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Related papers: A Reliability Theory of Truth

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That science and other domains are now largely data-driven means virtually unlimited opportunities for statisticians. With great power comes responsibility, so it's imperative that statisticians ensure that the methods being developing to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Ryan Martin

Transparency is a fundamental requirement for decision making systems when these should be deployed in the real world. It is usually achieved by providing explanations of the system's behavior. A prominent and intuitive type of explanations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 André Artelt , Valerie Vaquet , Riza Velioglu , Fabian Hinder , Johannes Brinkrolf , Malte Schilling , Barbara Hammer

Reproducibility, the ability to recompute results, and replicability, the chances other experimenters will achieve a consistent result, are two foundational characteristics of successful scientific research. Consistent findings from…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-23 Jeffrey T. Leek , Roger D. Peng

How can we approach the truth in a society? It may depend on various factors. In this paper, using a well-established truth seeking model, we show that the persistent free information flow will bring us to the truth. Here the free…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Wei Su , Yongguang Yu

A key assumption fuelling optimism about the progress of large language models (LLMs) in accurately and comprehensively modelling the world is that the truth is systematic: true statements about the world form a whole that is not just…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Matthieu Queloz

Probability theory, epistemically interpreted, provides an excellent, if not the best available account of inductive reasoning. This is so because there are general and definite rules for the change of subjective probabilities through…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Wolfgang Spohn

Trustworthiness and trust are basic factors in common societies that allow us to interact and enjoy being in crowds without fear. As robotic devices start percolating into our daily lives they must behave as fully trustworthy objects, such…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Gerhard P. Fettweis , Patricia Grünberg , Tim Hentschel , Stefan Köpsell

In the paper, the question whether truth values can be assigned to the propositions before their verification is discussed. To answer this question, a notion of a propositionally noncontextual theory is introduced that in order to explain…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-09-27 Arkady Bolotin

Trusting machine learning algorithms requires having confidence in their outputs. Confidence is typically interpreted in terms of model reliability, where a model is reliable if it produces a high proportion of correct outputs. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Jonathan Vandenburgh

Credibility theory provides tools to obtain better estimates by combining individual data with sample information. We apply the Credibility theory to a Uniform distribution that is used in testing the reliability of forecasting an interest…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-18 Matteo Formenti

A key feature of human theory-of-mind is the ability to attribute beliefs to other agents as mentalistic explanations for their behavior. But given the wide variety of beliefs that agents may hold about the world and the rich language we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Lance Ying , Almog Hillel , Ryan Truong , Vikash K. Mansinghka , Joshua B. Tenenbaum , Tan Zhi-Xuan

Leading agent-based trust models address two important needs. First, they show how an agent may estimate the trustworthiness of another agent based on prior interactions. Second, they show how agents may share their knowledge in order to…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2014-01-17 Yonghong Wang , Chung-Wei Hang , Munindar P. Singh

This paper deals with belief base revision that is a form of belief change consisting of the incorporation of new facts into an agent's beliefs represented by a finite set of propositional formulas. In the aim to guarantee more reliability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-25 Raïda Ktari , Mohamed Ayman Boujelben

Justification theory is an abstract unifying formalism that captures semantics of various non-monotonic logics. One intriguing problem that has received significant attention is the consistency problem: under which conditions are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Simon Marynissen , Bart Bogaerts

Argumentation is a promising model for reasoning with uncertain knowledge. The key concept of acceptability enables to differentiate arguments and counterarguments: The certainty of a proposition can then be evaluated through the most…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Leila Amgoud , Claudette Cayrol

Misleading or false information has been creating chaos in some places around the world. To mitigate this issue, many researchers have proposed automated fact-checking methods to fight the spread of fake news. However, most methods cannot…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Jing Yang , Didier Vega-Oliveros , Taís Seibt , Anderson Rocha

Thanks to information explosion, data for the objects of interest can be collected from increasingly more sources. However, for the same object, there usually exist conflicts among the collected multi-source information. To tackle this…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-11-05 Yaliang Li , Jing Gao , Chuishi Meng , Qi Li , Lu Su , Bo Zhao , Wei Fan , Jiawei Han

Argumentation theory is a powerful paradigm that formalizes a type of commonsense reasoning that aims to simulate the human ability to resolve a specific problem in an intelligent manner. A classical argumentation process takes into account…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-03-06 Maximiliano C. D. Budán , Gerardo I. Simari , Ignacio Viglizzo , Guillermo R. Simari

There currently exists a gap between the theories proposed by the probability and uncertainty and the needs of Artificial Intelligence research. These theories primarily address the needs of expert systems, using knowledge structures which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Brian Falkenhainer

What would be the consequences if there were fundamental limits to our ability to experimentally explore the world? In this work we seriously consider this question. We assume the existence of statements whose truth value is not…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-09-11 Jacopo Surace