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Computer experiments are becoming increasingly important in scientific investigations. In the presence of uncertainty, analysts employ probabilistic sensitivity methods to identify the key-drivers of change in the quantities of interest.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos , Emanuele Borgonovo , Xuefei Lu

While existing mathematical descriptions can accurately account for phenomena at microscopic scales (e.g. molecular dynamics), these are often high-dimensional, stochastic and their applicability over macroscopic time scales of physical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-08 P. S. Koutsourelakis , Elias Bilionis

We introduce a statistical measure of the effective model complexity, called the Bayesian complexity. We demonstrate that the Bayesian complexity can be used to assess how many effective parameters a set of data can support and that it is a…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-07-23 Martin Kunz , Roberto Trotta , David Parkinson

Principal component analysis (PCA) is perhaps the most widely used method for data dimensionality reduction. A key question in PCA is deciding how many factors to retain. This manuscript describes a new approach to automatically selecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Enes Makalic , Daniel F. Schmidt

Empirical analysis serves as an important complement to theoretical analysis for studying practical Bayesian optimization. Often empirical insights expose strengths and weaknesses inaccessible to theoretical analysis. We define two metrics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-01 Ian Dewancker , Michael McCourt , Scott Clark , Patrick Hayes , Alexandra Johnson , George Ke

We present foreground-reduced CMB maps derived from the full Planck data set in both temperature and polarization. Compared to the corresponding Planck 2013 temperature sky maps, the total data volume is larger by a factor of 3.2 for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-09-28 Planck Collaboration , R. Adam , P. A. R. Ade , N. Aghanim , M. Arnaud , M. Ashdown , J. Aumont , C. Baccigalupi , A. J. Banday , R. B. Barreiro , J. G. Bartlett , N. Bartolo , S. Basak , E. Battaner , K. Benabed , A. Benoît , A. Benoit-Lévy , J. -P. Bernard , M. Bersanelli , P. Bielewicz , A. Bonaldi , L. Bonavera , J. R. Bond , J. Borrill , F. R. Bouchet , F. Boulanger , M. Bucher , C. Burigana , R. C. Butler , E. Calabrese , J. -F. Cardoso , B. Casaponsa , G. Castex , A. Catalano , A. Challinor , A. Chamballu , R. -R. Chary , H. C. Chiang , P. R. Christensen , D. L. Clements , S. Colombi , L. P. L. Colombo , C. Combet , F. Couchot , A. Coulais , B. P. Crill , A. Curto , F. Cuttaia , L. Danese , R. D. Davies , R. J. Davis , P. de Bernardis , A. de Rosa , G. de Zotti , J. Delabrouille , F. -X. Désert , C. Dickinson , J. M. Diego , H. Dole , S. Donzelli , O. Doré , M. Douspis , A. Ducout , X. Dupac , G. Efstathiou , F. Elsner , T. A. Enßlin , H. K. Eriksen , E. Falgarone , Y. Fantaye , J. Fergusson , F. Finelli , O. Forni , M. Frailis , A. A. Fraisse , E. Franceschi , A. Frejsel , S. Galeotta , S. Galli , K. Ganga , T. Ghosh , M. Giard , Y. Giraud-Héraud , E. Gjerløw , J. González-Nuevo , K. M. Górski , S. Gratton , A. Gregorio , A. Gruppuso , J. E. Gudmundsson , F. K. Hansen , D. Hanson , D. L. Harrison , G. Helou , S. Henrot-Versillé , C. Hernández-Monteagudo , D. Herranz , S. R. Hildebrandt , E. Hivon , M. Hobson , W. A. Holmes , A. Hornstrup , W. Hovest , K. M. Huffenberger , G. Hurier , A. H. Jaffe , T. R. Jaffe , W. C. Jones , M. Juvela , E. Keihänen , R. Keskitalo , T. S. Kisner , R. Kneissl , J. Knoche , N. Krachmalnicoff , M. Kunz , H. Kurki-Suonio , G. Lagache , J. -M. Lamarre , A. Lasenby , M. Lattanzi , C. R. Lawrence , M. Le Jeune , R. Leonardi , J. Lesgourgues , F. Levrier , M. Liguori , P. B. Lilje , M. Linden-Vørnle , M. López-Caniego , P. M. Lubin , J. F. Macías-Pérez , G. Maggio , D. Maino , N. Mandolesi , A. Mangilli , D. J. Marshall , P. G. Martin , E. Martínez-González , S. Masi , S. Matarrese , P. Mazzotta , P. McGehee , P. R. Meinhold , A. Melchiorri , L. Mendes , A. Mennella , M. Migliaccio , S. Mitra , M. -A. Miville-Deschênes , D. Molinari , A. Moneti , L. Montier , G. Morgante , D. Mortlock , A. Moss , D. Munshi , J. A. Murphy , P. Naselsky , F. Nati , P. Natoli , C. B. Netterfield , H. U. Nørgaard-Nielsen , F. Noviello , D. Novikov , I. Novikov , C. A. Oxborrow , F. Paci , L. Pagano , F. Pajot , R. Paladini , D. Paoletti , F. Pasian , G. Patanchon , T. J. Pearson , O. Perdereau , L. Perotto , F. Perrotta , V. Pettorino , F. Piacentini , M. Piat , E. Pierpaoli , D. Pietrobon , S. Plaszczynski , E. Pointecouteau , G. Polenta , G. W. Pratt , G. Prézeau , S. Prunet , J. -L. Puget , J. P. Rachen , B. Racine , W. T. Reach , R. Rebolo , M. Reinecke , M. Remazeilles , C. Renault , A. Renzi , I. Ristorcelli , G. Rocha , C. Rosset , M. Rossetti , G. Roudier , J. A. Rubiño-Martín , B. Rusholme , M. Sandri , D. Santos , M. Savelainen , G. Savini , D. Scott , M. D. Seiffert , E. P. S. Shellard , L. D. Spencer , V. Stolyarov , R. Stompor , R. Sudiwala , R. Sunyaev , D. Sutton , A. -S. Suur-Uski , J. -F. Sygnet , J. A. Tauber , L. Terenzi , L. Toffolatti , M. Tomasi , M. Tristram , T. Trombetti , M. Tucci , J. Tuovinen , L. Valenziano , J. Valiviita , B. Van Tent , P. Vielva , F. Villa , L. A. Wade , B. D. Wandelt , I. K. Wehus , D. Yvon , A. Zacchei , A. Zonca

