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We propose a class of continuous-time Markov counting processes for analyzing correlated binary data and establish a correspondence between these models and sums of exchangeable Bernoulli random variables. Our approach generalizes many…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-28 Forrest W. Crawford , Daniel Zelterman

We study multivariate Gaussian models that are described by linear conditions on the concentration matrix. We compute the maximum likelihood (ML) degrees of these models. That is, we count the critical points of the likelihood function over…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Carlos Améndola , Lukas Gustafsson , Kathlén Kohn , Orlando Marigliano , Anna Seigal

We present new results for consistency of maximum likelihood estimators with a focus on multivariate mixed models. Our theory builds on the idea of using subsets of the full data to establish consistency of estimators based on the full…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Galin L. Jones

We study the problem of detecting a change in the mean of one-dimensional Gaussian process data. This problem is investigated in the setting of increasing domain (customarily employed in time series analysis) and in the setting of fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Hossein Keshavarz , Clayton Scott , XuanLong Nguyen

Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Jakob Lindinger , David Reeb , Christoph Lippert , Barbara Rakitsch

Finite mixture models are widely used in econometric analyses to capture unobserved heterogeneity. This paper shows that maximum likelihood estimation of finite mixtures of parametric densities can suffer from substantial finite-sample bias…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Raphaël Langevin

Labeling patients in electronic health records with respect to their statuses of having a disease or condition, i.e. case or control statuses, has increasingly relied on prediction models using high-dimensional variables derived from…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-14 Zijian Guo , Prabrisha Rakshit , Daniel S. Herman , Jinbo Chen

Graphical models are commonly used tools for modeling multivariate random variables. While there exist many convenient multivariate distributions such as Gaussian distribution for continuous data, mixed data with the presence of discrete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-30 Jianqing Fan , Han Liu , Yang Ning , Hui Zou

We derive an asymptotic expansion for the log likelihood of Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) with equal covariance matrices in the low signal-to-noise regime. The expansion reveals an intimate connection between two types of algorithms for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-30 Anya Katsevich , Afonso Bandeira

Solving inverse problems using Bayesian methods can become prohibitively expensive when likelihood evaluations involve complex and large scale numerical models. A common approach to circumvent this issue is to approximate the forward model…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Maximilian Dinkel , Carolin M. Geitner , Gil Robalo Rei , Jonas Nitzler , Wolfgang A. Wall

This article concerns a class of generalized linear mixed models for clustered data, where the random effects are mapped uniquely onto the grouping structure and are independent between groups. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-20 Jarod Y. L. Lee , Peter J. Green , Louise M. Ryan

This paper explores certain kinds of empirical process with respect to the components of multivariate Gaussian. We put forward some finite sample bounds which hold for multivariate Gaussian under general dependence. We give necessary and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-03 Jikai Hou

We propose a Likelihood Matching approach for training diffusion models by first establishing an equivalence between the likelihood of the target data distribution and a likelihood along the sample path of the reverse diffusion. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-23 Lei Qian , Wu Su , Yanqi Huang , Song Xi Chen

We consider a finite mixture of Gaussian regression model for high- dimensional data, where the number of covariates may be much larger than the sample size. We propose to estimate the unknown conditional mixture density by a maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Emilie Devijver

This paper proposes a novel exact maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method for general Gaussian processes, where all parameters are estimated jointly. The exact ML estimator (MLE) is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Tetsuya Takabatake , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

We study linear chance-constrained problems where the coefficients follow a Gaussian mixture distribution. We provide mixed-binary quadratic programs that give inner and outer approximations of the chance constraint based on piecewise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Shibshankar Dey , Sanjay Mehrotra , Anirudh Subramanyam

Learning the parameters of graphical models using the maximum likelihood estimation is generally hard which requires an approximation. Maximum composite likelihood estimations are statistical approximations of the maximum likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-25 Muneki Yasuda , Shun Kataoka , Yuji Waizumi , Kazuyuki Tanaka

Gaussian process models are commonly used as emulators for computer experiments. However, developing a Gaussian process emulator can be computationally prohibitive when the number of experimental samples is even moderately large. Local…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Chih-Li Sung , Robert B. Gramacy , Benjamin Haaland

Variational methods have been recently considered for scaling the training process of Gaussian process classifiers to large datasets. As an alternative, we describe here how to train these classifiers efficiently using expectation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-17 Daniel Hernández-Lobato , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

We develop large sample theory for merged data from multiple sources. Main statistical issues treated in this paper are (1) the same unit potentially appears in multiple datasets from overlapping data sources, (2) duplicated items are not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Takumi Saegusa