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Gaussian couplings of partial sum processes are derived for the high-dimensional regime $d=o(n^{1/3})$. The coupling is derived for sums of independent random vectors and subsequently extended to nonstationary time series. Our inequalities…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Fabian Mies , Ansgar Steland

Prior elicitation methods for Bayesian analyses transfigure prior information into quantifiable prior distributions. Recently, methods that leverage copulas have been proposed to accommodate more flexible dependence structures when…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

In this paper, we derive copula-based and empirical dependency models (DMs) for simulating non-independent variables, and then propose a new way for determining the distribution of the model outputs conditional on every subset of inputs.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-12 Matieyendou Lamboni

This article is devoted to some time-changed stochastic models based on multivariate stable processes. The considered models have several advantages in comparison with classical time-changed Brownian motions - for instance, it turns out…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 V. Panov , E. Samarin

We propose a scalable semiparametric Bayesian model to capture dependencies among multiple neurons by detecting their co-firing (possibly with some lag time) patterns over time. After discretizing time so there is at most one spike at each…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-22 Babak Shahbaba , Bo Zhou , Shiwei Lan , Hernando Ombao , David Moorman , Sam Behseta

We introduce a general approach for modeling the dynamic of multivariate time series when the data are of mixed type (binary/count/continuous). Our method is quite flexible and conditionally on past values, each coordinate at time $t$ can…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-05 Zinsou Max Debaly , Lionel Truquet

We utilize copulas to constitute a unified framework for constructing and optimizing variational proposals in hierarchical Bayesian models. For models with continuous and non-Gaussian hidden variables, we propose a semiparametric and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-19 Shaobo Han , Xuejun Liao , David B. Dunson , Lawrence Carin

We introduce a general theory on stationary approximations for locally stationary continuous-time processes. Based on the stationary approximation, we use $\theta$-weak dependence to establish laws of large numbers and central limit type…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Robert Stelzer , Bennet Ströh

We study the asymptotic behavior of wavelet coefficients of random processes with long memory. These processes may be stationary or not and are obtained as the output of non--linear filter with Gaussian input. The wavelet coefficients that…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-28 Marianne Clausel , François Roueff , Murad S. Taqqu , Ciprian A. Tudor

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal model (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or nonlinearity.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-06 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Testing for pairwise independence for the case where the number of variables may be of the same size or even larger than the sample size has received increasing attention in the recent years. We contribute to this branch of the literature…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Axel Bücher , Cambyse Pakzad

Stationary distributions of multivariate diffusion processes have recently been proposed as probabilistic models of causal systems in statistics and machine learning. Motivated by these developments, we study stationary multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Tobias Boege , Mathias Drton , Benjamin Hollering , Sarah Lumpp , Pratik Misra , Daniela Schkoda

For time series with high temporal correlation, the empirical process converges rather slowly to its limiting distribution. Many statistics in change-point analysis, goodness-of-fit testing and uncertainty quantification admit a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Annika Betken , Marie-Christine Düker

We derive the asymptotic distribution of ordinal-pattern frequencies under weak dependence conditions and investigate the long-run covariance matrix not only analytically for moving-average, Gaussian, and the novel generalized coin-tossing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Angelika Silbernagel , Christian Weiß

Recently there has been an increasing interest in methods that deal with multiple outputs. This has been motivated partly by frameworks like multitask learning, multisensor networks or structured output data. From a Gaussian processes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-11-30 Mauricio A. Álvarez , Neil D. Lawrence

Lower bounds for persistence probabilities of stationary Gaussian processes in discrete time are obtained under various conditions on the spectral measure of the process. Examples are given to show that the persistence probability can decay…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Krishna M. , Manjunath Krishnapur

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal models (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

We consider the problem of approximating sums of high-dimensional stationary time series by Gaussian vectors, using the framework of functional dependence measure. The validity of the Gaussian approximation depends on the sample size $n$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Danna Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

A weakly dependent time series regression model with multivariate covariates and univariate observations is considered, for which we develop a procedure to detect whether the nonparametric conditional mean function is stable in time against…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-25 Maria Mohr , Natalie Neumeyer

We investigate a family of multiple-stable processes that may exhibit either long-range or short-range dependence, depending on the parameters. There are two parameters for the processes, the memory parameter $\beta\in(0,1)$ and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-10 Shuyang Bai , Yizao Wang