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Theoretical developments in sequential Bayesian analysis of multivariate dynamic models underlie new methodology for causal prediction. This extends the utility of existing models with computationally efficient methodology, enabling routine…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-05 Kevin Li , Graham Tierney , Christoph Hellmayr , Mike West

Local solutions for variational and quasi-variational inequalities are usually the best type of solutions that could practically be obtained when in case of lack of convexity or else when available numerical techniques are too limited for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Didier Aussel , Parin Chaipunya

Unitary transformations can allow one to study open quantum systems in situations for which standard, weak-coupling type approximations are not valid. We develop here an extension of the variational (polaron) transformation approach to open…

Bayesian sociality models provide a scalable and flexible alternative for network analysis, capturing degree heterogeneity through actor-specific parameters while mitigating the identifiability challenges of latent space models. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Juan Sosa , Carlo Martínez

This paper is devoted to developing and applications of a generalized differential theory of variational analysis that allows us to work in incomplete normed spaces, without employing conventional variational techniques based on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Ashkan Mohammadi , Boris Mordukhovich

A fundamental concept in control theory is that of controllability, where any system state can be reached through an appropriate choice of control inputs. Indeed, a large body of classical and modern approaches are designed for controllable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-13 Yonathan Efroni , Sham Kakade , Akshay Krishnamurthy , Cyril Zhang

We develop a variational Bayes approach for dynamic variable selection in high-dimensional regression models with time-varying parameters and predictors that exhibit a predefined group structure. Through comprehensive simulation studies, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 Nicolas Bianco , Mauro Bernardi , Daniele Bianchi

This paper concerns the adaptive control problem for a class of nonlinear stochastic systems in which the state update is given by a nonlinear function of linear dynamics plus additive stochastic noise. Such systems arise in a wide range of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Lantian Zhang , Bo Wahlberg , Silun Zhang

Scientists often use observational time series data to study complex natural processes, but regression analyses often assume simplistic dynamics. Recent advances in deep learning have yielded startling improvements to the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Cory Shain , William Schuler

We investigate optimality conditions for optimization problems constrained by a class of variational inequalities of the second kind. Based on a nonsmooth primal-dual reformulation of the governing inequality, the differentiability of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Juan-Carlos De Los Reyes , Christian Meyer

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

To disentangle the complex non-stationary dependence structure of precipitation extremes over the entire contiguous U.S., we propose a flexible local approach based on factor copula models. Our sub-asymptotic spatial modeling framework…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-26 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Raphaël Huser

Methods for sequential decision-making are often built upon a foundational assumption that the underlying decision process is stationary. This limits the application of such methods because real-world problems are often subject to changes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Yash Chandak , Shiv Shankar , Nathaniel D. Bastian , Bruno Castro da Silva , Emma Brunskil , Philip S. Thomas

Learning-based control methods typically assume stationary system dynamics, an assumption often violated in real-world systems due to drift, wear, or changing operating conditions. We study reinforcement learning for control under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Klemens Iten , Bruce Lee , Chenhao Li , Lenart Treven , Andreas Krause , Bhavya Sukhija

Causal dependence modelling of multivariate extremes is intended to improve our understanding of the relationships amongst variables associated with rare events. Regular variation provides a standard framework in the study of extremes. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-20 Mario Krali

Modeling of phenomena such as anomalous transport via fractional-order differential equations has been established as an effective alternative to partial differential equations, due to the inherent ability to describe large-scale behavior…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Jorge Suzuki , Mamikon Gulian , Mohsen Zayernouri , Marta D'Elia

As foundation models increasingly permeate sensitive domains such as healthcare, finance, and mental health, ensuring their behavior meets desired outcomes and social expectations becomes critical. Given the complexities of these…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Rebecca Ramnauth , Dražen Brščić , Brian Scassellati

The notion of tail adversarial stability has been proven useful in obtaining limit theorems for tail dependent time series. Its implication and advantage over the classical strong mixing framework has been examined for max-linear processes,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Shuyang Bai , Ting Zhang

This paper provides an overview of current approaches for solving inverse problems in imaging using variational methods and machine learning. A special focus lies on point estimators and their robustness against adversarial perturbations.…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-10 Alexander Auras , Kanchana Vaishnavi Gandikota , Hannah Droege , Michael Moeller

We introduce and study a variational framework for the analysis of empirical risk based inference for dynamical systems and ergodic processes. The analysis applies to a two-stage estimation procedure in which (i) the trajectory of an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-24 Kevin McGoff , Andrew B. Nobel