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This paper presents an approach for estimating Shapley effects for use as global sensitivity metrics to quantify the relative importance of uncertain model parameters. Polynomial Chaos expansion, a well established approach for developing…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-12 Adrian Stein , Tarunraj Singh

Stochastic models are necessary for the realistic description of an increasing number of applications. The ability to identify influential parameters and variables is critical to a thorough analysis and understanding of the underlying…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-29 Joseph L. Hart , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

This paper addresses sensitivity analysis for dynamic models, linking dependent inputs to observed outputs. The usual method to estimate Sobol indices are based on the independence of input variables. We present a method to overpass this…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-15 Mathilde Grandjacques , Alexandre Janon , Benoit Delinchant , Olivier Adrot

Global sensitivity analysis of complex numerical models can be performed by calculating variance-based importance measures of the input variables, such as the Sobol indices. However, these techniques, requiring a large number of model…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-08 Amandine Marrel , Bertrand Iooss , Beatrice Laurent , Olivier Roustant

Global sensitivity analysis is used to quantify the influence of uncertain input parameters on the response variability of a numerical model. The common quantitative methods are applicable to computer codes with scalar input variables. This…

Applications · Statistics 2008-06-09 Bertrand Iooss , Mathieu Ribatet

Shapley values originated in cooperative game theory but are extensively used today as a model-agnostic explanation framework to explain predictions made by complex machine learning models in the industry and academia. There are several…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-15 Lars Henry Berge Olsen , Ingrid Kristine Glad , Martin Jullum , Kjersti Aas

Global sensitivity analysis is now established as a powerful approach for determining the key random input parameters that drive the uncertainty of model output predictions. Yet the classical computation of the so-called Sobol' indices is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-16 L. Le Gratiet , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

With origins in game theory, probabilistic values like Shapley values, Banzhaf values, and semi-values have emerged as a central tool in explainable AI. They are used for feature attribution, data attribution, data valuation, and more.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 R. Teal Witter , Yurong Liu , Christopher Musco

We show how to apply Sobol's method of global sensitivity analysis to measure the influence exerted by a set of nodes' evidence on a quantity of interest expressed by a Bayesian network. Our method exploits the network structure so as to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-11 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Manuele Leonelli

Shapley values underlie one of the most popular model-agnostic methods within explainable artificial intelligence. These values are designed to attribute the difference between a model's prediction and an average baseline to the different…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Tom Heskes , Evi Sijben , Ioan Gabriel Bucur , Tom Claassen

It is well-known that Sobol indices, which count among the most popular sensitivity indices, are based on the Sobol decomposition. Here we challenge this construction by redefining Sobol indices without the Sobol decomposition. In fact, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-23 Gildas Mazo

Performing (variance-based) global sensitivity analysis (GSA) with dependent inputs has recently benefited from cooperative game theory concepts.By using this theory, despite the potential correlation between the inputs, meaningful…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Margot Herin , Marouane Il Idrissi , Vincent Chabridon , Bertrand Iooss

We introduce a new Shapley value approach for global sensitivity analysis and machine learning explainability. The method is based on the first-order partial derivatives of the underlying function. The computational complexity of the method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Hui Duan , Giray Ökten

Shapley values are great analytical tools in game theory to measure the importance of a player in a game. Due to their axiomatic and desirable properties such as efficiency, they have become popular for feature importance analysis in data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Ramin Okhrati , Aldo Lipani

Complex computer codes are widely used in science and engineering to model physical phenomena. Furthermore, it is common that they have a large number of input parameters. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify those which have the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-09 Loic Le Gratiet , Claire Cannamela , Bertrand Iooss

In this paper we propose an extension of the classical Sobol' estimator for the estimation of variance based sensitivity indices. The approach assumes a linear correlation model between the input variables which is used to decompose the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-12 Thomas Most

Global sensitivity analysis aims at quantifying respective effects of input random variables (or combinations thereof) onto variance of a physical or mathematical model response. Among the abundant literature on sensitivity measures, Sobol'…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-12 E. Burnaev , I. Panin , B. Sudret

Some classical uncertainty quantification problems require the estimation of multiple expectations. Estimating all of them accurately is crucial and can have a major impact on the analysis to perform, and standard existing Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

Computational models of the cardiovascular system are increasingly used for the diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of cardiovascular disease. Before being used for translational applications, the predictive abilities of these models need…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-11 Friederike Schäfer , Daniele E. Schiavazzi , Leif Rune Hellevik , Jacob Sturdy

Sensitivity indices are commonly used to quantify the relative influence of any specific group of input variables on the output of a computer code. One crucial question is then to decide whether a given set of variables has a significant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Thierry Klein , Nicolas Peteilh , Paul Rochet