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Let $\mathbf{X}^{(1)}_{n},\ldots,\mathbf{X}^{(m)}_{n}$, where $\mathbf{X}^{(i)}_{n}=(X^{(i)}_{1},\ldots,X^{(i)}_{n})$, $i=1,\ldots,m$, be $m$ independent sequences of independent and identically distributed random variables taking their…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-15 Ruoting Gong , Christian Houdré , Ümit Işlak

We study the extremal competitive ratio of Boolean function evaluation. We provide the first non-trivial lower and upper bounds for classes of Boolean functions which are not included in the class of monotone Boolean functions. For the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-02-11 Ferdinando Cicalese , Travis Gagie , Eduardo Laber , Martin Milanic

We consider the problem of predicting values of a random process or field satisfying a linear model $y(x)=\theta^\top f(x) + \varepsilon(x)$, where errors $\varepsilon(x)$ are correlated. This is a common problem in kriging, where the case…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-13 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

Elicitable functionals and (strictly) consistent scoring functions are of interest due to their utility of determining (uniquely) optimal forecasts, and thus the ability to effectively backtest predictions. However, in practice, assuming…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Kathleen E. Miao , Silvana M. Pesenti

Decision-makers often act in response to data-driven predictions, with the goal of achieving favorable outcomes. In such settings, predictions don't passively forecast the future; instead, predictions actively shape the distribution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Michael P. Kim , Juan C. Perdomo

A "pairing function" J associates a unique natural number z to any two natural numbers x,y such that for two "unpairing functions" K and L, the equalities K(J(x,y))=x, L(J(x,y))=y and J(K(z),L(z))=z hold. Using pairing functions on natural…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2009-02-04 Paul Tarau

We reveal the phenomenon that ``naive'' multivariate local polynomial regression can adapt to local smooth lower dimensional structure in the sense that it achieves the optimal convergence rate for nonparametric estimation of regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Peter J. Bickel , Bo Li

For $0 \leq \beta < \alpha < 1$ the distribution $\mathcal{H}$ over Boolean functions $h \colon \{-1, 1\}^d \to \{-1, 1\}$ that minimizes the expression \begin{equation*} \rho_{\alpha, \beta} = \frac{\log(1/\Pr_{\substack{h \sim \mathcal{H}…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2018-12-05 Tobias Christiani

This paper introduces a novel quantum algorithm that is able to classify a hierarchy of classes of imbalanced Boolean functions. The fundamental characteristic of imbalanced Boolean functions is that the proportion of elements in their…

We study the best approximation problem: \[ \displaystyle \min_{\alpha\in \mathbb R^m}\max_{1\leq i\leq n}\left|y_i -\sum_{j=1}^m \alpha_j \Gamma_j ({\bf x}_i) \right|. \] Here: $\Gamma:=\left\{\Gamma_1,...,\Gamma_m\right\}$ is a list of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-16 Steven B. Damelin , Michael Werman

In a compound decision problem, consisting of $n$ statistically independent copies of the same problem to be solved under the sum of the individual losses, any reasonable compound decision rule $\delta$ satisfies a natural symmetry…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-02 Asaf Weinstein

We study subordination of free convolutions. We prove that for free random variables $X,Y$ and a Borel function $f$ the conditional expectation $E_\varphi\left[ (z-X-f(X)Yf^*(X))^{-1}| X\right]$, is a resolvent again. This result allows…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Franz Lehner , Kamil Szpojankowski

The goal of regression analysis is to predict the value of a numeric outcome variable y given a vector of joint values of other (predictor) variables x. Usually a particular x-vector does not specify a repeatable value for y, but rather a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-29 Jerome H. Friedman

Algorithmic theories of randomness can be related to theories of probabilistic sequence prediction through the notion of a predictor, defined as a function which supplies lower bounds on initial-segment probabilities of infinite sequences.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Lenhart K. Schubert

The ``prediction + optimal control'' scheme has shown good performance in many applications of automotive, traffic, robot, and building control. In practice, the prediction results are simply considered correct in the optimal control design…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-07 Xiangrui Zeng , Cheng Yin , Zhouping Yin

Best simultaneous approximation (BSA) for finitely or infinitely many functions are considered under the uniform norm and other important norms. Characterization theorems for a BSA from a finite-dimensional subspace are obtained by a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Shinji Tanimoto

We propose a new method for conducting Bayesian prediction that delivers accurate predictions without correctly specifying the unknown true data generating process. A prior is defined over a class of plausible predictive models. After…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-24 Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Gael M. Martin , David T. Frazier

Boolean networks constitute relevant mathematical models to study the behaviours of genetic and signalling networks. These networks define regulatory influences between molecular nodes, each being associated to a Boolean variable and a…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2025-06-24 José E. R. Cury , Patrícia Tenera Roxo , Vasco Manquinho , Claudine Chaouiya , Pedro T. Monteiro

We describe a simple method for making inference on a functional of a multivariate distribution. The method is based on a copula representation of the multivariate distribution and it is based on the properties of an Approximate Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-18 Clara Grazian , Brunero Liseo

We apply Bayesian statistics to the estimation of correlation functions. We give the probability distributions of auto- and cross-correlations as functions of the data. Our procedure uses the measured data optimally and informs about the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-27 Angel Gutierrez-Rubio , Juan S. Rojas-Arias , Jun Yoneda , Seigo Tarucha , Daniel Loss , Peter Stano