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Spreading processes are ubiquitous in natural and artificial systems. They can be studied via a plethora of models, depending on the specific details of the phenomena under study. Disease contagion and rumor spreading are among the most…

We consider problems in which a system receives external \emph{perturbations} from time to time. For instance, the system can be a train network in which particular lines are repeatedly disrupted without warning, having an effect on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-21 Nicolo Colombo , Ricardo Silva , Soong M Kang , Arthur Gretton

The spread of new ideas, behaviors or technologies has been extensively studied using epidemic models. Here we consider a model of diffusion where the individuals' behavior is the result of a strategic choice. We study a simple coordination…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Marc Lelarge

We study percolation on networks, which is used as a model of the resilience of networked systems such as the Internet to attack or failure and as a simple model of the spread of disease over human contact networks. We reformulate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-11-20 Brian Karrer , M. E. J. Newman , Lenka Zdeborová

Time plays an essential role in the diffusion of information, influence and disease over networks. In many cases we only observe when a node copies information, makes a decision or becomes infected -- but the connectivity, transmission…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-05-05 Manuel Gomez Rodriguez , David Balduzzi , Bernhard Schölkopf

Quantifying how spatial disorder affects the movement of a diffusing particle or agent is fundamental to target search studies. When diffusion occurs on a network, that is on a highly disordered environment, we lack the mathematical tools…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-15 Daniel Marris , Chittaranjan Hens , Subrata Ghosh , Luca Giuggioli

The interaction among spreading processes on a complex network is a nontrivial phenomenon of great importance. It has recently been realized that cooperative effects among infective diseases can give rise to qualitative changes in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-25 Byungjoon Min , Claudio Castellano

Models of epidemic spreading on complex networks have attracted great attention among researchers in physics, mathematics, and epidemiology due to their success in predicting and controlling scenarios of epidemic spreading in real-world…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-09 Wei Wang , Ming Tang , H. Eugene Stanley , Lidia A. Braunstein

The whole frame of interconnections in complex networks hinges on a specific set of structural nodes, much smaller than the total size, which, if activated, would cause the spread of information to the whole network [1]; or, if immunized,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-08-27 Flaviano Morone , Hernan A. Makse

Inferring the network topology from the dynamics is a fundamental problem with wide applications in geology, biology and even counter-terrorism. Based on the propagation process, we present a simple method to uncover the network topology.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-11-21 An Zeng

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

Individual-based models of contagious processes are useful for predicting epidemic trajectories and informing intervention strategies. In such models, the incorporation of contact network information can capture the non-randomness and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-09 Maxwell H. Wang , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

Understanding how local perturbations induce the transient dynamics of a network of coupled units is essential to control and operate such systems. Often a perturbation initiated in one unit spreads to other units whose dynamical state they…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-02 Malte Schröder , Xiaozhu Zhang , Justine Wolter , Marc Timme

In the past few decades, the frequency of pandemics has been increased due to the growth of urbanization and mobility among countries. Since a disease spreading in one country could become a pandemic with a potential worldwide humanitarian…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-01 L. D. Valdez , L. A. Braunstein , S. Havlin

The massive employment of computational models in network epidemiology calls for the development of improved inference methods for epidemic forecast. For simple compartment models, such as the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model, Belief…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-07-05 Jacopo Bindi , Alfredo Braunstein , Luca Dall'Asta

We consider the task of estimating a network cascade as fast as possible. The cascade is assumed to spread according to a general Susceptible-Infected process with heterogeneous transmission rates from an unknown source in the network.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-13 Anirudh Sridhar , Tirza Routtenberg , H. Vincent Poor

We consider the problem of inferring the functional connectivity of a large-scale computer network from sparse time series of events emitted by its nodes. We do so under the following three domain-specific constraints: (a) non-stationarity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-13 Antoine Messager , George Parisis , Istvan Z Kiss , Robert Harper , Phil Tee , Luc Berthouze

A central concern of network operators is to estimate the probability of an incident that affects a significant part and thus may yield to a breakdown. We answer this question by modeling how a failure of either a node or an edge will…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-22 Sandra König

Consider stochastic models for the spread of an infection in a structured community, where this structured community is itself described by a random network model. Some common network models and transmission models are defined and large…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-16 Tom Britton

Information diffusion, spreading of infectious diseases, and spreading of rumors are fundamental processes occurring in real-life networks. In many practical cases, one can observe when nodes become infected, but the underlying network,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Liudmila Prokhorenkova , Alexey Tikhonov , Nelly Litvak