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Estimating failure probabilities of engineering systems is an important problem in many engineering fields. In this work we consider such problems where the failure probability is extremely small (e.g $\leq10^{-10}$). In this case, standard…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Xinjuan Chen , Jinglai Li

The combination of continuum Many-Body Quantum physics and Monte Carlo methods provide a powerful and well established approach to first principles calculations for large systems. Replacing the exact solution of the problem with a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-10-01 J. R. Trail

Monte Carlo simulation is an essential component of experimental particle physics in all the phases of its life-cycle: the investigation of the physics reach of detector concepts, the design of facilities and detectors, the development and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2012-08-02 Maria Grazia Pia , Georg Weidenspointner

The basic problem in equilibrium statistical mechanics is to compute phase space average, in which Monte Carlo method plays a very important role. We begin with a review of nonlocal algorithms for Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jian-Sheng Wang

A brief introduction to the technique of Monte Carlo simulations in statistical physics is presented. The topics covered include statistical ensembles random and pseudo random numbers, random sampling techniques, importance sampling, Markov…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 K. P. N. Murthy

Complex scientific models where the likelihood cannot be evaluated present a challenge for statistical inference. Over the past two decades, a wide range of algorithms have been proposed for learning parameters in computationally feasible…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-16 Aden Forrow , Ruth E. Baker

Approximate inference in probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) can be grouped into deterministic methods and Monte-Carlo-based methods. The former can often provide accurate and rapid inferences, but are typically associated with biases…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-09 Fredrik Lindsten , Jouni Helske , Matti Vihola

The procedures of validating simulation of particle physics events at the LHC are summarized. Because of the strongly fluctuating particle content of LHC events and detector interactions, particle based Monte Carlo methods are an…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2018-07-23 Peter Mättig

The advances in materials and biological sciences have necessitated the use of molecular simulations to study polymers. The Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations enable the sampling of relevant microstates of polymeric systems by traversing…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-07-24 Monika Angwani , Tushar Mahendrakar , Kaustubh Rane

This paper explores how far the scientific discovery process can be automated. Using the identification of causally significant flow structures in two-dimensional turbulence as an example, it probes how far the usual procedure of planning…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-12-02 Javier Jimenez

It is quite common in modern research, for a researcher to test many hypotheses. The statistical (frequentist) hypothesis testing framework, does not scale with the number of hypotheses in the sense that naively performing many hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-26 Jonathan Rosenblatt

Can one estimate the number of remaining faults in a software system? A credible estimation technique would be immensely useful to project managers as well as customers. It would also be of theoretical interest, as a general law of software…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2013-08-14 Carlo A. Furia , Bertrand Meyer , Manuel Oriol , Andrey Tikhomirov , Yi Wei

A research frontier has emerged in scientific computation, wherein numerical error is regarded as a source of epistemic uncertainty that can be modelled. This raises several statistical challenges, including the design of statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-19 François-Xavier Briol , Chris. J. Oates , Mark Girolami , Michael A. Osborne , Dino Sejdinovic

Requirements driven search-based testing (also known as falsification) has proven to be a practical and effective method for discovering erroneous behaviors in Cyber-Physical Systems. Despite the constant improvements on the performance and…

When permutation methods are used in practice, often a limited number of random permutations are used to decrease the computational burden. However, most theoretical literature assumes that the whole permutation group is used, and methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Jesse Hemerik , Jelle Goeman

Simulation has become a standard tool in statistics because it may be the only tool available for analysing some classes of probabilistic models. We review in this paper simulation tools that have been specifically derived to address…

Computation · Statistics 2011-05-25 Christian P. Robert

The preferential sampling of locations chosen to observe a spatio-temporal process has been identified as a major problem across multiple fields. Predictions of the process can be severely biased when standard statistical methodologies are…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-05 Joe Watson

Monte Carlo methods play important part in modern statistical physics. The application of these methods suffer from two main difficulties.The first is caused by the relatively small number of particles that can participate in any numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Brandt , V. Ilyin

This dissertation focuses on the development process of scientific software. It presents a methodology that has emerged over time during development of Monte Carlo tools for high energy physics experiments. A short description of the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-03-23 T. Przedzinski

Hypothesis testing in high dimensional data is a notoriously difficult problem without direct access to competing models' likelihood functions. This paper argues that statistical divergences can be used to quantify the difference between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-08-02 Jeremy J. H. Wilkinson , Christopher G. Lester