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The R package "sensobol" provides several functions to conduct variance-based uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, from the estimation of sensitivity indices to the visual representation of the results. It implements several…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-06 Arnald Puy , Samuele Lo Piano , Andrea Saltelli , Simon A. Levin

Global sensitivity analysis with variance-based measures suffers from several theoretical and practical limitations, since they focus only on the variance of the output and handle multivariate variables in a limited way. In this paper, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-12 Sébastien Da Veiga

We propose an efficient sensitivity analysis method for a wide class of colored noise-driven interacting particle systems (IPS). Our method is based on unperturbed simulations and significantly extends the Malliavin weight sampling method…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Josselin Garnier , Harry L. F. Ip , Laurent Mertz

Sensitivity methods for the analysis of the outputs of discrete Bayesian networks have been extensively studied and implemented in different software packages. These methods usually focus on the study of sensitivity functions and on the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-05 Manuele Leonelli , Christiane Görgen , Jim Q. Smith

Shapley values, which were originally designed to assign attributions to individual players in coalition games, have become a commonly used approach in explainable machine learning to provide attributions to input features for black-box…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Che-Ping Tsai , Chih-Kuan Yeh , Pradeep Ravikumar

In this paper we investigate the problem of quantifying the contribution of each variable to the satisfying assignments of a Boolean function based on the Shapley value. Our main result is a polynomial-time equivalence between computing…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Ahmet Kara , Dan Olteanu , Dan Suciu

Some classical uncertainty quantification problems require the estimation of multiple expectations. Estimating all of them accurately is crucial and can have a major impact on the analysis to perform, and standard existing Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

This paper deals with an important subject in classification problems addressed by machine learning techniques: the evaluation of the influence of each of the features on the classification of individuals. Specifically, a measure of that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-21 L. Davila-Pena , Ignacio García-Jurado , B. Casas-Méndez

Sensitivity Analysis is a framework to assess how conclusions drawn from missing outcome data may be vulnerable to departures from untestable underlying assumptions. We extend the E-value, a popular metric for quantifying robustness of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-31 Wu Xue , Abbas Zaidi

We study the identification and estimation of treatment effect parameters in weakly separable models. In their seminal work, Vytlacil and Yildiz (2007) showed how to identify and estimate the average treatment effect of a dummy endogenous…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-04-06 Songnian Chen , Shakeeb Khan , Xun Tang

A fundamental challenge in observational causal inference is that assumptions about unconfoundedness are not testable from data. Assessing sensitivity to such assumptions is therefore important in practice. Unfortunately, some existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-15 Alexander Franks , Alexander D'Amour , Avi Feller

Sensitivity analysis measures the influence of a Bayesian network's parameters on a quantity of interest defined by the network, such as the probability of a variable taking a specific value. Various sensitivity measures have been defined…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-02 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Manuele Leonelli

Structural Causal Models (SCM) are a powerful framework for describing complicated dynamics across the natural sciences. A particularly elegant way of interpreting SCMs is do-Shapley, a game-theoretic method of quantifying the average…

The use of algorithm-agnostic approaches is an emerging area of research for explaining the contribution of individual features towards the predicted outcome. Whilst there is a focus on explaining the prediction itself, a little has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-07 Guilherme Dean Pelegrina , Sajid Siraj

This paper makes the case for using Shapley value to quantify the importance of random input variables to a function. Alternatives based on the ANOVA decomposition can run into conceptual and computational problems when the input variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Art B. Owen , Clémentine Prieur

Researchers in explainable artificial intelligence have developed numerous methods for helping users understand the predictions of complex supervised learning models. By contrast, explaining the $\textit{uncertainty}$ of model outputs has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 David S. Watson , Joshua O'Hara , Niek Tax , Richard Mudd , Ido Guy

This paper proposes a uniqueness Shapley measure to compare the extent to which different variables are able to identify a subject. Revealing the value of a variable on subject $t$ shrinks the set of possible subjects that $t$ could be. The…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-04 Benjamin B. Seiler , Masayoshi Mase , Art B. Owen

A wide array of graphical models can be parametrised to have atomic probabilities represented by monomial functions. Such monomial structure has proven very useful when studying robustness under the assumption of a multilinear model where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-09 Manuele Leonelli

Explaining AI systems is fundamental both to the development of high performing models and to the trust placed in them by their users. The Shapley framework for explainability has strength in its general applicability combined with its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-21 Christopher Frye , Colin Rowat , Ilya Feige

The occurrence of successive extreme observations can have an impact on society. In extreme value theory there are parameters to evaluate the effect of clustering of high values, such as the extremal index. The estimation of the extremal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira
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