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We establish existence of Predictable Forward Performance Processes (PFPPs) in complete markets, which has been previously shown only in the binomial setting. Our market model can be a discrete-time or a continuous-time model, and the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Bahman Angoshtari

Recently path integral methods have been developed for stochastic optimal control for a wide class of models with non-linear dynamics in continuous space-time. Path integral methods find the control that minimizes the expected cost-to-go.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Bart van den Broek , Wim Wiegerinck , Hilbert Kappen

By employing the technique of enlargement of filtrations, we demonstrate how to incorporate information about the future trend of the stochastic interest rate process into a financial model. By modeling the interest rate as an affine…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-25 Bernardo D'Auria , José Antonio Salmerón

We study two-dimensional stochastic differential equations (SDEs) of McKean--Vlasov type in which the conditional distribution of the second component of the solution given the first enters the equation for the first component of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-16 Daniel Lacker , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov , Jiacheng Zhang

Evolutionary algorithms have been widely used for a range of stochastic optimization problems in order to address complex real-world optimization problems. We consider the knapsack problem where the profits involve uncertainties. Such a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Aneta Neumann , Yue Xie , Frank Neumann

Using Malliavin Calculus techniques, we derive closed-form expressions for the at-the-money behaviour of the forward implied volatility, its skew and its curvature, in general Markovian stochastic volatility models with continuous paths.

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-01 Elisa Alos , Antoine Jacquier , Jorge Leon

In this paper, we develop an optimization-based framework for solving coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equations. We introduce an integral-form objective function and prove its equivalence to the error between consecutive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Yutian Wang , Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li

A numerical approach for the approximation of inertial manifolds of stochastic evolutionary equations with multiplicative noise is presented and illustrated. After splitting the stochastic evolutionary equations into a backward and a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2012-06-22 Xingye Kan , Jinqiao Duan , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Anthony J. Roberts

We develop a novel - cylindrical - solution concept for stochastic evolution equations. Our motivation is to establish a Heath-Jarrow-Morton framework capable of analysing financial term structures with discontinuities, overcoming deep…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Johannes Assefa , Philipp Harms

This work evaluates the magnitude of the turbulent energy cascade in terms of forward and backward scattering by modeling the "stretch and fold" mechanism through a drift-free Hanggi-Klimontovich stochastic process. Mapping this dynamics…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-26 Nicola de Divitiis

A continuous-time Markowitz's mean-variance portfolio selection problem is studied in a market with one stock, one bond, and proportional transaction costs. This is a singular stochastic control problem,inherently in a finite time horizon.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-07 Min Dai , Zuo Quan Xu , Xun Yu Zhou

Energy companies need efficient procedures to perform market calibration of stochastic models for commodities. If the Black framework is chosen for option pricing, the bottleneck of the market calibration is the computation of the variance…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-14 Emanuele Fabbiani , Andrea Marziali , Giuseppe De Nicolao

This work extends a previous work in regime detection, which allowed trading positions to be profitably adjusted when a new regime was detected, to ex ante prediction of regimes, leading to substantial performance improvements over the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-10 Piotr Pomorski , Denise Gorse

Multivariate volatility modeling and forecasting are crucial in financial economics. This paper develops a copula-based approach to model and forecast realized volatility matrices. The proposed copula-based time series models can capture…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-21 Wenjing Wang , Minjing Tao

In today's increasingly international economy, return and volatility spillover effects across international equity markets are major macroeconomic drivers of stock dynamics. Thus, information regarding foreign markets is one of the most…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-20 Sang Il Lee , Seong Joon Yoo

We present a function-valued stochastic volatility model designed to capture the continuous-time evolution of forward curves in fixed-income or commodity markets. The dynamics of the (logarithmic) forward curves are defined by a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-23 Sven Karbach

Motivated from time-inconsistent stochastic control problems, we introduce a new type of coupled forward-backward stochastic systems, namely, flows of forward-backward stochastic differential equations. They are systems consisting of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Yushi Hamaguchi

In this paper, we address the stochastic representation problem in discrete time under (non-linear) g-expectation. We establish existence and uniqueness of the solution, as well as a characterization of the solution. As an application, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-21 Miryana Grigorova , Hanwu Li

Many resource management problems require sequential decision-making under uncertainty, where the only uncertainty affecting the decision outcomes are exogenous variables outside the control of the decision-maker. We model these problems as…

We analyze the relative price change of assets starting from basic supply/demand considerations subject to arbitrary motivations. The resulting stochastic differential equation has coefficients that are functions of supply and demand. We…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-26 Carey Caginalp , Gunduz Caginalp