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Cyclical MCMC is a novel MCMC framework recently proposed by Zhang et al. (2019) to address the challenge posed by high-dimensional multimodal posterior distributions like those arising in deep learning. The algorithm works by generating a…

Computation · Statistics 2024-03-04 Liwei Wang , Xinru Liu , Aaron Smith , Yves Atchade

We consider Wald type statistics designed for joint predictability and structural break testing based on the instrumentation method of Phillips and Magdalinos (2009). We show that under the assumption of nonstationary predictors: (i) the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-31 Christis Katsouris

We propose a sequential Markov chain Monte Carlo (SMCMC) algorithm to sample from a sequence of probability distributions, corresponding to posterior distributions at different times in on-line applications. SMCMC proceeds as in usual MCMC…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-20 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have revolutionised Bayesian data analysis over the years by making the direct computation of posterior probability densities feasible on modern workstations. However, the calculation of the prior…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Rutger van Haasteren

Testing the equality of the covariance matrices of two high-dimensional samples is a fundamental inference problem in statistics. Several tests have been proposed but they are either too liberal or too conservative when the required…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Jin-Ting Zhang , Jingyi Wang , Tianming Zhu

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm for estimating expectations with respect to continuous un-normalized probability distributions. MCMC estimators typically have higher variance than…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-04 Dan Piponi , Matthew D. Hoffman , Pavel Sountsov

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are routinely used to draw samples from distributions with intractable normalization constants. However, standard MCMC algorithms do not apply to doubly-intractable distributions in which there are…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-02 Iain Murray , Zoubin Ghahramani , David MacKay

Robust estimators and Wald-type tests are developed for the multinomial logistic regression based on $\phi$-divergence measures. The robustness of the proposed estimators and tests is proved through the study of their influence functions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-08 Elena Castilla , Pedro J. Chocano

In this paper, we explore the modified Greenwood statistic, which, in contrast to the classical Greenwood statistic, is properly defined for random samples from any distribution. The classical Greenwood statistic, extensively examined in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-21 Katarzyna Skowronek , Marek Arendarczyk , Radosław Zimroz , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

Monte Carlo significance tests are a general tool that produce p-values by generating samples from the null distribution. However, Monte Carlo tests are limited to null hypothesis which we can exactly sample from. Markov chain Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Michael Howes

Handling multimodality that commonly arises from complicated statistical models remains a challenge. Current Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methodology tackling this subject is based on an ensemble of chains targeting a product of…

Computation · Statistics 2020-12-07 Felipe J Medina-Aguayo , J Andrés Christen

For Bayesian computation in big data contexts, the divide-and-conquer MCMC concept splits the whole data set into batches, runs MCMC algorithms separately over each batch to produce samples of parameters, and combines them to produce an…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-25 Wu Changye , Christian P. Robert

In engineering examples, one often encounters the need to sample from unnormalized distributions with complex shapes that may also be implicitly defined through a physical or numerical simulation model, making it computationally expensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-27 Promit Chakroborty , Michael D. Shields

This paper considers testing the covariance matrices structure based on Wald's score test in large dimensional setting. The hypothesis $H_0: \Sigma =\Sigma_0 $ for a given matrix $\Sigma_0$, which covers the identity hypothesis test and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-01 Dandan Jiang , QiBin Zhang

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) produces a correlated sample for estimating expectations with respect to a target distribution. A fundamental question is when should sampling stop so that we have good estimates of the desired quantities?…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-02 Dootika Vats , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones

This paper introduces chi-square goodness-of-fit tests to check for conditional distribution model specification. The data is cross-classified according to the Rosenblatt transform of the dependent variable and the explanatory variables,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-25 Miguel A. Delgado , Julius Vainora

Recent work has proposed the use of a composite hypothesis Hoeffding test for statistical anomaly detection. Setting an appropriate threshold for the test given a desired false alarm probability involves approximating the false alarm…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-09-19 Jing Zhang , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

We conduct non-asymptotic analysis on the mean-field variational inference for approximating posterior distributions in complex Bayesian models that may involve latent variables. We show that the mean-field approximation to the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-06 Wei Han , Yun Yang

In this article, a novel identification test is proposed, which can be applied to parameteric models such as Mixture of Normal (MN) distributions, Markow Switching(MS), or Structural Autoregressive (SVAR) models. In the approach, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-09 Katarzyna Maciejowska

Testing the equality in distributions of multiple samples is a common task in many fields. However, this problem for high-dimensional or non-Euclidean data has not been well explored. In this paper, we propose new nonparametric tests based…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-30 Hoseung Song , Hao Chen
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