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We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

Binary classifiers trained on a certain proportion of positive items introduce a bias when applied to data sets with different proportions of positive items. Most solutions for dealing with this issue assume that some information on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-18 Marco J. H. Puts , Piet J. H. Daas

In numerous instances, the generalized exponential distribution can be used as an alternative to the most widely used non-regular family of distributions: Weibull, gamma, lognormal with three-parameters when analyzing lifetime or any skewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Kiran Prajapat , Sharmishtha Mitra , Debasis Kundu

The goal of regression analysis is to predict the value of a numeric outcome variable y given a vector of joint values of other (predictor) variables x. Usually a particular x-vector does not specify a repeatable value for y, but rather a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-29 Jerome H. Friedman

There is a growing need for flexible statistical distributions that can accurately model data defined on the unit interval. This paper introduces a new unit distribution, termed the unit Shiha (USh) distribution, which is derived from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 F. A. Shiha

The Birnbaum-Saunders distribution, also known as the fatigue-life distribution, is frequently used in reliability studies. We obtain adjustments to the Birnbaum--Saunders profile likelihood function. The modified versions of the likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-04-06 Audrey H. M. A. Cysneiros , Francisco Cribari-Neto , Carlos A. G. Araujo

Percentiles and more generally, quantiles are commonly used in various contexts to summarize data. For most distributions, there is exactly one quantile that is unbiased. For distributions like the Gaussian that have the same mean and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Rohit Pandey

We are concerned with obtaining well-calibrated output distributions from regression models. Such distributions allow us to quantify the uncertainty that the model has regarding the predicted target value. We introduce the novel concept of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-16 Hao Song , Tom Diethe , Meelis Kull , Peter Flach

When a linear model is adjusted to control for additional explanatory variables the sign of a fitted coefficient may reverse. Here these reversals are studied using coefficients of determination. The resulting theory can be used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-11 Brian Knaeble , Seth Dutter

We study the distribution of large (and small) values of several families of $L$-functions on a line $\text{Re(s)}=\sigma$ where $1/2<\sigma<1$. We consider the Riemann zeta function $\zeta(s)$ in the $t$-aspect, Dirichlet $L$-functions in…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2011-01-11 Youness Lamzouri

In prediction problems with more predictors than observations, it can sometimes be helpful to use a joint probability model, $\pi(Y,X)$, rather than a purely conditional model, $\pi(Y \mid X)$, where $Y$ is a scalar response variable and…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-17 P. Richard Hahn , Sayan Mukherjee , Carlos Carvalho

This note corrects a technical error in Guardiola (2020, Journal of Statistical Distributions and Applications), presents updated derivations, and offers an extended discussion of the properties of the spherical Dirichlet distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-06 Jose H Guardiola

The univariate distorted distribution were introduced in risk theory to represent changes (distortions) in the expected distributions of some risks. Later they were also applied to represent distributions of order statistics, coherent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Jorge Navarro , Camilla Calì , Maria Longobardi , Fabrizio Durante

We present a structured additive regression approach to model conditional densities given scalar covariates, where only samples of the conditional distributions are observed. This links our approach to distributional regression models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Eva-Maria Maier , Alexander Fottner , Sonja Greven , Almond Stöcker

We examine the distribution and popularity of different parameters (such as the number of descents, runs, valleys, peaks, right-to-left minima, and more) on the sets of increasing and flattened permutations. For each parameter, we provide…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Jean-Luc Baril , José L. Ramírez

Many existing approaches for generating predictions in settings with distribution shift model distribution shifts as adversarial or low-rank in suitable representations. In various real-world settings, however, we might expect shifts to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Kirk Bansak , Elisabeth Paulson , Dominik Rothenhäusler

We introduce the beta generalized exponential distribution that includes the beta exponential and generalized exponential distributions as special cases. We provide a comprehensive mathematical treatment of this distribution. We derive the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-17 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Alessandro H. S. Santos , Gauss M. Cordeiro

Motivated by the home-field advantage in sports, we propose a generalized Bradley--Terry model that incorporates covariate information for paired comparisons. It has an $n$-dimensional merit parameter $\bs{\beta}$ and a fixed-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-31 Ting Yan

A generalization of a distribution increases the flexibility particularly in studying of a phenomenon and its properties. Many generalizations of continuous univariate distributions are available in literature. In this study, an…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-30 Brijesh P. Singh , Sandeep Singh , Utpal Dhar Das

The estimation law of unknown parameters vector ${\theta}$ is proposed for one class of nonlinearly parametrized regression equations $y\left( t \right) = \Omega \left( t \right)\Theta \left( \theta \right)$. We restrict our attention to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-22 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin