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Given a Gaussian random walk (or a Wiener process), possibly with drift, observed through noise, we consider the problem of estimating its first-passage time $\tau_\ell$ of a given level $\ell$ with a stopping time $\eta$ defined over the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Marat Burnashev , Aslan Tchamkerten

We investigate the splitting probability of a monitored continuous-time quantum walk with two targets and show that, in stark contrast to a classical random walk, it exhibits a nonanalytic, phase-transition-like behavior controlled by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-23 Prashant Singh , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

We study the Collatz total stopping time $\tau(n)$ over $n\le 10^7$ from a probabilistic machine learning viewpoint. Empirically, $\tau(n)$ is a skewed and heavily overdispersed count with pronounced arithmetic heterogeneity. We develop two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-06 Nicolò Bonacorsi , Matteo Bordoni

We consider a queueing system consisting of two non-identical exponential servers, where each server has its own dedicated queue and serves the customers in that queue FCFS. Customers arrive according to a Poisson process and join the queue…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-20 Jori Selen , Ivo J. B. F. Adan , Stella Kapodistria , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden

Motivated by applications in computing and telecommunication systems, we investigate the problem of estimating p-quantile of steady-state sojourn times in a single-server multi-class queueing system with non-preemptive priorities for p…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Jin Guang , Guiyu Hong , Xinyun Chen , Xi Peng , Li Chen , Bo Bai , Gong Zhang

It is interesting and challenging to study double-ended queues with First-Come-First-Match discipline under customers' impatient behavior and non-Poisson inputs. The system stability can be guaranteed by the customers' impatient behavior,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-29 Heng-Li Liu , Quan-Lin Li , Yan-Xia Chang , Chi Zhang

Let $G=(V,E)$ be a $d$-regular graph on $n$ vertices and let $\mu_0$ be a probability measure on $V$. The act of moving to a randomly chosen neighbor leads to a sequence of probability measures supported on $V$ given by $\mu_{k+1} = A…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-06-14 Stefan Steinerberger , Rekha R. Thomas

Consider the real Markov walk $S_n = X_1+ \dots+ X_n$ with increments $\left(X_n\right)_{n\geq 1}$ defined by a stochastic recursion starting at $X_0=x$. For a starting point $y>0$ denote by $\tau_y$ the exit time of the process $\left(…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Ion Grama , Ronan Lauvergnat , Émile Le Page

Consider the following birth and death process with the following infinitesimal transition probabilities {\lambda}(k) ={\lambda}/(1+k) and {\mu}(k) = {\mu}k with {\lambda},{\mu}> 0. This process has known as a discouragement queue [5].…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-26 Andrea Monsellato

In this paper we consider the problem of maximum throughput for tandem queueing system. We modeled this system as a Quasi-Birth-Death process. In order to do this we named level the number of customers waiting in the first buffer (including…

Performance · Computer Science 2015-12-21 Daniel Marian Merezeanu , Daniela Andone

We consider multidimensional random walks in pyramids, which by definition are cones formed by finite intersections of half-spaces. The main object of interest is the survival probability $\mathbb{P}(\tau>n)$, $\tau$ denoting the first exit…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-29 Rodolphe Garbit , Kilian Raschel

We study the random walk $(S_n)_{n\geq 1}$ with independent and identically distributed real-valued increments having zero mean and an absolute moment of order $2 + \delta$ for some $\delta > 0$. For any starting point $x \in \mathbb{R}$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Ion Grama , Hui Xiao

It is known that simulation of the mean position of a Reflected Random Walk (RRW) $\{W_n\}$ exhibits non-standard behavior, even for light-tailed increment distributions with negative drift. The Large Deviation Principle (LDP) holds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-01 Ken R. Duffy , Sean P. Meyn

Consider an M/M/$s$ queue with the additional feature that the arrival rate is a random variable of which only the mean, variance, and range are known. Using semi-infinite linear programming and duality theory for moment problems, we…

This paper considers a wireless link with randomly arriving data that is queued and served over a time-varying channel. It is known that any algorithm that comes within $\epsilon$ of the minimum average power required for queue stability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Michael J. Neely

Randomized higher-order computation can be seen as being captured by a lambda calculus endowed with a single algebraic operation, namely a construct for binary probabilistic choice. What matters about such computations is the probability of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-12-24 Ugo Dal Lago , Claudia Faggian , Simona Ronchi Della Rocca

Random walks can be used to search complex networks for a desired resource. To reduce search lengths, we propose a mechanism based on building random walks connecting together partial walks (PW) previously computed at each network node.…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2013-04-19 Víctor M. López Millán , Vicent Cholvi , Luis López , Antonio Fernández Anta

The paper is concerned with a class of two-sided stochastic processes of the form $X=W+A$. Here $W$ is a two-sided Brownian motion with random initial data at time zero and $A\equiv A(W)$ is a function of $W$. Elements of the related…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-29 Jörg-Uwe Löbus

We review some old and prove some new results on the survival probability of a random walk among a Poisson system of moving traps on Z^d, which can also be interpreted as the solution of a parabolic Anderson model with a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-04 Alexander Drewitz , Jürgen Gärtner , Alejandro F. Ramírez , Rongfeng Sun

We study conditions under which $P(S_\tau>x)\sim P(M_\tau>x)\sim E\tau P(\xi_1>x)$ as $x\to\infty$, where $S_\tau$ is a sum $\xi_1+...+\xi_\tau$ of random size $\tau$ and $M_\tau$ is a maximum of partial sums $M_\tau=\max_{n\le\tau}S_n$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-29 Denis Denisov , Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov