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The increasing penetration level of energy generation from renewable sources is demanding for more accurate and reliable forecasting tools to support classic power grid operations (e.g., unit commitment, electricity market clearing or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-17 Michela Moschella , Mauro Tucci , Emanuele Crisostomi , Alessandro Betti

Operating an active distribution network (ADN) in the absence of enough measurements, the presence of distributed energy resources, and poor knowledge of responsive demand behaviour is a huge challenge. This paper introduces systematic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-24 Malek Alduhaymi , Ravindra Singh , Firdous Ul Nazir , Bikash C. Pal

Due to imprecision and uncertainties in predicting real world problems, artificial neural network (ANN) techniques have become increasingly useful for modeling and optimization. This paper presents an artificial neural network approach for…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Hasan M. H. Owda , Babatunji Omoniwa , Ahmad R. Shahid , Sheikh Ziauddin

This article presents a novel hybrid approach using statistics and machine learning to forecast the national demand of electricity. As investment and operation of future energy systems require long-term electricity demand forecasts with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Tatiana Gonzalez Grandon , Johannes Schwenzer , Thomas Steens , Julia Breuing

Middle-term horizon (months to a year) power consumption prediction is a main challenge in the energy sector, in particular when probabilistic forecasting is considered. We propose a new modelling approach that incorporates trend,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-04 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

Electricity supply must be matched with demand at all times. This helps reduce the chances of issues such as load frequency control and the chances of electricity blackouts. To gain a better understanding of the load that is likely to be…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-09 Alexander J. M. Kell , A. Stephen McGough , Matthew Forshaw

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

This paper conducts research on the short-term electric load forecast method under the background of big data. It builds a new electric load forecast model based on Deep Auto-Encoder Networks (DAENs), which takes into account…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-23 Xin Shi

In this paper, we develop a deep neural network approach to solve a lifetime expected mortality-weighted utility-based model for optimal consumption in the decumulation phase of a defined contribution pension system. We formulate this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-28 Wen Chen , Nicolas Langrené

Integrating renewable energy sources into the power grid is becoming increasingly important as the world moves towards a more sustainable energy future in line with SDG 7. However, the intermittent nature of renewable energy sources can…

Deep Learning is applied to energy markets to predict extreme loads observed in energy grids. Forecasting energy loads and prices is challenging due to sharp peaks and troughs that arise due to supply and demand fluctuations from intraday…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-11 Michael Polson , Vadim Sokolov

We present a novel approach to probabilistic electricity price forecasting which utilizes distributional neural networks. The model structure is based on a deep neural network that contains a so-called probability layer. The network's…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-29 Grzegorz Marcjasz , Michał Narajewski , Rafał Weron , Florian Ziel

Various deep learning models, especially some latest Transformer-based approaches, have greatly improved the state-of-art performance for long-term time series forecasting.However, those transformer-based models suffer a severe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-27 Tian Zhou , Jianqing Zhu , Xue Wang , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

The precise forecasting of electricity demand also referred to as load forecasting, is essential for both planning and managing a power system. It is crucial for many tasks, including choosing which power units to commit to, making plans…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Kazi Fuad Bin Akhter , Sadia Mobasshira , Saief Nowaz Haque , Mahjub Alam Khan Hesham , Tanvir Ahmed

This paper integrates deep neural networks (DNNs) into structural economic models to increase flexibility and capture rich heterogeneity while preserving interpretability. Economic structure and machine learning are complements in empirical…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-28 Max H. Farrell , Tengyuan Liang , Sanjog Misra

An effective way to oppose global warming and mitigate climate change is to electrify our energy sectors and supply their electric power from renewable wind and solar. Spatio-temporal predictions of electric load become increasingly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Arsam Aryandoust , Anthony Patt , Stefan Pfenninger

In this paper, statistical machine learning algorithms, as well as deep neural networks, are used to predict the values of the price gap between day-ahead and real-time electricity markets. Several exogenous features are collected and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-24 Nika Nizharadze , Arash Farokhi Soofi , Saeed D. Manshadi

Forecasting building energy consumption has become a promising solution in Building Energy Management Systems for energy saving and optimization. Furthermore, it can play an important role in the efficient management of the operation of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Mohamad Khalil , A. Stephen McGough , Hussain Kazmi , Sara Walker

Ensuring sustainability demands more efficient energy management with minimized energy wastage. Therefore, the power grid of the future should provide an unprecedented level of flexibility in energy management. To that end, intelligent…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Daniel L. Marino , Kasun Amarasinghe , Milos Manic

Short-term forecasting of residential electricity demand is an important task for utilities. Yet, many small and medium-sized utilities still use simple forecasting approaches such as Synthesized Load Profiles, which treat residential…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Daniel R. Bayer , Felix Haag , Marco Pruckner , Konstantin Hopf