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Accurate modeling and prediction of complex physical systems often rely on data assimilation techniques to correct errors inherent in model simulations. Traditional methods like the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) and its variants as well as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Phillip Si , Peng Chen

Data assimilation plays a key role in large-scale atmospheric weather forecasting, where the state of the physical system is estimated from model outputs and observations, and is then used as initial condition to produce accurate future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Azam Moosavi , Ahmed Attia , Adrian Sandu

We propose a generalised framework for the updating of a prior ensemble to a posterior ensemble, an essential yet challenging part in ensemble-based filtering methods. The proposed framework is based on a generalised and fully Bayesian view…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-29 Margrethe Kvale Loe , Håkon Tjelmeland

We present a novel algorithm based on the ensemble Kalman filter to solve inverse problems involving multiscale elliptic partial differential equations. Our method is based on numerical homogenization and finite element discretization and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Assyr Abdulle , Giacomo Garegnani , Andrea Zanoni

A modification scheme to the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is introduced based on the concept of the unscented transform (Julier et al., 2000; Julier and Uhlmann, 2004), which therefore will be called the ensemble unscented Kalman filter…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-11-30 X. Luo , I. M. Moroz

In this work we combine ideas from multi-index Monte Carlo and ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF) to produce a highly efficient filtering method called multi-index EnKF (MIEnKF). MIEnKF is based on independent samples of four-coupled EnKF…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Håkon Hoel , Gaukhar Shaimerdenova , Raúl Tempone

Ensemble Kalman--Bucy filters (EnKBFs) are an important tool in Data Assimilation that aim to approximate the posterior distribution for continuous time filtering problems using an ensemble of interacting particles. In this work we extend a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Sebastian Ertel , Wilhelm Stannat

Data assimilation (DA) for compressible flows with shocks is challenging because many classical DA methods generate spurious oscillations and nonphysical features near uncertain shocks. We focus here on the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). We…

The Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) represent a versatile class of data-driven nonlinear dynamical system models. However, the presence of numerous latent variables in GPSSM incurs unresolved issues for existing variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Zhidi Lin , Yiyong Sun , Feng Yin , Alexandre Hoang Thiéry

Ensemble methods, such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF), and the ensemble Kalman smoother (EnKS) are widely used in sequential data assimilation, where state vectors are of huge…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-03 El houcine Bergou , Serge Gratton , Jan Mandel

The intersection between classical data assimilation methods and novel machine learning techniques has attracted significant interest in recent years. Here we explore another promising solution in which diffusion models are used to…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-04-02 Feng Bao , Hristo G. Chipilski , Siming Liang , Guannan Zhang , Jeffrey S. Whitaker

The use of ensemble methods to solve inverse problems is attractive because it is a derivative-free methodology which is also well-adapted to parallelization. In its basic iterative form the method produces an ensemble of solutions which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-05-09 Neil K. Chada , Marco A. Iglesias , Lassi Roininen , Andrew M. Stuart

Ensemble Kalman filters are based on a Gaussian assumption, which can limit their performance in some non-Gaussian settings. This paper reviews two nonlinear, non-Gaussian extensions of the Ensemble Kalman Filter: Gaussian anamorphosis (GA)…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-08 Ian Grooms

We consider filtering in high-dimensional non-Gaussian state-space models with intractable transition kernels, nonlinear and possibly chaotic dynamics, and sparse observations in space and time. We propose a novel filtering methodology that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Alessio Spantini , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk

The task of dynamic flow estimation is to construct an approximation of an evolving flow---and particularly, its response to disturbances---using measurements from available sensors. Building from previous work by Darakananda et al.~(Phys…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-05-19 Mathieu Le Provost , Jeff D. Eldredge

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and ensemble square root filter (ESRF) are data assimilation methods used to combine high dimensional, nonlinear dynamical models with observed data. Despite their widespread usage in climate science and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-17 X. T. Tong , A. J. Majda , D. Kelly

We propose a method to account for model error due to unresolved scales in the context of the ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF). The approach extends to this class of algorithms the deterministic model error formulation recently…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-19 Lewis Mitchell , Alberto Carrassi

This paper is concerned with optimality and stability analysis of a family of ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) algorithms. EnKF is commonly used as an alternative to the Kalman filter for high-dimensional problems, where storing the covariance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta , Tryphon T. Georgiou

Despite the cheap availability of computing resources enabling faster Monte Carlo simulations, the potential benefits of particle filtering in revealing accurate statistical information on the imprecisely known model parameters or modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-07 Saikat Sarkar , Debasish Roy

In this paper, the ensemble consider Kalman filter is proposed to mitigate the negative effects of uncertain parameters in nonlinear dynamic and measurement models. The ensemble Kalman filter can avoid using the Jacobian matrices and reduce…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-18 Tai-shan Lou , Nan-hua Chen , Hua Xiong , Ya-xi Li , Lei Wang
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