English
Related papers

Related papers: Test Error Estimation after Model Selection Using …

200 papers

This text is a survey on cross-validation. We define all classical cross-validation procedures, and we study their properties for two different goals: estimating the risk of a given estimator, and selecting the best estimator among a given…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-10 Sylvain Arlot

The determination of the sample size required by a crossover trial typically depends on the specification of one or more variance components. Uncertainty about the value of these parameters at the design stage means that there is often a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-28 Michael Grayling , Adrian Mander , James Wason

Predictive models ground many state-of-the-art developments in statistical brain image analysis: decoding, MVPA, searchlight, or extraction of biomarkers. The principled approach to establish their validity and usefulness is…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-06-26 Gaël Varoquaux

We describe how to calculate standard errors for A/B tests that include clustered data, ratio metrics, and/or covariate adjustment. We may do this for power analysis/sample size calculations prior to running an experiment using historical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-12 Tim Hesterberg , Ben Knight

Model selection on validation data is an essential step in machine learning. While the mixing of data between training and validation is considered taboo, practitioners often violate it to increase performance. Here, we offer a simple,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-19 Guy Tennenholtz , Tom Zahavy , Shie Mannor

Bootstrap is a widely used technique that allows estimating the properties of a given estimator, such as its bias and standard error. In this paper, we evaluate and compare five bootstrap-based methods for making confidence intervals: two…

We revisit resampling procedures for error estimation in binary classification in terms of U-statistics. In particular, we exploit the fact that the error rate estimator involving all learning-testing splits is a U-statistic. Thus, it has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Mathias Fuchs , Roman Hornung , Riccardo De Bin , Anne-Laure Boulesteix

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We develop a new approach for estimating the risk of an arbitrary estimator of the mean vector in the classical normal means problem. The key idea is to generate two auxiliary data vectors, by adding carefully constructed normal noise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Natalia L. Oliveira , Jing Lei , Ryan J. Tibshirani

We show that, when the double bootstrap is used to improve performance of bootstrap methods for bias correction, techniques based on using a single double-bootstrap sample for each single-bootstrap sample can be particularly effective. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-12 Jinyuan Chang , Peter Hall

When evaluating the performance of a model for individualised risk prediction, the sample size needs to be large enough to precisely estimate the performance measures of interest. Current sample size guidance is based on precisely…

This note investigates a number of scenarios in which unadjusted testing following a blinded sample size re-estimation leads to type I error violations. For superiority testing, this occurs in certain small-sample borderline cases. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-18 Ekkehard Glimm , Jürgen Läuter

This paper considers errors-in-variables models in a high-dimensional setting where the number of covariates can be much larger than the sample size, and there are only a small number of non-zero covariates. The presence of measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-03 Linh Nghiem , Cornelis Potgieter

This paper develops new insights into quantitative methods for the validation of computational model prediction. Four types of methods are investigated, namely classical and Bayesian hypothesis testing, a reliability-based method, and an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-06-25 You Ling , Sankaran Mahadevan

Sample size determination for a data set is an important statistical process for analyzing the data to an optimum level of accuracy and using minimum computational work. The applications of this process are credible in every domain which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-26 Siddhant Sahu , V. Sugumaran

Cross-validation (CV) is a common method to tune machine learning methods and can be used for model selection in regression as well. Because of the structured nature of small, traditional experimental designs, the literature has warned…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-18 Maria L. Weese , Byran J. Smucker , David J. Edwards

Estimating errors is a crucial part of any scientific analysis. Whenever a parameter is estimated (model-based or not), an error estimate is necessary. Any parameter estimate that is given without an error estimate is meaningless.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2010-11-01 Rene Andrae

This paper considers the estimation of binary choice models when survey responses are possibly misclassified but one of the response category can be validated. Partial validation may occur when survey questions about participation include…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-17 Augustine Denteh , Pierre E. Nguimkeu

Over the course of the past decade, a variety of randomized algorithms have been proposed for computing approximate least-squares (LS) solutions in large-scale settings. A longstanding practical issue is that, for any given input, the user…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-07 Miles E. Lopes , Shusen Wang , Michael W. Mahoney

We consider random sample splitting for estimation and inference in high dimensional generalized linear models, where we first apply the lasso to select a submodel using one subsample and then apply the debiased lasso to fit the selected…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Omar Vazquez , Bin Nan