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This note presents conjectures on polynomial/algebraic/sub-exponential convergence of transition probabilities for $\lambda$-null recurrent and $\lambda$-transient Markov chains in continuous time. The only known positive examples are in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-14 Phil. Pollett

We develop a Glivenko--Cantelli theory for monotone, almost additive functions of i.\,i.\,d.\ sequences of random variables indexed by~$\Z^d$. Under certain conditions on the random sequence, short range correlations are allowed as well. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-28 Christoph Schumacher , Fabian Schwarzenberger , Ivan Veselic

Fast variational approximate algorithms are developed for Bayesian semiparametric regression when the response variable is a count, i.e. a non-negative integer. We treat both the Poisson and Negative Binomial families as models for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-18 Jan Luts , Matt P. Wand

The limiting behavior of Toeplitz type quadratic forms of stationary processes has received much attention through decades, particularly due to its importance in statistical estimation of the spectrum. In the present paper we study such…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Mikkel Slot Nielsen , Jan Pedersen

We discuss a complementary asymptotic analysis of the so called minimal random walk. More precisely, we present a version of the almost sure central limit theorem as well as a generalization of the recently proposed quadratic strong laws.…

In this paper we study the almost sure conditional central limit theorem in its functional form for a class of random variables satisfying a projective criterion. Applications to strongly mixing processes and non irreducible Markov chains…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-07 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad

Implementing Bayesian inference is often computationally challenging in applications involving complex models, and sometimes calculating the likelihood itself is difficult. Synthetic likelihood is one approach for carrying out inference…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-15 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

We propose a Likelihood Matching approach for training diffusion models by first establishing an equivalence between the likelihood of the target data distribution and a likelihood along the sample path of the reverse diffusion. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-23 Lei Qian , Wu Su , Yanqi Huang , Song Xi Chen

We review the Bayesian theory of semiparametric inference following Bickel and Kleijn (2012) and Kleijn and Knapik (2013). After an overview of efficiency in parametric and semiparametric estimation problems, we consider the Bernstein-von…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-22 B. J. K. Kleijn

Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimator (QMLE) are given for a general class of multidimensional causal processes. For particular cases already studied in the literature (for instance univariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-09 Jean-Marc Bardet , Olivier Wintenberger

A procedure for asymptotic bias reduction of maximum likelihood estimates of generic estimands is developed. The estimator is realized as a plug-in estimator, where the parameter maximizes the penalized likelihood with a penalty function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Masayo Y. Hirose , Shuhei Mano

The likelihood ratio (LR) is largely used to evaluate the relative weight of forensic data regarding two hypotheses and for its assessment Bayesian methods are widespread in the forensic field. However, the Bayesian `recipe' for the LR…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-14 Giulia Cereda

The theory of quasi-arithmetic means is a powerful tool in the study of covariance functions across space-time. In the present study we use quasi-arithmetic functionals to make inferences about the permissibility of averages of functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 E. Porcu , J. Mateu , G. Christakos

In this paper we consider the semi-parametric estimation of extreme quantiles of a right heavy-tail model. We propose a new Log Probability Weighted Moment estimator for extreme quantiles, which is obtained from the estimators of the shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-16 Frederico Caeiro , Dora Prata Gomes

The main result of the article is the rate of convergence to the Rosenblatt-type distributions in non-central limit theorems. Specifications of the main theorem are discussed for several scenarios. In particular, special attention is paid…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-16 Vo Anh , Nikolai Leonenko , Andriy Olenko

Maximum likelihood estimators are proposed for the parameters and the densities in a semiparametric density ratio model in which the nonparametric baseline density is approximated by the Bernstein polynomial model. The EM algorithm is used…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Zhong Guan

We generalize the notion of quasirandom which concerns a class of equivalent properties that random graphs satisfy. We show that the convergence of a graph sequence under the spectral distance is equivalent to the convergence using the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2013-11-06 Fan Chung

Tests for proportional hazards assumption concerning specified covariates or groups of covariates are proposed. The class of alternatives is wide: log-hazard rates under different values of covariates may cross, approach, go away. The data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-20 Vilijandas Bagdonavičius , Rūta Levulienė

The spatiality of derivations of quasi *-algebras is investigated by means of representation theory. Moreover, in view of physical applications, the spatiality of the limit of a family of spatial derivations is considered.

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-04-01 F. Bagarello , A. Inoue , C. Trapani

ABC (approximate Bayesian computation) is a general approach for dealing with models with an intractable likelihood. In this work, we derive ABC algorithms based on QMC (quasi- Monte Carlo) sequences. We show that the resulting ABC…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-08 Alexander Buchholz , Nicolas Chopin