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Models of complex networks often incorporate node-intrinsic properties abstracted as hidden variables. The probability of connections in the network is then a function of these variables. Real-world networks evolve over time, and many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-19 Harrison Hartle , Fragkiskos Papadopoulos , Dmitri Krioukov

The prediction of both the existence and weight of network links at future time points is essential as complex networks evolve over time. Traditional methods, such as vector autoregression and factor models, have been applied to small,…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-15 Shu Takahashi , Kento Yamamoto , Shumpei Kobayashi , Ryoma Kondo , Ryohei Hisano

Interbank markets are fundamental for bank liquidity management. In this paper, we introduce a model of interbank trading with memory. Our model reproduces features of preferential trading patterns in the e-MID market recently empirically…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-30 Giulia Iori , Rosario N. Mantegna , Luca Marotta , Salvatore Micciche' , James Porter , Michele Tumminello

A model for network panel data is discussed, based on the assumption that the observed data are discrete observations of a continuous-time Markov process on the space of all directed graphs on a given node set, in which changes in tie…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-13 Tom A. B. Snijders , Johan Koskinen , Michael Schweinberger

The characterization of the "most connected" nodes in static or slowly evolving complex networks has helped in understanding and predicting the behavior of social, biological, and technological networked systems, including their robustness…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-10-21 Scott A. Hill , Dan Braha

We present a selective review of statistical modeling of dynamic networks. We focus on models with latent variables, specifically, the latent space models and the latent class models (or stochastic blockmodels), which investigate both the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-31 Bomin Kim , Kevin Lee , Lingzhou Xue , Xiaoyue Niu

In this paper, we analyze the effect of a policy recommendation on the performance of an artificial interbank market. Financial institutions stipulate lending agreements following a public recommendation and their individual information.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-19 Alessio Brini , Gabriele Tedeschi , Daniele Tantari

We propose a scalable temporal latent space model for link prediction in dynamic social networks, where the goal is to predict links over time based on a sequence of previous graph snapshots. The model assumes that each user lies in an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-26 Linhong Zhu , Dong Guo , Junming Yin , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

Dynamic network analysis has found an increasing interest in the literature because of the importance of different kinds of dynamic social networks, biological networks, and economic networks. Most available probability and statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-18 Elynn Yi Chen , Rong Chen

We present a statistical framework for generating predicted dynamic networks based on the observed evolution of social relationships in a population. The framework includes a novel and flexible procedure to sample dynamic networks given a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Ravi Goyal , Victor De Gruttola

Dynamic networks have intrinsic structural, computational, and multidisciplinary advantages. Link prediction estimates the next relationship in dynamic networks. However, in the current link prediction approaches, only bipartite or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Mohamoud Ali , Yugyung Lee , Praveen Rao

Link prediction is an important network science problem in many domains such as social networks, chem/bio-informatics, etc. Most of these networks are dynamic in nature with patterns evolving over time. In such cases, it is necessary to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-09-18 Jeyanthi Narasimhan , Lawrence Holder

In this paper, we adopt a latent variable method to formulate a network model with arbitrarily dependent structure. We assume that the latent variables follow a multivariate normal distribution and a link between two nodes forms if the sum…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-28 Ting Yan

The topological properties of interbank networks have been discussed widely in the literature mainly because of their relevance for systemic risk. Here we propose to use the Stochastic Block Model to investigate and perform a model…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-25 Paolo Barucca , Fabrizio Lillo

There are diverse mechanisms driving the evolution of social networks. A key open question dealing with understanding their evolution is: How various preferential linking mechanisms produce networks with different features? In this paper we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Haibo Hu , Jinli Guo , Xuan Liu

The temporal dynamics of a complex system such as a social network or a communication network can be studied by understanding the patterns of link appearance and disappearance over time. A critical task along this understanding is to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-04-17 Mahmudur Rahman , Tanay Kumar Saha , Mohammad Al Hasan , Kevin S. Xu , Chandan K. Reddy

The problem of predicting links in large networks is an important task in a variety of practical applications, including social sciences, biology and computer security. In this paper, statistical techniques for link prediction based on the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-01 Francesco Sanna Passino , Anna S. Bertiger , Joshua C. Neil , Nicholas A. Heard

The global financial crisis in 2007-2009 demonstrated that systemic risk can spread all over the world through a complex web of financial linkages, yet we still lack fundamental knowledge about the evolution of the financial web. In…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-11 Teruyoshi Kobayashi , Taro Takaguchi

We propose a synthetical weights' dynamic mechanism for weighted networks which takes into account the influences of strengths of nodes, weights of links and incoming new vertices. Strength/Weight preferential strategies are used in these…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-09-10 Lujun Fang , Zhongzhi Zhang , Shuigeng Zhou , Jihong Guan

Dynamic relational processes, such as e-mail exchanges, bank loans and scientific citations, are important examples of dynamic networks, in which the relational events consistute time-stamped edges. There are contexts where the network…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-24 Igor Artico , Ernst C. Wit
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