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Related papers: Quickest drift change detection in L\'evy-type for…

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The problem of quickest change detection is studied, where there is an additional constraint on the cost of observations used before the change point and where the post-change distribution is composite. Minimax formulations are proposed for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-14 Taposh Banerjee , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

This paper studies a general L\'evy process model of the bail-out optimal dividend problem with an exponential time horizon, and further extends it to the regime-switching model. We first show the optimality of a double barrier strategy in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Dante Mata López , Kei Noba , José-Luis Pérez , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

Consider the motion of a Brownian particle in $n$ dimensions, whose coordinate processes are standard Brownian motions with zero drift initially, and then at some random/unobservable time, exactly $k$ of the coordinate processes get a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-11 Philip A. Ernst , Hongwei Mei , Goran Peskir

L\'evy Flights are paradigmatic generalised random walk processes, in which the independent stationary increments---the "jump lengths"---are drawn from an $\alpha$-stable jump length distribution with long-tailed, power-law asymptote. As a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-26 A. Padash , A. V. Chechkin , B. Dybiec , I. Pavlyukevich , B. Shokri , R. Metzler

The notion of drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution, which is underlying the observed data, changes over time. Albeit many attempts were made to deal with drift, formal notions of drift are application-dependent and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Fabian Hinder , André Artelt , Barbara Hammer

In this paper, we focus on the statistical filtering problem in dynamical models with jumps. When a particular application relies on physical properties which are modeled by linear and Gaussian probability density functions with jumps, an…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-17 Yohan Petetin , François Desbouvries

A random sequence having two segments being the homogeneous Markov processes is registered. Each segment has his own transition probability law and the length of the segment is unknown and random. The transition probabilities of each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-17 A. Ochman-Gozdek , W. Sarnowski , K. J. Szajowski

With today's abundant streams of data, the only constant we can rely on is change. For stream classification algorithms, it is necessary to adapt to concept drift. This can be achieved by monitoring the model error, and triggering counter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Lukas Fleckenstein , Sebastian Kauschke , Johannes Fürnkranz

This paper introduces an approach to multi-stream quickest change detection and fault isolation for unnormalized and score-based statistical models. Traditional optimal algorithms in the quickest change detection literature require explicit…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-07 Wuxia Chen , Sean Moushegian , Vahid Tarokh , Taposh Banerjee

In this paper we present new theoretical results on optimal estimation of certain random quantities based on high frequency observations of a L\'evy process. More specifically, we investigate the asymptotic theory for the conditional mean…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Jevgenijs Ivanovs , Mark Podolskij

The {\alpha}-stable L\'evy process, commonly used to describe L\'evy flight, is characterized by discontinuous jumps and is widely used to model anomalous transport phenomena. In this study, we investigate the associated exit problem and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Minglei Yang , Diego del-Castillo-Negrete , Guannan Zhang

We consider a fractional Brownian motion with unknown linear drift such that the drift coefficient has a prior normal distribution and construct a sequential test for the hypothesis that the drift is positive versus the alternative that it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Alexey Muravlev , Mikhail Zhitlukhin

We study a stochastic control problem for nonlinear systems governed by stochastic differential equations with irregular drift. The drift coefficient is assumed to decompose as $b(t,x,a)=b_1(t,x)+b_2(x)b_3(t,a)$, where $b_1$ is bounded and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Antoine Marie Bogso , Rhoss Likibi Pellat , Wilfried Kuissi Kamdem , Olivier Menoukeu Pamen

This paper establishes a stochastic maximum principle for optimal control problems governed by time-changed forward-backward stochastic differential equations with L\'evy noise. The system incorporates a random, non-decreasing operational…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Jingwei Chen , Jun Ye , Feng Chen

The LIBOR market model is very popular for pricing interest rate derivatives, but is known to have several pitfalls. In addition, if the model is driven by a jump process, then the complexity of the drift term is growing exponentially fast…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Antonis Papapantoleon , John Schoenmakers , David Skovmand

The quickest change detection problem is considered in the context of monitoring large-scale independent normal distributed data streams with possible changes in some of the means. It is assumed that for each individual local data stream,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Yuan Wang , Yajun Mei

Common statistical prediction models often require and assume stationarity in the data. However, in many practical applications, changes in the relationship of the response and predictor variables are regularly observed over time, resulting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-05 Heng Wang , Zubin Abraham

This paper considers a portfolio optimization problem in which asset prices are represented by SDEs driven by Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure, with drifts that are functions of an auxiliary diffusion factor process. The…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-16 Mark Davis , Sebastien Lleo

A fundamental problem in Bayesian inference and statistical machine learning is to efficiently sample from multimodal distributions. Due to metastability, multimodal distributions are difficult to sample using standard Markov chain Monte…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-27 Yulong Lu , Jianfeng Lu , James Nolen

We consider a change-point detection problem for a simple class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). A continuous-time PDMP is observed in discrete time and through noise, and the aim is to propose a numerical method to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Alice Cleynen , Benoîte de Saporta