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Monte Carlo methods to evaluate and maximize the likelihood function enable the construction of confidence intervals and hypothesis tests, facilitating scientific investigation using models for which the likelihood function is intractable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-13 Edward L. Ionides , Carles Breto , Joonha Park , Richard A. Smith , Aaron A. King

Metrics of model goodness-of-fit, model comparison, and model parameter estimation are the main categories of statistical problems in science. Bayesian and frequentist methods that address these questions often rely on a likelihood…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-26 Carlos A. Argüelles , Austin Schneider , Tianlu Yuan

Counting experiments often rely on Monte Carlo simulations for predictions of Poisson expectations. The accompanying uncertainty from the finite Monte Carlo sample size can be incorporated into parameter estimation by modifying the Poisson…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-22 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

Probabilistic prediction of sequences from images and other high-dimensional data is a key challenge, particularly in risk-sensitive applications. In these settings, it is often desirable to quantify the uncertainty associated with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Qidong Yang , Weicheng Zhu , Joseph Keslin , Laure Zanna , Tim G. J. Rudner , Carlos Fernandez-Granda

Variable selection in cluster analysis is important yet challenging. It can be achieved by regularization methods, which realize a trade-off between the clustering accuracy and the number of selected variables by using a lasso-type penalty.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-23 Marbac Matthieu , Sedki Mohammed

Spectral clustering is a popular unsupervised learning technique which is able to partition unlabelled data into disjoint clusters of distinct shapes. However, the data under consideration are often experimental data, implying that the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-26 Jürgen Dölz , Jolanda Weygandt

Likelihood profiling is an efficient and powerful frequentist approach for parameter estimation, uncertainty quantification and practical identifiablity analysis. Unfortunately, these methods cannot be easily applied for stochastic models…

Monte Carlo simulations are based on the manipulation of random numbers to evaluate probable outcomes, with applicability in a variety of different fields. By assigning probabilities, which can be determined a priori, to various events, it…

Physics Education · Physics 2022-01-03 Parasuraman Swaminathan

Clustering analysis is one of the most widely used statistical tools in many emerging areas such as microarray data analysis. For microarray and other high-dimensional data, the presence of many noise variables may mask underlying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2008-03-26 Benhuai Xie , Wei Pan , Xiaotong Shen

We study cluster perturbation theory [Phys. Rev. Lett. \textbf{84}, 522 (2000)] when auxiliary field quantum Monte Carlo method is used for solving the cluster hamiltonian. As a case study, we calculate the spectral functions of the Hubbard…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2007-05-23 Fei Lin , Erik S. Sorensen , Catherine Kallin , A. John Berlinsky

Survival models incorporating random effects to account for unmeasured heterogeneity are being increasingly used in biostatistical and applied research. Specifically, unmeasured covariates whose lack of inclusion in the model would lead to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-06 Alessandro Gasparini , Mark S. Clements , Keith R. Abrams , Michael J. Crowther

We consider the problem of setting confidence intervals on a parameter of interest from the maximum-likelihood fit of a physics model to a binned data set with a large number of bins, large event-counts per bin, and in the presence of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-02-09 Cristina-Andreea Alexe , Joshua Bendavid , Lorenzo Bianchini , Davide Bruschini

Parameter estimation connects mathematical models to real-world data and decision making across many scientific and industrial applications. Standard approaches such as maximum likelihood estimation and Markov chain Monte Carlo estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-06 Matthew J Simpson , James S Bennett , Alexander Johnston , Ruth E Baker

We review the background of the cluster algorithms in Monte Carlo simulation of statistical physics problems. One of the first such successful algorithm was developed by Swendsen and Wang eight years ago. In contrast to the local…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jian-Sheng Wang

Increasingly complex applications involve large datasets in combination with non-linear and high dimensional mathematical models. In this context, statistical inference is a challenging issue that calls for pragmatic approaches that take…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-31 Andreas Raue , Clemens Kreutz , Fabian Joachim Theis , Jens Timmer

To conduct Bayesian inference with large data sets, it is often convenient or necessary to distribute the data across multiple machines. We consider a likelihood function expressed as a product of terms, each associated with a subset of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-09 Lewis J. Rendell , Adam M. Johansen , Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

In cluster analysis, it can be useful to interpret the partition built from the data in the light of external categorical variables which were not directly involved to cluster the data. An approach is proposed in the model-based clustering…

It is often of interest to perform clustering on longitudinal data, yet it is difficult to formulate an intuitive model for which estimation is computationally feasible. We propose a model-based clustering method for clustering objects that…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-19 Daniel K. Sewell , Yuguo Chen , William Bernhard , Tracy Sulkin

The pointwise mutual information profile, or simply profile, is the distribution of pointwise mutual information for a given pair of random variables. One of its important properties is that its expected value is precisely the mutual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-30 Paweł Czyż , Frederic Grabowski , Julia E. Vogt , Niko Beerenwinkel , Alexander Marx

Composite likelihood inference has gained much popularity thanks to its computational manageability and its theoretical properties. Unfortunately, performing composite likelihood ratio tests is inconvenient because of their awkward…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-01 Manuela Cattelan , Nicola Sartori
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