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Related papers: Confidence set for group membership

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Data integration is a notoriously difficult and heuristic-driven process, especially when ground-truth data are not readily available. This paper presents a measure of uncertainty by providing maximal and minimal ranges of a query outcome…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Deniz Turkcapar , Sanjay Krishnan

We consider clinical trials in which an experimental treatment is compared with a control in pre-specified patient subpopulations. In such settings, adaptive enrichment designs allow the enrolled population to be modified at an interim…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Enyu Li , Nigel Stallard , Ekkehard Glimm , Dominic Magirr , Peter K. Kimani

Symmetry plays a central role in the sciences, machine learning, and statistics. For situations in which data are known to obey a symmetry, a multitude of methods that exploit symmetry have been developed. Statistical tests for the presence…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-24 Kenny Chiu , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy

We propose constructing confidence sets for the emergence, collapse, and recovery dates of a bubble separately by inverting tests for the location of the break date. We examine both likelihood ratio-type tests and the Elliott-Muller-type…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Eiji Kurozumi , Anton Skrobotov

This paper presents a novel numerical method for the hybrid reliability analysis by using the uncertainty theory. Aleatory uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty are considered simultaneously in this method. Epistemic uncertainty is…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-09-18 Lei Zhang

Let a graph be observed through a finite random sampling mechanism. Spectral methods are routinely applied to such graphs, yet their outputs are treated as deterministic objects. This paper develops finite-sample inference for spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Chandrasekhar Gokavarapu , Sekhar Babu Gosala , Vamis Pasalapudi , Tarakarama Kapakayala

Group testing concerns itself with the accurate recovery of a set of "defective" items from a larger population via a series of tests. While most works in this area have considered the classical group testing model, where tests are binary…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Daniel McMorrow , Nikhil Karamchandani , Sidharth Jaggi

The main focus of the analysts who deal with clustered data is usually not on the clustering variables, and hence the group-specific parameters are treated as nuisance. If a fixed effects formulation is preferred and the total number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-01 Claudia Di Caterina , Giuliana Cortese , Nicola Sartori

We construct nonparametric confidence sets for regression functions using wavelets that are uniform over Besov balls. We consider both thresholding and modulation estimators for the wavelet coefficients. The confidence set is obtained by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Christopher R. Genovese , Larry Wasserman

This paper presents a clustering approach that allows for rigorous statistical error control similar to a statistical test. We develop estimators for both the unknown number of clusters and the clusters themselves. The estimators depend on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-13 Michael Vogt , Matthias Schmid

Evidential clustering is an approach to clustering in which cluster-membership uncertainty is represented by a collection of Dempster-Shafer mass functions forming an evidential partition. In this paper, we propose to construct these mass…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-20 Thierry Denoeux

Grouped data are commonly encountered in applications. The Bernstein polynomial model is proposed as an approximate model in this paper for estimating a univariate density function based on grouped data. The coefficients of the Bernstein…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-21 Zhong Guan

Panels with large time $(T)$ and cross-sectional $(N)$ dimensions are a key data structure in social sciences and other fields. A central question in panel data analysis is whether to pool data across individuals or to estimate separate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Tim Kutta , Martin Schumann , Holger Dette

Probabilistic prediction of sequences from images and other high-dimensional data is a key challenge, particularly in risk-sensitive applications. In these settings, it is often desirable to quantify the uncertainty associated with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Qidong Yang , Weicheng Zhu , Joseph Keslin , Laure Zanna , Tim G. J. Rudner , Carlos Fernandez-Granda

Confidence intervals are a popular way to visualize and analyze data distributions. Unlike p-values, they can convey information both about statistical significance as well as effect size. However, very little work exists on applying…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-23 Jussi Korpela , Emilia Oikarinen , Kai Puolamäki , Antti Ukkonen

We consider panel data models where coefficients change smoothly over time and follow a latent group structure, being homogeneous within but heterogeneous across groups. To jointly estimate the group membership and group-specific…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-19 Paul Haimerl , Stephan Smeekes , Ines Wilms

In the context of selective inference, confidence envelopes for the false discoveries allow the user to select any subset of null hypotheses while having a statistical guarantee on the number of false discoveries in the selected set. Many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-22 Romain Périer , Gilles Blanchard , Sebastian Döhler , Guillermo Durand , Etienne Roquain

In this paper, we derive a novel procedure for set-membership estimation of dynamical systems affected by stochastic noise with unbounded support. Employing a bound on the sample covariance matrix, we are able to provide a finite- sample…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-20 Felix Brändle , Nicolas Chatzikiriakos , Andrea Iannelli , Frank Allgöwer

In a high dimensional multiple testing framework, we present new confidence bounds on the false positives contained in subsets S of selected null hypotheses. The coverage probability holds simultaneously over all subsets S, which means that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-20 Guillermo Durand , Gilles Blanchard , Pierre Neuvial , Etienne Roquain

In repeated Measure Designs with multiple groups, the primary purpose is to compare different groups in various aspects. For several reasons, the number of measurements and therefore the dimension of the observation vectors can depend on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Paavo Sattler , Markus Pauly