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Related papers: Modeling sepsis progression using hidden Markov mo…

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A particular challenge for disease progression modeling is the heterogeneity of a disease and its manifestations in the patients. Existing approaches often assume the presence of a single disease progression characteristics which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Taha Ceritli , Andrew P. Creagh , David A. Clifton

A major issue in the clinical management of epilepsy is the unpredictability of seizures. Yet, traditional approaches to seizure forecasting and risk assessment in epilepsy rely heavily on raw seizure frequencies, which are a stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-11 Emily T. Wang , Sharon Chiang , Zulfi Haneef , Vikram R. Rao , Robert Moss , Marina Vannucci

Individual-level epidemic models are increasingly being used to help understand the transmission dynamics of various infectious diseases. However, fitting such models to individual-level epidemic data is challenging, as we often only know…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-17 Dirk Douwes-Schultz , Rob Deardon , Alexandra M. Schmidt

We explore the use of traditional and contemporary hidden Markov models (HMMs) for sequential physiological data analysis and sepsis prediction in preterm infants. We investigate the use of classical Gaussian mixture model based HMM, and a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Antoine Honore , Dong Liu , David Forsberg , Karen Coste , Eric Herlenius , Saikat Chatterjee , Mikael Skoglund

Continuous-time multistate models are widely used for analyzing interval-censored data on disease progression over time. Sometimes, diseases manifest differently and what appears to be a coherent collection of symptoms is the expression of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Yidan Shi , Leilei Zeng , Mary E. Thompson , Suzanne L. Tyas

We propose a causal hidden Markov model to achieve robust prediction of irreversible disease at an early stage, which is safety-critical and vital for medical treatment in early stages. Specifically, we introduce the hidden variables which…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Jing Li , Botong Wu , Xinwei Sun , Yizhou Wang

Clinical researchers use disease progression models to understand patient status and characterize progression patterns from longitudinal health records. One approach for disease progression modeling is to describe patient status using a…

Hidden Markov jump processes are an attractive approach for modeling clinical disease progression data because they are explainable and capable of handling both irregularly sampled and noisy data. Most applications in this context consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-15 Rui Meng , Soper Braden , Jan Nygard , Mari Nygrad , Herbert Lee

In routine care, individuals identified a priori as high-risk are usually tested for conditions more frequently. Protected attributes, such as sex or ethnicity may also determine testing frequency. Such heterogeneous detection rates across…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-08 Jose Benitez-Aurioles , Ricardo Silva , Brian McMillan , Matthew Sperrin

Progressive diseases worsen over time and are characterised by monotonic change in features that track disease progression. Here we connect ideas from two formerly separate methodologies -- event-based and hidden Markov modelling -- to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Peter A. Wijeratne , Daniel C. Alexander

Analyzing disease progression patterns can provide useful insights into the disease processes of many chronic conditions. These analyses may help inform recruitment for prevention trials or the development and personalization of treatments…

We propose a novel Coupled Hidden Markov Model to detect epileptic seizures in multichannel electroencephalography (EEG) data. Our model defines a network of seizure propagation paths to capture both the temporal and spatial evolution of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-08-13 Jeff Craley , Emily Johnson , Archana Venkataraman

Modeling disease progression in healthcare administrative databases is complicated by the fact that patients are observed only at irregular intervals when they seek healthcare services. In a longitudinal cohort of 76,888 patients with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Aman Verma , Guido Powell , Yu Luo , David Stephens , David L. Buckeridge

Current machine learning models aiming to predict sepsis from Electronic Health Records (EHR) do not account for the heterogeneity of the condition, despite its emerging importance in prognosis and treatment. This work demonstrates the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-24 Zina Ibrahim , Honghan Wu , Ahmed Hamoud , Lukas Stappen , Richard Dobson , Andrea Agarossi

Psychiatric patients' passive activity monitoring is crucial to detect behavioural shifts in real-time, comprising a tool that helps clinicians supervise patients' evolution over time and enhance the associated treatments' outcomes.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-21 Fernando Moreno-Pino , María Martínez-García , Pablo M. Olmos , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez

In recent years, healthcare professionals are increasingly emphasizing on personalized and evidence-based patient care through the exploration of prognostic pathways. To study this, structured clinical variables from Electronic Health…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Sudeshna Jana , Tirthankar Dasgupta , Lipika Dey

Background: While machine learning (ML) models are rapidly emerging as promising screening tools in critical care medicine, the identification of homogeneous subphenotypes within populations with heterogeneous conditions such as pediatric…

Modeling disease progression through multiple stages is critical for clinical decision-making for chronic diseases, e.g., cancer, diabetes, chronic kidney diseases, and so on. Existing approaches often model the disease progression as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Haoyu Yang , Sanjoy Dey , Pablo Meyer

Disease progression models are widely used to inform the diagnosis and treatment of many progressive diseases. However, a significant limitation of existing models is that they do not account for health disparities that can bias the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Erica Chiang , Divya Shanmugam , Ashley N. Beecy , Gabriel Sayer , Deborah Estrin , Nikhil Garg , Emma Pierson

Sepsis is a life-threatening condition that requires rapid detection and treatment to prevent progression to severe sepsis, septic shock, or multi-organ failure. Despite advances in medical technology, it remains a major challenge for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Atharva Thakur , Shruti Dhumal
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