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We consider the first exit time of a nonnegative Harris-recurrent Markov process from the interval $[0,A]$ as $A\to\infty$. We provide an alternative method of proof of asymptotic exponentiality of the first exit time (suitably…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-07 Moshe Pollak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Consider a random walk $S=(S_n:n\geq 0)$ that is ``perturbed'' by a stationary sequence $(\xi_n:n\geq 0)$ to produce the process $(S_n+\xi_n:n\geq0)$. This paper is concerned with computing the distribution of the all-time maximum…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Victor F. Araman , Peter W. Glynn

We study a system of coalescing continuous-time random walks starting from every site on $\mathbb{Z}$, where the jump increments lie in the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable distribution with $\alpha\in(0,1]$. We establish sharp…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Jinjiong Yu

We prove that for a random walk on the real line whose increments have zero mean and are either integer-valued or spread out (i.e. the distributions of the steps of the walk are eventually non-singular), the Markov chain of overshoots above…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Aleksandar Mijatović , Vladislav Vysotsky

Let $\left\{ S_{n},n\geq 0\right\} $ be a random walk whose increment distribution belongs without centering to the domain of attraction of an $% \alpha $-stable law, i.e., there are some scaling constants $a_{n}$ such that the sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Congzao Dong , Elena Dyakonova , Vladimir Vatutin

The general applicability and ease of use of the pseudo-marginal Metropolis--Hastings (PMMH) algorithm, and particle Metropolis--Hastings in particular, makes it a popular method for inference on discretely observed Markovian stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-19 Chris Sherlock

Percolation clusters are random fractals whose geometrical and transport properties can be characterized with the help of probability distribution functions. Using renormalized field theory, we determine the asymptotic form of various of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Hans-Karl Janssen , Olaf Stenull

We consider a new model of a branching random walk on a multidimensional lattice with continuous time and one source of particle reproduction and death, as well as an infinite number of sources in which, in addition to the walk, only…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-14 E. Filichkina , E. Yarovaya

Sampling from the stationary distribution is one of the fundamental tasks of Markov chain-based algorithms and has important applications in machine learning, combinatorial optimization and network science. For the quantum case, qsampling…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-08 Xinyin Li , Yun Shang

This paper faces a central theme in applied statistics and information science, which is the assessment of the stochastic structure of rank-size laws in text analysis. We consider the words in a corpus by ranking them on the basis of their…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Roy Cerqueti , Valerio Ficcadenti , Gurjeet Dhesi , Marcel Ausloos

New algorithms for construction of asymptotic expansions for stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes with finite phase spaces are presented. These algorithms are based on a special technique of sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Dmitrii Silvestrov , Sergei Silvestrov

Consider a nearest-neighbor random walk with certain asymptotically zero drift on the positive half line. Let $M$ be the maximum of an excursion starting from $1$ and ending at $0.$ We study the distribution of $M$ and characterize its…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Hongyan Sun , Hua-Ming Wang

We construct a new framework for accelerating Markov chain Monte Carlo in posterior sampling problems where standard methods are limited by the computational cost of the likelihood, or of numerical models embedded therein. Our approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-06 Patrick R. Conrad , Youssef M. Marzouk , Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

In this paper we study the ergodicity properties of some adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (MCMC) that have been recently proposed in the literature. We prove that under a set of verifiable conditions, ergodic averages calculated…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Christophe Andrieu , Éric Moulines

In this paper, we shall optimize the efficiency of Metropolis algorithms for multidimensional target distributions with scaling terms possibly depending on the dimension. We propose a method for determining the appropriate form for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-25 Mylène Bédard

We are interested in the asymptotic behavior of Markov chains on the set of positive integers for which, loosely speaking, large jumps are rare and occur at a rate that behaves like a negative power of the current state, and such that small…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Jean Bertoin , Igor Kortchemski

We prove a {\it{quenched}} large deviation principle (LDP) for a simple random walk on a supercritical percolation cluster on $\Z^d$, $d\geq 2$.. We take the point of view of the moving particle and first prove a quenched LDP for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-02 Noam Berger , Chiranjib Mukherjee

Consider an N-dimensional Markov chain obtained from N one-dimensional random walks by Doob h-transform with the q-Vandermonde determinant. We prove that as N becomes large, these Markov chains converge to an infinite-dimensional Feller…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-03 Alexei Borodin , Vadim Gorin

We consider asymptotics for the maximum of a modulated random walk whose increments $\xi_n^{X_n}$ are heavy-tailed. Of particular interest is the case where the modulating process $X$ is regenerative. Here we study also the maximum of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Stan Zachary

Consider a stochastic process that behaves as a $d$-dimensional simple and symmetric random walk, except that, with a certain fixed probability, at each step, it chooses instead to jump to a given site with probability proportional to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Cécile Mailler , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo