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This paper deals with nonparametric estimation of conditional den-sities in mixture models in the case when additional covariates are available. The proposed approach consists of performing a prelim-inary clustering algorithm on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-09 Stéphane Auray , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Laurent Rouvière

The classical multivariate extreme-value theory concerns the modeling of extremes in a multivariate random sample, suggesting the use of max-stable distributions. In this work, the classical theory is extended to the case where aggregated…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-12 Enkelejd Hashorva , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Max-mixture processes are defined as Z = max(aX, (1 -- a)Y) with X an asymptotic dependent (AD) process, Y an asymptotic independent (AI) process and a $\in$ [0, 1]. So that, the mixing coefficient a may reveal the strength of the AD part…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 Abdul-Fattah Abu-Awwad , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Ribereau Pierre

A statistical, path-dependent framework to describe time-dependent macroscopic theories using the Principle of Maximum Caliber is presented. By means of this procedure, it is possible to infer predictive non-equilibrium statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-20 Ignacio Tapia , Gonzalo Gutiérrez , Sergio Davis

Finite mixture models are widely used in econometric analyses to capture unobserved heterogeneity. This paper shows that maximum likelihood estimation of finite mixtures of parametric densities can suffer from substantial finite-sample bias…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Raphaël Langevin

This paper investigates the use of extreme value theory for modelling the distribution of demand-net-of-wind for capacity adequacy assessment. Extreme value theory approaches are well-established and mathematically justified methods for…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-31 Amy L Wilson , Stan Zachary

For an m-dimensional multivariate extreme value distribution there exist 2^{m}-1 exponent measures which are linked and completely characterise the dependence of the distribution and all of its lower dimensional margins. In this paper we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-01 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

Recently, the concept of tail dependence has been discussed in financial applications related to market or credit risk. The multivariate extreme value theory is a proper tool to measure and model dependence, for example, of large loss…

Applications · Statistics 2011-09-27 Marta Ferreira

Many computer vision methods use consensus maximization to relate measurements containing outliers with the correct transformation model. In the context of rigid shapes, this is typically done using Random Sampling and Consensus (RANSAC) by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-08-14 Thomas Probst , Ajad Chhatkuli , Danda Pani Paudel , Luc Van Gool

A recently introduced particle-based model for fluid dynamics with effective excluded volume interactions is analyzed in detail. The interactions are modeled by means of stochastic multiparticle collisions which are biased and depend on…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Ihle , Erkan Tuzel

Most extreme events in real life can be faithfully modeled as random realizations from a Generalized Pareto distribution, which depends on two parameters: the scale and the shape. In many actual situations, one is mostly concerned with the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Paul Rochet , Isabel Serra

We investigate the maximum caliber variational principle as an inference algorithm used to predict dynamical properties of complex nonequilibrium, stationary, statistical systems in the presence of incomplete information. Specifically, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-28 Carlo Cafaro , Sean Alan Ali

Data from spectrophotometers form vectors of a large number of exploitable variables. Building quantitative models using these variables most often requires using a smaller set of variables than the initial one. Indeed, a too large number…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-09-26 Fabrice Rossi , Amaury Lendasse , Damien François , Vincent Wertz , Michel Verleysen

We evaluate the dependence among the margins of a random vector with Multivariate Extreme Value distribution throughout the expected value of a range and relate this coefficient of dependence with the multivariate tail dependence. Its…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-26 Helena Ferreira

Model-free data-driven computational mechanics replaces phenomenological constitutive functions by numerical simulations based on data sets of representative samples in stress-strain space. The distance of strain and stress pairs from the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Kerem Ciftci , Klaus Hackl

This work introduces a novel methodology based on finite mixtures of Student-t distributions to model the errors' distribution in linear regression models. The novelty lies on a particular hierarchical structure for the mixture distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Nívea B. da Silva , Marcos O. Prates , Flávio B. Gonçalves

A new nonparametric model of maximum-entropy (MaxEnt) copula density function is proposed, which offers the following advantages: (i) it is valid for mixed random vector. By `mixed' we mean the method works for any combination of discrete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-23 Subhadeep , Mukhopadhyay

It is no secret that statistical modelling often involves making simplifying assumptions when attempting to study complex stochastic phenomena. Spatial modelling of extreme values is no exception, with one of the most common such…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-05 Lydia Kakampakou , Emma S. Simpson , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

We consider a model-based approach to perform batch off-policy evaluation in reinforcement learning. Our method takes a mixture-of-experts approach to combine parametric and non-parametric models of the environment such that the final value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Omer Gottesman , Yao Liu , Scott Sussex , Emma Brunskill , Finale Doshi-Velez

The combined algorithm selection and hyperparameter tuning (CASH) problem is characterized by large hierarchical hyperparameter spaces. Model-free hyperparameter tuning methods can explore such large spaces efficiently since they are highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Dimitrios Sarigiannis , Thomas Parnell , Haris Pozidis
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