomposition (DMD). Randomized algorithms are emerging techniques to compute low-rank matrix approximations at a fraction of the cost of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-28 N. Benjamin Erichson , Lionel Mathelin , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Obtaining accurately calibrated redshift distributions of photometric samples is one of the great challenges in photometric surveys like LSST, Euclid, HSC, KiDS, and DES. We present an inference methodology that combines the redshift…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-09 M. M. Rau , C. B. Morrison , S. J. Schmidt , S. Wilson , R. Mandelbaum , Y. Y. Mao

Deep neural network (DNN) regression models are widely used in applications requiring state-of-the-art predictive accuracy. However, until recently there has been little work on accurate uncertainty quantification for predictions from such…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-07 Nadja Klein , David J. Nott , Michael Stanley Smith

Large language models (LLMs) rely on pretraining on massive and heterogeneous corpora, where training data composition has a decisive impact on training efficiency and downstream generalization under realistic compute and data budget…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Zhuo Chen , Yuxuan Miao , Supryadi , Deyi Xiong

To improve accuracy and speed of regressions and classifications, we present a data-based prediction method, Random Bits Regression (RBR). This method first generates a large number of random binary intermediate/derived features based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-04 Yi Wang , Yi Li , Momiao Xiong , Li Jin

Deep latent variable models (DLVMs) combine the approximation abilities of deep neural networks and the statistical foundations of generative models. Variational methods are commonly used for inference; however, the exact likelihood of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Jes Frellsen

Maximum likelihood estimation of generalized linear mixed models(GLMMs) is difficult due to marginalization of the random effects. Computing derivatives of a fitted GLMM's likelihood (with respect to model parameters) is also difficult,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-12 Ting Wang , Benjamin Graves , Yves Rosseel , Edgar C. Merkle

Modeling large dependent datasets in modern time series analysis is a crucial research area. One effective approach to handle such datasets is to transform the observations into density functions and apply statistical methods for further…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Yinzhi Wang , Yingqiu Zhu , Ben-Chang Shia , Lei Qin

We consider a problem of linear model selection in the presence of both continuous and categorical predictors. Feasible models consist of subsets of numerical variables and partitions of levels of factors. A new algorithm called delete or…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-22 Aleksandra Maj-Kańska , Piotr Pokarowski , Agnieszka Prochenka

The ratio between two probability density functions is an important component of various tasks, including selection bias correction, novelty detection and classification. Recently, several estimators of this ratio have been proposed. Most…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-30 Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee , Chad M. Schafer

We present a new subspace-based method to construct probabilistic models for high-dimensional data and highlight its use in anomaly detection. The approach is based on a statistical estimation of probability density using densities of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Cetin Savkli , Catherine Schwartz

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a fundamental computational problem in statistics. The problem is to maximize the likelihood function with respect to given data on a statistical model. An algebraic approach to this problem is to…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2015-05-07 Jose Israel Rodriguez , Xiaoxian Tang

A key task in actuarial modelling involves modelling the distributional properties of losses. Classic (distributional) regression approaches like Generalized Linear Models (GLMs; Nelder and Wedderburn, 1972) are commonly used, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Benjamin Avanzi , Eric Dong , Patrick J. Laub , Bernard Wong

As machine learning models are deployed ever more broadly, it becomes increasingly important that they are not only able to perform well on their training distribution, but also yield accurate predictions when confronted with distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-14 Paul Michel , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Graham Neubig

Two-locus sampling probabilities have played a central role in devising an efficient composite likelihood method for estimating fine-scale recombination rates. Due to mathematical and computational challenges, these sampling probabilities…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-12 John A. Kamm , Jeffrey P. Spence , Jeffrey Chan , Yun S. Song

Recent advances in big data and analytics research have provided a wealth of large data sets that are too big to be analyzed in their entirety, due to restrictions on computer memory or storage size. New Bayesian methods have been developed…

Applications · Statistics 2014-09-30 Alexey Miroshnikov , Erin Conlon

The continually increasing number of complex datasets each year necessitates ever improving machine learning methods for robust and accurate categorization of these data. This paper introduces Random Multimodel Deep Learning (RMDL): a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-01 Kamran Kowsari , Mojtaba Heidarysafa , Donald E. Brown , Kiana Jafari Meimandi , Laura E. Barnes

In real life, we frequently come across data sets that involve some independent explanatory variable(s) generating a set of ordinal responses. These ordinal responses may correspond to an underlying continuous latent variable, which is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-08 Arijit Pyne , Subhrajyoty Roy , Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

The abundance of models of complex networks and the current insufficient validation standards make it difficult to judge which models are strongly supported by data and which are not. We focus here on likelihood maximization methods for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-26 Matus Medo
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