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In this article we consider the application of multilevel Monte Carlo, for the estimation of normalizing constants. In particular we will make use of the filtering algorithm, the ensemble Kalman-Bucy filter (EnKBF), which is an N-particle…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Hamza Ruzayqat , Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra

Ensemble methods, such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF), and the ensemble Kalman smoother (EnKS) are widely used in sequential data assimilation, where state vectors are of huge…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-03 El houcine Bergou , Serge Gratton , Jan Mandel

We review the field of data assimilation (DA) from a Bayesian perspective and show that, in addition to its by now common application to state estimation, DA may be used for model selection. An important special case of the latter is the…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-05 Alberto Carrassi , Marc Bocquet , Alexis Hannart , Michael Ghil

We design and analyse the performance of a multilevel ensemble Kalman filter method (MLEnKF) for filtering settings where the underlying state-space model is an infinite-dimensional spatio-temporal process. We consider underlying models…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Alexey Chernov , Håkon Hoel , Kody J. H. Law , Fabio Nobile , Raul Tempone

Accurate estimation and prediction of trajectory is essential for the capture of any high speed target. In this paper, an extended Kalman filter (EKF) is used to track the target in the first loop of the trajectory to collect data points…

This paper presents an innovative Reduced-Order Model (ROM) for merging experimental and simulation data using Data Assimilation (DA) to estimate the "True" state of a fluid dynamics system, leading to more accurate predictions. Our…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Paul Jeanney , Ashton Hetherington , Shady E. Ahmed , David Lanceta , Susana Saiz , José Miguel Perez , Soledad Le Clainche

This paper addresses the localization problem. The extended Kalman filter (EKF) is employed to localize a unicycle-like mobile robot equipped with a laser range finder (LRF) sensor and an omni-directional camera. The LRF is used to scan the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-11-30 Tran Hiep Dinh , Manh Duong Phung , Thuan Hoang Tran , Quang Vinh Tran

Ensemble filtering of chaotic, partially observed systems is often performed with ensembles far smaller than the state dimension resulting in empirical covariances that are low rank. Subsequently, stochastic observation perturbations can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Rylan Spence , Troy Butler , Clint Dawson

We propose an ensemble score filter (EnSF) for solving high-dimensional nonlinear filtering problems with superior accuracy. A major drawback of existing filtering methods, e.g., particle filters or ensemble Kalman filters, is the low…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-14 Feng Bao , Zezhong Zhang , Guannan Zhang

The particle filter (PF) and the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) are widely used for approximate inference in state-space models. From a Bayesian perspective, these algorithms represent the prior by an ensemble of particles and update it to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Chengxin Gong , Wei Lin , Cheng Zhang

We introduce a computationally efficient variant of the model-based ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). We propose two changes to the original formulation. First, we phrase the setup in terms of precision matrices instead of covariance matrices,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Håkon Gryvill , Håkon Tjelmeland

For oceanographic applications, probabilistic forecasts typically have to deal with i) high-dimensional complex models, and ii) very sparse spatial observations. In search-and-rescue operations at sea, for instance, the short-term…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-15 Florian Beiser , Håvard Heitlo Holm , Jo Eidsvik

We consider filtering in high-dimensional non-Gaussian state-space models with intractable transition kernels, nonlinear and possibly chaotic dynamics, and sparse observations in space and time. We propose a novel filtering methodology that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-07 Alessio Spantini , Ricardo Baptista , Youssef Marzouk

Ultra-wideband (UWB) indoor localization provides centimeter-level accuracy and low latency, but its measurement reliability degrades severely under Non-Line-of-Sight (NLOS) conditions, leading to meter-scale ranging errors and inconsistent…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-20 Kyeonghyun Yoo , Wooyong Jung , Namkyung Yoon , Sangmin Lee , Sanghong Kim , Hwangnam Kim

Accurate data assimilation (DA) for systems with piecewise-smooth or discontinuous state variables remains a significant challenge, as conventional covariance-based ensemble Kalman filter approaches often fail to effectively balance…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Tongtong Li , Anne Gelb , Yoonsang Lee

The extended Kalman filter (EKF) is a cornerstone of nonlinear state estimation, yet its performance is fundamentally limited by noise-model mismatch and linearization errors. We develop a residual-aware distributionally robust EKF that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-06 Minhyuk Jang , Jungjin Lee , Astghik Hakobyan , Naira Hovakimyan , Insoon Yang

This paper tackles the intricate task of jointly estimating state and parameters in data assimilation for stochastic dynamical systems that are affected by noise and observed only partially. While the concept of ``optimal filtering'' serves…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Feng Bao , Guannan Zhang , Zezhong Zhang

We consider the problem of an ensemble Kalman filter when only partial observations are available. In particular we consider the situation where the observational space consists of variables which are directly observable with known…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-08-31 Georg A. Gottwald , Lewis Mitchell , Sebastian Reich

We discuss properties of hierarchical Bayesian inversion through the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). Our focus will be primarily on deriving continuous-time limits for hierarchical inversion in the linear case. An important characteristic of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Neil K. Chada

This study develops a hybrid ensemble-variational approach for solving data assimilation problems. The method, called TR-4D-EnKF, is based on a trust region framework and consists of three computational steps. First an ensemble of model…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-02-03 Elias D. Nino , Adrian Sandu