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The log-periodic power law (LPPL) is a model of asset prices during endogenous bubbles. A major open issue is to verify the presence of LPPL in price sequences and to estimate the LPPL parameters. Estimation is complicated by the fact that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-01 Vincenzo Liberatore

Housing markets play a crucial role in economies and the collapse of a real-estate bubble usually destabilizes the financial system and causes economic recessions. We investigate the systemic risk and spatiotemporal dynamics of the US…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-31 Hao Meng , Wen-Jie Xie , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Boris Podobnik , Wei-Xing Zhou , H. Eugene Stanley

Between 2003 and 2015 the prices of apartments in Hong Kong (adjusted for inflation) increased by a factor of 3.8. This is much higher than in the United States prior to the so-called subprime crisis of 2007. The analysis of this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-16 Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

The difficulty of getting medical treatment is one of major livelihood issues in China. Since patients lack prior knowledge about the spatial distribution and the capacity of hospitals, some hospitals have abnormally high or sporadic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-08-03 Hanqing Chao , Yuan Cao , Junping Zhang , Fen Xia , Ye Zhou , Hongming Shan

This article proposes a spatial dynamic structural equation model for the analysis of housing prices at the State level in the USA. The study contributes to the existing literature by extending the use of dynamic factor models to the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-23 Pasquale Valentini , Luigi Ippoliti , Lara Fontanella

The price-bubble and crash process formation is theoretically investigated in a two-asset equilibrium model. Sufficient and necessary conditions are derived for the existence of average equilibrium price dynamics of different agent-based…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-06 Francesco Cordoni

We present an extension of the Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette (JLS) model to include an additional pricing factor called the "Zipf factor", which describes the diversification risk of the stock market portfolio. Keeping all the dynamical…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-06 Wanfeng Yan , Ryan Woodard , Didier Sornette

To investigate the universal structure of interactions in financial dynamics, we analyze the cross-correlation matrix C of price returns of the Chinese stock market, in comparison with those of the American and Indian stock markets. As an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-03 J. Shen , B. Zheng

In this research we perform hedonic regression model to examine the residential property price determinants in the city of Boulder in the state of Colorado, USA. The urban housing markets are too compounded to be considered as homogeneous…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-06 Mahdieh Yazdani

We investigate the behavior of stocks in daily price-limited stock markets by purposing a quantum spatial-periodic harmonic model. The stock price is presumed to oscillate and damp in a quantum spatial-periodic harmonic oscillator potential…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-01 Xiangyi Meng , Jian-Wei Zhang , Jingjing Xu , Hong Guo

I studied the convergence of regional house prices to national prices in USA by analyzing time-series of house price indices of 9 Census Divisions. I found the evidence of the convergence in some parts of the country using asymmetric unit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-18 Argyn Kuketayev

Amid the current financial crisis, there has been one equity index beating all others: the Shanghai Composite. Our analysis of this main Chinese equity index shows clear signatures of a bubble build up and we go on to predict its most…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-13 K. Bastiaensen , P. Cauwels , D. Sornette , R. Woodard , W. -X. Zhou

We analyze 27 house price indexes of Las Vegas from Jun. 1983 to Mar. 2005, corresponding to 27 different zip codes. These analyses confirm the existence of a real-estate bubble, defined as a price acceleration faster than exponential,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Wei-Xing Zhou , Didier Sornette

This paper studies the case of big data-based intelligent product potential customer mining internal competition in China Telecom Shanghai Company. Huge amounts of data based on big data table, the use of machine Learning and data analysis…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Duan Zhihua , Wang JiaLin

This paper is the third in a series investigating the possibility that if we reside in an inflationary "bubble universe", we might observe the effects of collisions with other such bubbles. Here, we study the interior structure of a bubble…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-07-09 Anthony Aguirre , Matthew C Johnson , Martin Tysanner

Housing has emerged as a crucial concern among young individuals residing in major cities, including Shanghai. Given the unprecedented surge in property prices in this metropolis, young people have increasingly resorted to the rental market…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Tingting Chen , Shijing Si

Episodes of market crashes have fascinated economists for centuries. Although many academics, practitioners and policy makers have studied questions related to collapsing asset price bubbles, there is little consensus yet about their causes…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-15 T. Kaizoji , D. Sornette

While the size of China's mobile population continues to expand, the fertility rate is significantly lower than the stable generation replacement level of the population, and the structural imbalance of human resource supply has attracted…

General Economics · Economics 2021-12-15 Jingwen Tan , Shixi Kang

This paper develops a dynamic equilibrium model where agents exhibit a strong form of belief heterogeneity: they disagree about zero probability events. It is shown that, somewhat surprisingly, equilibrium exists in this setting, and that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-24 Martin Larsson

Understanding how housing prices respond to spatial accessibility, structural attributes, and typological distinctions is central to contemporary urban research and policy. In cities marked by affordability stress and market segmentation,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-12 Alvaro Garcia Murga , Manuele Leonelli