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This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

Continuous-time Bayesian networks is a natural structured representation language for multicomponent stochastic processes that evolve continuously over time. Despite the compact representation, inference in such models is intractable even…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Ido Cohn , Tal El-Hay , Nir Friedman , Raz Kupferman

We formulate some simple conditions under which a Markov chain may be approximated by the solution to a differential equation, with quantifiable error probabilities. The role of a choice of coordinate functions for the Markov chain is…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-23 R. W. R. Darling , J. R. Norris

In this paper we consider large state space continuous time Markov chains (MCs) arising in the field of systems biology. For density dependent families of MCs that represent the interaction of large groups of identical objects, Kurtz has…

Performance · Computer Science 2015-03-04 Alessio Angius , Gianfranco Balbo , Marco Beccuti , Enrico Bibbona , Andras Horvath , Roberta Sirovich

Renyi's "thinning" operation on a discrete random variable is a natural discrete analog of the scaling operation for continuous random variables. The properties of thinning are investigated in an information-theoretic context, especially in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-08-17 Peter Harremoes , Oliver Johnson , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

We present a multivariate central limit theorem for a general class of interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms used to solve nonlinear measure-valued equations. These algorithms generate stochastic processes which belong to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-04 Bernard Bercu , Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet

We consider the problem of bounding mean first passage times for a class of continuous-time Markov chains that captures stochastic interactions between groups of identical agents. The quantitative analysis of such probabilistic population…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-07 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

Markov chain approximations of symmetric jump processes are investigated. Tightness results and a central limit theorem are established. Moreover, given the generator of a symmetric jump process with state space $\mathbbm{R}^d$ the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. Husseini , M. Kassmann

We study the convergence in rough path topology of a certain class of discrete processes, the hidden Markov walks, to a Brownian motion with an area anomaly. This area anomaly, which is a new object, keeps track of the time-correlation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-20 Olga Lopusanschi , Damien Simon

We prove central limit theorems, Berry-Esseen type theorems, almost sure invariance principles, large deviations and Livsic type regularity for partial sums of the form $S_n=\sum_{j=0}^{n-1}f_j(...,X_{j-1},X_j,X_{j+1},...)$, where $(X_j)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Yeor Hafouta

This paper contains an asymptotic analysis of a fluid model for a heavily loaded processor sharing queue. Specifically, we consider the behavior of solutions of critical fluid models as time approaches \infty. The main theorems of the paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Amber L. Puha , Ruth J. Williams

We study discrete time Markov processes with periodic or open boundary conditions and with inhomogeneous rates in the bulk. The Markov matrices are given by the inhomogeneous transfer matrices introduced previously to prove the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-30 N. Crampe , K. Mallick , E. Ragoucy , M. Vanicat

In this paper, we equip the conventional discrete-time queueing network with a Markovian input process, that, in addition to the usual short-term stochastics, governs the mid- to long-term behavior of the links between the network nodes.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-07 Richard Schoeffauer , Gerhard Wunder

We discuss Stein's method for approximation by the stationary distribution of a single-birth Markov chain, in conjunction with stochastic monotonicity and similar assumptions. We use bounds on the increments of the solution of Poisson's…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly

In this paper, we develop an in-depth analysis of non-reversible Markov chains on denumerable state space from a similarity orbit perspective. In particular, we study the class of Markov chains whose transition kernel is in the similarity…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-21 Michael C. H. Choi , Pierre Patie

We consider a variation of the supermarket model in which the servers can communicate with their neighbors and where the neighborhood relationships are described in terms of a suitable graph. Tasks with unit-exponential service time…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-27 Amarjit Budhiraja , Debankur Mukherjee , Ruoyu Wu

For a network of discrete states with a periodically driven Markovian dynamics, we develop an inference scheme for an external observer who has access to some transitions. Based on waiting-time distributions between these transitions, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-12 Alexander M. Maier , Julius Degünther , Jann van der Meer , Udo Seifert

The large deviations at Level 2.5 are applied to Markov processes with absorbing states in order to obtain the explicit extinction rate of metastable quasi-stationary states in terms of their empirical time-averaged density and of their…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-13 Cecile Monthus

We study quasi-stationary distributions and quasi-limiting behavior of Markov chains in general reducible state spaces with absorption. We propose a set of assumptions dealing with particular situations where the state space can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

For a certain class of McKean-Vlasov processes, we introduce proxy processes that substitute the mean-field interaction with self-interaction, employing a weighted occupation measure. Our study encompasses two key achievements. First, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Kai Du , Zhenjie Ren , Florin Suciu , Songbo Wang