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In markets with transaction costs, consistent price systems play the same role as martingale measures in frictionless markets. We prove that if a continuous price process has conditional full support, then it admits consistent price systems…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-18 Paolo Guasoni , Miklós Rásonyi , Walter Schachermayer

While many questions in robust finance can be posed in the martingale optimal transport framework or its weak extension, others like the subreplication price of VIX futures, the robust pricing of American options or the construction of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-20 Benjamin Jourdain , Gudmund Pammer

This paper studies the continuous time mean-variance portfolio selection problem with one kind of non-linear wealth dynamics. To deal the expectation constraint, an auxiliary stochastic control problem is firstly solved by two new…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-03 Shaolin Ji , Hanqing Jin , Xiaomin Shi

We consider a model-independent pricing problem in a fixed-income market and show that it leads to a weak optimal transport problem as introduced by Gozlan et al. We use this to characterize the extremal models for the pricing of caplets on…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-28 Beatrice Acciaio , Mathias Beiglboeck , Gudmund Pammer

In this paper, we focus on the problem of robustifying reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms with respect to model uncertainties. Indeed, in the framework of model-based RL, we propose to merge the theory of constrained Markov decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Reazul Hasan Russel , Mouhacine Benosman , Jeroen Van Baar

We study martingale inequalities from an analytic point of view and show that a general martingale inequality can be reduced to a pair of deterministic inequalities in a small number of variables. More precisely, the optimal bound in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-21 Mathias Beiglböck , Marcel Nutz

In this paper, a general framework is developed for continuous-time financial market models defined from simple strategies through conditional topologies that avoid stochastic calculus and do not necessitate semimartingale models. We then…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-14 Dorsaf Cherif , Emmanuel Lepinette

In a Markovian model for a financial market, we characterize the best arbitrage with respect to the market portfolio that can be achieved using nonanticipative investment strategies, in terms of the smallest positive solution to a parabolic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-26 Daniel Fernholz , Ioannis Karatzas

In this paper, we study the martingale property for a Scott correlated stochastic volatility model, when the correlation coefficient between the Brownian motion driving the volatility and the one driving the asset price process is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Khadija Akdim , M'hamed Eddahbi , Mouna Haddadi

In this paper, we study the Entropic Martingale Optimal Transport (EMOT) problem on \mathbb{R}. The investigation of the EMOT problem arises in the calibration problem of the Stochastic Volatility Models, where martingale constraints…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-16 Fan Chen , Giovanni Conforti , Zhenjie Ren , Xiaozhen Wang

This paper resolves a question proposed in Kardaras and Robertson [Ann. Appl. Probab. 22 (2012) 1576-1610]: how to invest in a robust growth-optimal way in a market where precise knowledge of the covariance structure of the underlying…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-09 Erhan Bayraktar , Yu-Jui Huang

We study procurement design when the buyer is uncertain about both the value of the good and the seller's cost. The buyer has a conjectured model but does not fully trust it. She first identifies mechanisms that maximize her worst-case…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-10 Debasis Mishra , Sanket Patil , Alessandro Pavan

The goal of this work is to study binary market models with transaction costs, and to characterize their arbitrage opportunities. It has been already shown that the absence of arbitrage is related to the existence of \lambda-consistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-31 Fernando Cordero , Irene Klein , Lavinia Ostafe

Distributionally robust optimization has been shown to offer a principled way to regularize learning models. In this paper, we find that Tikhonov regularization is distributionally robust in an optimal transport sense (i.e., if an adversary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Jiajin Li , Sirui Lin , Jose Blanchet , Viet Anh Nguyen

This work studies equilibrium problems under uncertainty where firms maximize their profits in a robust way when selling their output. Robust optimization plays an increasingly important role when best guaranteed objective values are to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Christian Biefel , Frauke Liers , Jan Rolfes , Lars Schewe , Gregor Zöttl

We study, from the perspective of large financial markets, the asymptotic arbitrage opportunities in a sequence of binary markets approximating the fractional Black-Scholes model. This approximating sequence was introduced by Sottinen and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-05 Fernando Cordero , Lavinia Perez-Ostafe

Robust mechanism design is a rising alternative to Bayesian mechanism design, which yields designs that do not rely on assumptions like full distributional knowledge. We apply this approach to mechanisms for selling a single item, assuming…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Nir Bachrach , Inbal Talgam-Cohen

We discuss martingales, detrending data, and the efficient market hypothesis for stochastic processes x(t) with arbitrary diffusion coefficients D(x,t). Beginning with x-independent drift coefficients R(t) we show that Martingale stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Joseph L. McCauley , Kevin E. Bassler , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

We give a new proof of the Dalang-Morton-Willinger theorem, relating the no-arbitrage condition in stochastic securities market models to the existence of an equivalent martingale measure with bounded density for a $d$-dimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-22 Dmitry B. Rokhlin

We observe a $n$-sample, the distribution of which is assumed to belong, or at least to be close enough, to a given mixture model. We propose an estimator of this distribution that belongs to our model and possesses some robustness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Alexandre Lecestre