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In this paper, we explore adaptive inference based on variational Bayes. Although several studies have been conducted to analyze the contraction properties of variational posteriors, there is still a lack of a general and computationally…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Ilsang Ohn , Lizhen Lin

In conventional randomized controlled trials, adjustment for baseline values of covariates known to be at least moderately associated with the outcome increases the power of the trial. Recent work has shown particular benefit for more…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 James Willard , Shirin Golchi , Erica EM Moodie

Variational principles in mechanics, field theory and geometric analysis are usually formulated on closed admissible classes, where boundary variations are either fixed or independently cancelled through natural boundary conditions.…

Classical Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Francisco Monroy

Dealing with non-stationarity in environments (e.g., in the transition dynamics) and objectives (e.g., in the reward functions) is a challenging problem that is crucial in real-world applications of reinforcement learning (RL). While most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Fan Feng , Biwei Huang , Kun Zhang , Sara Magliacane

Features in machine learning problems are often time-varying and may be related to outputs in an algebraic or dynamical manner. The dynamic nature of these machine learning problems renders current higher order accelerated gradient descent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-29 Joseph E. Gaudio , Travis E. Gibson , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Michael A. Bolender

Data science and machine learning provide indispensable techniques for understanding phenomena at scale, but the discretionary choices made when doing this work are often not recognized. Drawing from qualitative research practices, we…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Scott Allen Cambo , Darren Gergle

Effects of feedbacks on self-organization phenomena in networks of diffusively coupled bistable elements are investigated. For regular trees, an approximate analytical theory for localized stationary patterns under application of global…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-04-24 Nikos E. Kouvaris , Alexander S. Mikhailov

We introduce a novel class of non-stationary covariance functions for random fields on linear networks that allows both the variance and the correlation range of the random field to vary spatially. The proposed covariance functions are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Alfredo Alegría

We consider regression in which one predicts a response $Y$ with a set of predictors $X$ across different experiments or environments. This is a common setup in many data-driven scientific fields and we argue that statistical inference can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Niklas Pfister , Evan G. Williams , Jonas Peters , Ruedi Aebersold , Peter Bühlmann

Random models of evolution are instrumental in extracting rates of microscopic evolutionary mechanisms from empirical observations on genetic variation in genome sequences. In this context it is necessary to know the statistical properties…

Biological Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. Eriksson , B. Haubold , B. Mehlig

This manuscript presents an advanced framework for Bayesian learning by incorporating action and state-dependent signal variances into decision-making models. This framework is pivotal in understanding complex data-feedback loops and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-29 Kaiwen Hou

Collected data, which is used for analysis or prediction tasks, often have a hierarchical structure, for example, data from various people performing the same task. Modeling the data's structure can improve the reliability of the derived…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-12 Dennis Becker

Addressing selection bias in latent variable causal discovery is important yet underexplored, largely due to a lack of suitable statistical tools: While various tools beyond basic conditional independencies have been developed to handle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Haoyue Dai , Yiwen Qiu , Ignavier Ng , Xinshuai Dong , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

In complex systems, crucial parameters are often subject to unpredictable changes in time. Climate, biological evolution and networks provide numerous examples for such non-stationarities. In many cases, improved statistical models are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-09 Frederik Meudt , Martin Theissen , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

An agent in a nonstationary contextual bandit problem should balance between exploration and the exploitation of (periodic or structured) patterns present in its previous experiences. Handcrafting an appropriate historical context is an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Aditya Ramesh , Paulo Rauber , Michelangelo Conserva , Jürgen Schmidhuber

Variational inference is a general approach for approximating complex density functions, such as those arising in latent variable models, popular in machine learning. It has been applied to approximate the maximum likelihood estimator and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 Yen-Chi Chen , Y. Samuel Wang , Elena A. Erosheva

Static analyses overwhelmingly trade precision for soundness and automation. For this reason, their use-cases are restricted to situations where imprecision isn't prohibitive. In this paper, we propose and specify a static analysis that…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Abdullah H. Rasheed

This article introduces the class of periodic trawl processes, which are continuous-time, infinitely divisible, stationary stochastic processes, that allow for periodicity and flexible forms of their serial correlation, including both…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Almut E. D. Veraart

Individual neurons often produce highly variable responses over nominally identical trials, reflecting a mixture of intrinsic "noise" and systematic changes in the animal's cognitive and behavioral state. Disentangling these sources of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-08 Alex H. Williams , Scott W. Linderman

In this paper we present a sufficient condition for the existence of a solution for an equilibrium problem on an Hadamard manifold and under suitable assumptions on the sectional curvature, we propose a framework for the convergence…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-04-01 G. C. Bento , J. X. Cruz Neto , P. A. Soares , A. Soubeyran