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The report presents with the development and optimisation of an enhanced algorithmic trading strategy through the use of historical S&P 500 market data and earnings call sentiment analysis. The proposed strategy integrates various technical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Owen Nyo Wei Yuan , Victor Tan Jia Xuan , Ong Jun Yao Fabian , Ryan Tan Jun Wei

In this paper, we propose stock trading based on the average tax basis. Recall that when selling stocks, capital gain should be taxed while capital loss can earn certain tax rebate. We learn the optimal trading strategies with and without…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-01 Shan Huang

Social learning is a fundamental mechanism shaping decision-making across numerous social networks, including social trading platforms. In those platforms, investors combine traditional investing with copying the behavior of others.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-04 Bijin Joseph , Christoph Riedl , Alex Pentland , Esteban Moro

For both investors and policymakers, forecasting the stock market is essential as it serves as an indicator of economic well-being. To this end, we harness the power of social media data, a rich source of public sentiment, to enhance the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Shengkun Wang , YangXiao Bai , Kaiqun Fu , Linhan Wang , Chang-Tien Lu , Taoran Ji

Deep Reinforcement learning is a branch of unsupervised learning in which an agent learns to act based on environment state in order to maximize its total reward. Deep reinforcement learning provides good opportunity to model the complexity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-05 Zhaolu Dong , Shan Huang , Simiao Ma , Yining Qian

More and more investors and machine learning models rely on social media (e.g., Twitter and Reddit) to gather real-time information and sentiment to predict stock price movements. Although text-based models are known to be vulnerable to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-07-14 Yong Xie , Dakuo Wang , Pin-Yu Chen , Jinjun Xiong , Sijia Liu , Sanmi Koyejo

With the advent of fast-paced information dissemination and retrieval, it has become inherently important to resort to automated means of predicting stock market prices. In this paper, we propose Taureau, a framework that leverages Twitter…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Nicholas Milikich , Joshua Johnson

In this paper, we present computational models to predict Twitter users' attitude towards a specific brand through their personal and social characteristics. We also predict their likelihood to take different actions based on their…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-04-18 Jalal Mahmud , Geli Fei , Anbang Xu , Aditya Pal , Michelle Zhou

Reinforcement learning algorithms describe how an agent can learn an optimal action policy in a sequential decision process, through repeated experience. In a given environment, the agent policy provides him some running and terminal…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-03-24 Arthur Charpentier , Romuald Elie , Carl Remlinger

The paper explores the use of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) in stock market trading, focusing on two algorithms: Double Deep Q-Network (DDQN) and Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) and compares them with Buy and Hold benchmark. It…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Jędrzej Maskiewicz , Paweł Sakowski

Training machine learning models for predicting stock market share prices is an active area of research since the automatization of trading such papers was available in real time. While most of the work in this field of research is done by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-14 Mario Mitsuo Akita , Everton Josue da Silva

The financial market is known to be highly sensitive to news. Therefore, effectively incorporating news data into quantitative trading remains an important challenge. Existing approaches typically rely on manually designed rules and/or…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-23 Qing-Yu Lan , Zhan-He Wang , Jun-Qian Jiang , Yu-Tong Wang , Yun-Song Piao

One of the pillars to build a country's economy is the stock market. Over the years, people are investing in stock markets to earn as much profit as possible from the amount of money that they possess. Hence, it is vital to have a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-17 Ishu Gupta , Tarun Kumar Madan , Sukhman Singh , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

This paper proposes a novel stock selection strategy framework based on combined machine learning algorithms. Two types of weighting methods for three representative machine learning algorithms are developed to predict the returns of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-27 Lin Cai , Zhiyang He , Caiya Zhang

This paper contributes a new machine learning solution for stock movement prediction, which aims to predict whether the price of a stock will be up or down in the near future. The key novelty is that we propose to employ adversarial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-04 Fuli Feng , Huimin Chen , Xiangnan He , Ji Ding , Maosong Sun , Tat-Seng Chua

The development of reinforced learning methods has extended application to many areas including algorithmic trading. In this paper trading on the stock exchange is interpreted into a game with a Markov property consisting of states,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-28 Evgeny Ponomarev , Ivan Oseledets , Andrzej Cichocki

In this paper we continue the study of the simulated stock market framework defined by the driving sentiment processes. We focus on the market environment driven by the buy/sell trading sentiment process of the Markov chain type. We apply…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-27 Mikhail Goykhman , Ali Teimouri

We model short-duration (e.g. day) trading in financial markets as a sequential decision-making problem under uncertainty, with the added complication of continual concept-drift. We, therefore, employ meta reinforcement learning via the RL2…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-20 S I Harini , Gautam Shroff , Ashwin Srinivasan , Prayushi Faldu , Lovekesh Vig

Forecasting financial market trends through time series analysis and natural language processing poses a complex and demanding undertaking, owing to the numerous variables that can influence stock prices. These variables encompass a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-04 Ali Asgarov

We build a new measure of credit and financial market sentiment using Natural Language Processing on Twitter data. We find that the Twitter Financial Sentiment Index (TFSI) correlates highly with corporate bond spreads and other price- and…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-26 Travis Adams , Andrea Ajello , Diego Silva , Francisco Vazquez-Grande