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Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini

We combine geometric data analysis and stochastic modeling to describe the collective dynamics of complex systems. As an example we apply this approach to financial data and focus on the non-stationarity of the market correlation structure.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-30 Yuriy Stepanov , Philip Rinn , Thomas Guhr , Joachim Peinke , Rudi Schäfer

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

The linear response of a dynamical system refers to changes to properties of the system when small external perturbations are applied. We consider the little-studied question of selecting an optimal perturbation so as to (i) maximise the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Fadi Antown , Davor Dragičević , Gary Froyland

Many systems are partially stochastic in nature. We have derived data driven approaches for extracting stochastic state machines (Markov models) directly from observed data. This chapter provides an overview of our approach with numerous…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-06-26 Richard R. Brooks , Lu Yu , Yu Fu , Guthrie Cordone , Jon Oakley , Xingsi Zhong

We examine the question of whether the formal expressions of equilibrium statistical mechanics can be applied to time independent non-dissipative systems that are not in true thermodynamic equilibrium and are nonergodic. By assuming the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-11-09 Stephen R. Williams , Denis J. Evans

We propose a thermodynamically consistent minimal model to study synchronization which is made of driven and interacting three-state units. This system exhibits at the mean-field level two bifurcations separating three dynamical phases: a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-12 Tim Herpich , Juzar Thingna , Massimiliano Esposito

Superstatistics is a widely employed tool of non-equilibrium statistical physics which plays an important role in analysis of hierarchical complex dynamical systems. Yet, its "canonical" formulation in terms of a single nuisance parameter…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-10 Petr Jizba , Jan Korbel , Hynek Lavička , Martin Prokš , Václav Svoboda , Christian Beck

We investigate the non-equilibrium dynamics of a three state kinetic exchange model of opinion formation, where switches between extreme states are possible, depending on the value of a parameter $q$. The mean field dynamical equations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-28 Kathakali Biswas , Parongama Sen

Stochastic processes that are randomly reset to an initial condition serve as a showcase to investigate non-equilibrium steady states. However, all existing results have been restricted to the special case of memoryless resetting protocols.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-23 Stephan Eule , Jakob Metzger

A nonequilibrium statistical operator method is developed for ensembles of particles obeying non-Hamiltonian equations of motion in classical phase space. The main consequences of non-zero compressibility of phase space are examined in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexander V. Zhukov , Jianshu Cao

We investigate a stochastic approach to non-equilibrium quantum spin systems based on recent insights linking quantum and classical dynamics. Exploiting a sequence of exact transformations, quantum expectation values can be recast as…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-01-31 S. De Nicola , B. Doyon , M. J. Bhaseen

We propose a method for approximating solutions to optimization problems involving the global stability properties of parameter-dependent continuous-time autonomous dynamical systems. The method relies on an approximation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-12 Péter Koltai , Alexander Volf

The question of deriving general force/flux relationships that apply out of the linear response regime is a central topic of theories for nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. This work applies an information theory perspective to compute…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-02-04 David M. Rogers

In these lectures we give an overview of nonequilibrium stochastic systems. In particular we discuss in detail two models, the asymmetric exclusion process and a ballistic reaction model, that illustrate many general features of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. R. Evans , R. A. Blythe

The general principles of the choice of the reduced description parameters of nonequilibrium states γα(t) and the construction of the nonequilibrium statistical operator (NSO) ρ(t) are discussed. On the basis of Kavasaki -…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. D. Zviadadze , A. G. Kvirikadze , M. M. Sozashvili , L. O. Tkeshelashvili

We report the complete statistical treatment of a system of particles interacting via Newtonian forces in continuous boundary-driven flow, far from equilibrium. By numerically time-stepping the force-balance equations of a model fluid we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 R. M. L. Evans , R. A. Simha , A. Baule , P. D. Olmsted

By modeling the interaction of a system with an environment through a renewal approach, we demonstrate that completely positive non-Markovian dynamics may develop some unexplored non-standard statistical properties. The renewal approach is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-08-07 Adrian A. Budini Paolo Grigolini

Physically motivated stochastic dynamics are often used to sample from high-dimensional distributions. However such dynamics often get stuck in specific regions of their state space and mix very slowly to the desired stationary state. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Abhijith Jayakumar , Andrey Y. Lokhov , Sidhant Misra , Marc Vuffray

We give an introduction to phase transitions in the steady states of systems that evolve stochastically with equilibrium and nonequilibrium dynamics, the latter defined as those that do not possess a time-reversal symmetry. We try as much…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 R. A. Blythe