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We introduce an information theoretic criterion for Bayesian network structure learning which we call quotient normalized maximum likelihood (qNML). In contrast to the closely related factorized normalized maximum likelihood criterion, qNML…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Tomi Silander , Janne Leppä-aho , Elias Jääsaari , Teemu Roos

The block maxima method in extreme-value analysis proceeds by fitting an extreme-value distribution to a sample of block maxima extracted from an observed stretch of a time series. The method is usually validated under two simplifying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-19 Axel Bücher , Johan Segers

The maximum likelihood method offers a standard way to estimate the three parameters of a generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. Combined with the block maxima method, it is often used in practice to assess the extreme value index…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-24 Clément Dombry

The block maximum method, which is widely used in extreme value analysis, uses a generalized extreme value distribution to approximate that of the maximum of m observations. The quality of this approximation depends on the value of m and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Léo R. Belzile , Anthony C. Davison

In this work we consider data-driven optimization problems where one must maximize a function given only queries at a fixed set of points. This problem setting emerges in many domains where function evaluation is a complex and expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Justin Fu , Sergey Levine

We consider a one dimensional sub-ballistic random walk evolving in a parametric i.i.d. random environment. We study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter based on a single observation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-13 Mikael Falconnet , Dasha Loukianova , Arnaud Gloter

The methods of statistical physics are widely used for modelling complex networks. Building on the recently proposed Equilibrium Expectation approach, we derive a simple and efficient algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-12 Alexander Borisenko , Maksym Byshkin , Alessandro Lomi

The design of optimal test statistics is a key task in frequentist statistics and for a number of scenarios optimal test statistics such as the profile-likelihood ratio are known. By turning this argument around we can find the profile…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-25 Lukas Heinrich

The code that combines channel estimation and error protection has received general attention recently, and has been considered a promising methodology to compensate multi-path fading effect. It has been shown by simulations that such code…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-12-18 Chia-Lung Wu , Po-Ning Chen , Yunghsiang S. Han , Ming-Hsin Kuo

We obtain exact expressions for the asymptotic behaviour of the average probability of the block decoding error for ensembles of regular low density parity check error correcting codes, by employing diagrammatic techniques. Furthermore, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. van Mourik , Y. Kabashima

This paper presents an efficient method to compute the maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of the parameters of a complex 2-D sinusoidal, with the complexity order of the FFT. The method is based on an accurate barycentric formula for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-04-18 J. Selva

We consider the problem of estimating the distribution function, the density and the hazard rate of the (unobservable) event time in the current status model. A well studied and natural nonparametric estimator for the distribution function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed , Birgit I. Witte

We define the error exponent of the typical random code as the long-block limit of the negative normalized expectation of the logarithm of the error probability of the random code, as opposed to the traditional random coding error exponent,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-25 Neri Merhav

The maximum likelihood threshold (MLT) of a graph $G$ is the minimum number of samples to almost surely guarantee existence of the maximum likelihood estimate in the corresponding Gaussian graphical model. We give a new characterization of…

The three-parameter generalized extreme value distribution arises from classical univariate extreme value theory and is in common use for analyzing the far tail of observed phenomena. Curiously, important asymptotic properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Likun Zhang , Benjamin Shaby

We propose a novel molecular computing scheme for statistical inference. We focus on the much-studied statistical inference problem of computing maximum likelihood estimators for log-linear models. Our scheme takes log-linear models to…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-06-13 Manoj Gopalkrishnan

This is an up-to-date introduction to, and overview of, marginal likelihood computation for model selection and hypothesis testing. Computing normalizing constants of probability models (or ratio of constants) is a fundamental issue in many…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-13 Fernando Llorente , Luca Martino , David Delgado , Javier Lopez-Santiago

We study the maximum norm behavior of $L^2$-normalized random Fourier cosine series with a prescribed large wave number. Precise bounds of this type are an important technical tool in estimates for spinodal decomposition, the celebrated…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-29 Dirk Blömker , Philipp Wacker , Thomas Wanner

Most statistical software packages implement numerical strategies for computation of maximum likelihood estimates in random effects models. Little is known, however, about the algebraic complexity of this problem. For the one-way layout…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-07 Elizabeth Gross , Mathias Drton , Sonja Petrović

Given a sample of independent and identically distributed random variables, a novel nonparametric maximum entropy method is presented to estimate the underlying continuous univariate probability density function (pdf). Estimates are found…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Jenny Farmer , Donald J. Jacobs