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Statistical modelling in the presence of data organized in groups is a crucial task in Bayesian statistics. The present paper conceives a mixture model based on a novel family of Bayesian priors designed for multilevel data and obtained by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Alessandro Colombi , Raffaele Argiento , Federico Camerlenghi , Lucia Paci

It is shown that a simple Dirichlet process mixture of multivariate normals offers Bayesian density estimation with adaptive posterior convergence rates. Toward this, a novel sieve for non-parametric mixture densities is explored, and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-18 Surya T. Tokdar

We provide a new characterization of the Dirichlet distribution. This characterization implies that under assumptions made by several previous authors for learning belief networks, a Dirichlet prior on the parameters is inevitable.

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Dan Geiger , David Heckerman

Bayesian deep learning approaches assume model parameters to be latent random variables and infer posterior distributions to quantify uncertainty, increase safety and trust, and prevent overconfident and unpredictable behavior. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Jihao Andreas Lin , Joe Watson , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

This paper explores large sample properties of the two-parameter $(\alpha,\theta)$ Poisson--Dirichlet Process in two contexts. In a Bayesian context of estimating an unknown probability measure, viewing this process as a natural extension…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-21 Lancelot F. James

Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Shirin Golchi , James Willard

We show that rate-adaptive multivariate density estimation can be performed using Bayesian methods based on Dirichlet mixtures of normal kernels with a prior distribution on the kernel's covariance matrix parameter. We derive sufficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-22 Weining Shen , Surya T. Tokdar , Subhashis Ghosal

We introduce a Bayesian approach for analyzing (possibly) high-dimensional dependent data that are distributed according to a member from the natural exponential family of distributions. This problem requires extensive methodological…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-19 Jonathan R. Bradley , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

Consider two forms of sampling from a population: (i) drawing $s$ samples of $n$ elements with replacement and (ii) drawing a single sample of $ns$ elements. In this paper, under the setting where the descending order population frequency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Koji Tsukuda , Shuhei Mano

We propose a two-component mixture of a noninformative (diffuse) and an informative prior distribution, weighted through the data in such a way to prefer the first component if a prior-data conflict arises. The data-driven approach for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-02 Leonardo Egidi , Francesco Pauli , Nicola Torelli

Conjugate pairs of distributions over infinite dimensional spaces are prominent in statistical learning theory, particularly due to the widespread adoption of Bayesian nonparametric methodologies for a host of models and applications. Much…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-12 Robert Finn , Brian Kulis

When the historical data are limited, the conditional probabilities associated with the nodes of Bayesian networks are uncertain and can be empirically estimated. Second order estimation methods provide a framework for both estimating the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-09 Conrad D. Hougen , Lance M. Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Alfred O. Hero

This study presents new closed-form estimators for the Dirichlet and the Multivariate Gamma distribution families, whose maximum likelihood estimator cannot be explicitly derived. The methodology builds upon the score-adjusted estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Ioannis Oikonomidis , Samis Trevezas

The beta distribution is a basic distribution serving several purposes. It is used to model data, and also, as a more flexible version of the uniform distribution, it serves as a prior distribution for a binomial probability. The bivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-17 Ingram Olkin , Thomas A. Trikalinos

Like mean, quantile and variance, mode is also an important measure of central tendency and data summary. Many practical questions often focus on "Which element (gene or file or signal) occurs most often or is the most typical among all…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-03 Keming Yu , Katerina Aristodemou

We present a method for identification of models with good predictive performances in the family of Bayesian log-linear mixed models with Dirichlet process random effects. Such a problem arises in many different applications; here we…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-17 Cinzia Carota , Maurizio Filippone , Silvia Polettini

This paper develops a methodology for approximating the posterior first two moments of the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. Partially specified probability models, which are defined only by specifying means and variances, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-27 K. Triantafyllopoulos , P. J. Harrison

A Bayesian approach termed BAyesian Least Squares Optimization with Nonnegative L1-norm constraint (BALSON) is proposed. The error distribution of data fitting is described by Gaussian likelihood. The parameter distribution is assumed to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Jiyang Xie , Zhanyu Ma , Guoqiang Zhang , Jing-Hao Xue , Jen-Tzung Chien , Zhiqing Lin , Jun Guo

Flexible regression methods where interest centres on the way that the whole distribution of a response vector changes with covariates are very useful in some applications. A recently developed technique in this regard uses the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-01 Meng Hwee Victor Ong , David J. Nott , Ajay Jasra

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models are common for modeling complex data. While these models are well-suited for density estimation, recent results proved posterior inconsistency of the number of clusters when the true number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Louise Alamichel , Daria Bystrova , Julyan Arbel , Guillaume Kon Kam King
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