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Stationary stochastic processes (SPs) are a key component of many probabilistic models, such as those for off-the-grid spatio-temporal data. They enable the statistical symmetry of underlying physical phenomena to be leveraged, thereby…

In this paper, we show that the recent integration of statistical models with deep recurrent neural networks provides a new way of formulating volatility (the degree of variation of time series) models that have been widely used in time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-06 Rui Luo , Weinan Zhang , Xiaojun Xu , Jun Wang

Heralded by the initial success in speech recognition and image classification, learning-based approaches with neural networks, commonly referred to as deep learning, have spread across various fields. A primitive form of a neural network…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Takuma Yoneda

This paper motivates the use of random-bridges -- stochastic processes conditioned to take target distributions at fixed timepoints -- in the realm of generative modelling. Herein, random-bridges can act as stochastic transports between two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Stefano Goria , Levent A. Mengütürk , Murat C. Mengütürk , Berkan Sesen

Modeling financial time series by stochastic processes is a challenging task and a central area of research in financial mathematics. As an alternative, we introduce Quant GANs, a data-driven model which is inspired by the recent success of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-07 Magnus Wiese , Robert Knobloch , Ralf Korn , Peter Kretschmer

We present Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNNs) to learn functional causal models from observational data. CGNNs leverage conditional independencies and distributional asymmetries to discover bivariate and multivariate causal…

Generative modeling, which learns joint probability distribution from data and generates samples according to it, is an important task in machine learning and artificial intelligence. Inspired by probabilistic interpretation of quantum…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-07-20 Zhao-Yu Han , Jun Wang , Heng Fan , Lei Wang , Pan Zhang

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

In this paper we cast the well-known convolutional neural network in a Gaussian process perspective. In this way we hope to gain additional insights into the performance of convolutional networks, in particular understand under what…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-10 Anastasia Borovykh

Predictive monitoring of business processes is a subfield of process mining that aims to predict, among other things, the characteristics of the next event or the sequence of next events. Although multiple approaches based on deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-24 Efrén Rama-Maneiro , Juan C. Vidal , Manuel Lama

Integrating measurements and historical data can enhance control systems through learning-based techniques, but ensuring performance and safety is challenging. Robust model predictive control strategies, like stochastic model predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-28 J. Pohlodek , H. Alsmeier , B. Morabito , C. Schlauch , A. Savchenko , R. Findeisen

Quantum circuits that generate coherent superpositions of stochastic processes are key to many downstream quantum-accelerated tasks, such as risk analysis, importance sampling, and DNA sequencing. However, traditional methods for designing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-26 Ximing Wang , Chengran Yang , Chidambaram Aditya Somasundaram , Jayne Thompson , Mile Gu

A generative model is developed for deep (multi-layered) convolutional dictionary learning. A novel probabilistic pooling operation is integrated into the deep model, yielding efficient bottom-up (pretraining) and top-down (refinement)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-17 Yunchen Pu , Xin Yuan , Lawrence Carin

We present a new family of exchangeable stochastic processes, the Functional Neural Processes (FNPs). FNPs model distributions over functions by learning a graph of dependencies on top of latent representations of the points in the given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Christos Louizos , Xiahan Shi , Klamer Schutte , Max Welling

Many nonequilibrium systems, such as biochemical reactions and socioeconomic interactions, can be described by reaction-diffusion equations that demonstrate a wide variety of complex spatiotemporal patterns. The diversity of the morphology…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-02-02 Christian Scholz , Sandy Scholz

We apply recent methods in stochastic data analysis for discovering a set of few stochastic variables that represent the relevant information on a multivariate stochastic system, used as input for artificial neural networks models for air…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-06-16 Ana Russo , Frank Raischel , Pedro G. Lind

Neural Processes (NPs; Garnelo et al., 2018a,b) are a rich class of models for meta-learning that map data sets directly to predictive stochastic processes. We provide a rigorous analysis of the standard maximum-likelihood objective used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-12 Wessel P. Bruinsma , James Requeima , Andrew Y. K. Foong , Jonathan Gordon , Richard E. Turner

We provide a novel approach to construct generative models for graphs. Instead of using the traditional probabilistic models or deep generative models, we propose to instead find an algorithm that generates the data. We achieve this using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-26 Mihai Babiac , Karolis Martinkus , Roger Wattenhofer

We introduce a convolutional neural network that operates directly on graphs. These networks allow end-to-end learning of prediction pipelines whose inputs are graphs of arbitrary size and shape. The architecture we present generalizes…

The use of machine learning to generate synthetic data has grown in popularity with the proliferation of text-to-image models and especially large language models. The core methodology these models use is to learn the distribution of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-28 Ruslan Tepelyan , Achintya Gopal