Field experiments are often difficult and expensive to make. To bypass these issues, industrial companies have developed computational codes. These codes intend to be representative of the physical system, but come with a certain amount of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-26 Mathieu Carmassi , Pierre Barbillon , Merlin Keller , Eric Parent , Matthieu Chiodetti

The exploration of complex physical or technological processes usually requires exploiting available information from different sources: (i) physical laws often represented as a family of parameter dependent partial differential equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Albert Cohen , Wolfgang Dahmen , Ron DeVore

The past decades have seen enormous improvements in computational inference based on statistical models, with continual enhancement in a wide range of computational tools, in competition. In Bayesian inference, first and foremost, MCMC…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-12 Peter J. Green , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Marcelo Pereyra , Christian P. Robert

The process of calibrating computer models of natural phenomena is essential for applications in the physical sciences, where plenty of domain knowledge can be embedded into simulations and then calibrated against real observations. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Rafael Oliveira , Dino Sejdinovic , David Howard , Edwin V. Bonilla

Modern cosmological data demand modern data analysis techniques. We introduce BayOp, a new likelihood sampling and maximisation method which is based on the Bayesian Optimisation algorithm and learns a function instead of randomly sampling…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-15 Jan Hamann , Julius Wons

We present a data analysis pipeline for CMB polarization experiments, running from multi-frequency maps to the power spectra. We focus mainly on component separation and, for the first time, we work out the covariance matrix accounting for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2010-06-14 S. Ricciardi , A. Bonaldi , P. Natoli , G. Polenta , C. Baccigalupi , E. Salerno , K. Kayabol , L. Bedini , G. De Zotti

Model-based clustering is widely-used in a variety of application areas. However, fundamental concerns remain about robustness. In particular, results can be sensitive to the choice of kernel representing the within-cluster data density.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-27 Leo L Duan , David B Dunson

In many inference problems, the evaluation of complex and costly models is often required. In this context, Bayesian methods have become very popular in several fields over the last years, in order to obtain parameter inversion, model…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Luca Martino , Víctor Elvira , Javier López-Santiago , Gustau Camps-Valls

Exoplanet research is carried out at the limits of the capabilities of current telescopes and instruments. The studied signals are weak, and often embedded in complex systematics from instrumental, telluric, and astrophysical sources.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-02-06 Hannu Parviainen

Bayesian parameter inference is one of the key elements for model selection in cosmological research. However, the available inference tools require a large number of calls to simulation codes which can lead to high and sometimes even…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-10 Sven Günther

In this note, we shortly survey some recent approaches on the approximation of the Bayes factor used in Bayesian hypothesis testing and in Bayesian model choice. In particular, we reassess importance sampling, harmonic mean sampling, and…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-13 Christian P. Robert , Darren Wraith

We propose a solution to the CMB component separation problem based on standard parameter estimation techniques. We assume a parametric spectral model for each signal component, and fit the corresponding parameters pixel by pixel in a…

Realizing the full potential of interconnecting the large amounts of data created in physics experiments, phenomenological models and theory simulations requires robust tools for statistical inference. Here I review a particularly promising…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-03-07 Alexander Rothkopf

Learning a good distance metric in feature space potentially improves the performance of the KNN classifier and is useful in many real-world applications. Many metric learning algorithms are however based on the point estimation of a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-04-11 Dong Wang , Xiaoyang Tan